FC MERW vs FC Ahal: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 11 December

FC MERW
DLLLL
8th place in Turkmenistan Premier League
0 - 2
FT
11/12/2025 05:00
FC Ahal
WWWWW
2nd place in Turkmenistan Premier League
Turkmenistan Premier League
MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for FC MERW vs FC Ahal on 11 December 2025 (kick-off: 05:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full FC MERW vs FC Ahal preview before placing your bet.

  • FC MERW are currently 8th with 11 points after 27 matches.
  • FC Ahal sit 2nd with 55 points from 28 matches.
  • Head-to-head history favors FC Ahal, who have won 6 of the last 6 meetings. FC MERW have no wins, while 0 matches ended in draws.
Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards
Home team Away team
Probability %
1
X
2
Pred
Correct
Avg.g
Coef.
Score.
Live coef.
Weather
STANDINGS UP TO 11/12/2025
Overall Table PTS
GP W D L GF GA +/-
01 Arkadag FK Arkadag FK
81 27 27 0 0 101 14 87
02 FC Ahal FC Ahal
55 28 17 4 7 54 26 28
03 FC Altyn Asyr FC Altyn Asyr
50 27 15 5 7 51 33 18
04 Sagadam FK Sagadam FK
43 28 12 7 9 34 32 2
05 Nebitchi Nebitchi
33 27 9 6 12 20 37 -17
06 HTTU Asgabat HTTU Asgabat
22 28 6 4 18 20 55 -35
07 Kopetdag Asgabat Kopetdag Asgabat
17 28 4 5 19 22 69 -47
08 FC MERW FC MERW
11 27 2 5 20 15 51 -36
Head To Head
04/12/2025 06:00
FC Ahal FC Ahal
4 - 0
FC MERW FC MERW
TKM D1
14/06/2025 09:00
FC MERW FC MERW
1 - 3
FC Ahal FC Ahal
TKM D1
11/04/2025 07:30
FC Ahal FC Ahal
3 - 0
FC MERW FC MERW
TKM D1
30/10/2024 06:30
FC MERW FC MERW
0 - 1
FC Ahal FC Ahal
TKM D1
30/08/2024 08:30
FC Ahal FC Ahal
2 - 0
FC MERW FC MERW
TKM D1
01/05/2024 08:00
FC Ahal FC Ahal
5 - 1
FC MERW FC MERW
TKM D1
FC MERW
0
0%
Draw
0
0%
FC Ahal
6
100%
FC MERW FC MERW Last 6 matches
04/12/2025 06:00
FC Ahal 4 - 0 FC MERW TKM D1
30/11/2025 06:00
Arkadag FK 4 - 1 FC MERW TKM D1
08/11/2025 06:30
FC MERW 1 - 2 Nebitchi TKM D1
30/10/2025 07:00
HTTU Asgabat 2 - 1 FC MERW TKM D1
26/10/2025 07:00
FC MERW 2 - 2 Kopetdag Asgabat TKM D1
17/10/2025 07:00
Sagadam FK 2 - 0 FC MERW TKM D1
Win
0%
Draw
17%
Lost
83%
Last 6 matches FC Ahal FC Ahal
07/12/2025 06:15
Nebitchi 0 - 3 FC Ahal TKM D1
04/12/2025 06:00
FC Ahal 4 - 0 FC MERW TKM D1
01/12/2025 06:30
FC Ahal 1 - 0 Sagadam FK TKM D1
26/11/2025 06:30
Sagadam FK 0 - 1 FC Ahal TKM D1
09/11/2025 06:30
FC Altyn Asyr 3 - 3 FC Ahal TKM D1
04/11/2025 12:00
Sepahan 2 - 2 FC Ahal ACL2
Win
67%
Draw
33%
Lost
0%
Overall Home/Away
Full time First half Second half
All leagues Turkmenistan Premier L...
Played games
FC MERW
FC MERW
159
 FC Ahal
FC Ahal
171
Goals
Scored
159
Avg. per game
1.00
Conceded
285
Avg. per game
1.79
Scored
344
Avg. per game
2.01
Conceded
191
Avg. per game
1.12
Scored a goal
In last 6 matches
YesNo
4 (67%)2 (33%)
In last 6 matches
NoYes
5 (83%)1 (17%)
In last 159 matches
YesNo
99 (62%)60 (38%)
In last 159 matches
NoYes
142 (83%)29 (17%)
FC MERW

FC MERW

Recent matches

FC Ahal

FC Ahal

Under /Over

(78%)35 10(22%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(73%)33 12(27%)

Under /Over

(13%)6 39(87%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(22%)10 35(78%)

Under /Over

(60%)27 18(40%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(58%)26 19(42%)

/Yes

(40%)18 27(60%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(42%)19 26(58%)
GOALS BY TIME PERIOD
FC MERW FC MERW
FC Ahal FC Ahal
Shots
FC MERW
FC MERW
Total shots
7.25 avg / game
Blocked
12 total
Avg. 2.40
FC Ahal
FC Ahal
Total shots
9.26 avg / game
Blocked
40 total
Avg. 2.50
FC MERW FC MERW Pass FC Ahal FC Ahal
Total passes
1671
Avg. 279 / game
Accurate
—
Ball possession
43%
Total passes
5953
Avg. 372 / game
Accurate
73%
Ball possession
45%
TOTAL ATTACKS
FC MERW
FC MERW
1148
Avg. 7.22 / game
 FC Ahal
FC Ahal
2525
Avg. 14.77 / game
DANGEROUS ATTACKS
FC MERW
FC MERW
574
Avg. 3.61 / game
 FC Ahal
FC Ahal
1627
Avg. 9.51 / game
OTHERS
FC MERW
FC MERW
159
Played games
FC Ahal
FC Ahal
171
Avg / game Total Total Avg / game
0.19
30
Clean sheets
66
0.39
0.25
40
Corners
118
0.69
0.00
0
Throw-ins
60
0.35
0.08
13
Offsides
26
0.15
0.11
17
GK saves
61
0.36
FC MERW
FC MERW
DISCIPLINARY
FC Ahal
FC Ahal
Avg / game Total Total Avg / game
0.13
20
Yellow card
70
0.41
0.01
1
Red card
4
0.02
0.32
51
Fouls
218
1.27
0.58
92
Tackles
213
1.25
NEXT MATCHES
No upcoming matches.
NEXT MATCHES
No upcoming matches.

How We Build the FC MERW vs FC Ahal Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for FC MERW vs FC Ahal on 11 December 2025 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Turkmenistan Premier League fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

FC MERW vs FC Ahal Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess FC MERW's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against FC Ahal's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Turkmenistan Premier League Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Turkmenistan Premier League standings and the Turkmenistan Premier League form table to understand exactly where FC MERW and FC Ahal sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Turkmenistan Premier League predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

Explore More Turkmenistan Premier League Predictions

Find every upcoming Turkmenistan Premier League fixtures and predictions for this matchday, or browse all football predictions for today across every major league on Betiball.com.

View More View Less