FC Istiklol Dushanbe vs Vakhsh Bokhtar: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 11 May

FC Istiklol Dushanbe

W W W W D

1st place in Tajikistan Vysshaya Liga

0-0

11/05/2025 10:00

Vakhsh Bokhtar

L D W D W

2nd place in Tajikistan Vysshaya Liga

Tajikistan Vysshaya Liga

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for FC Istiklol Dushanbe vs Vakhsh Bokhtar on 11 May 2025 (kick-off: 10:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full FC Istiklol Dushanbe vs Vakhsh Bokhtar preview before placing your bet.

FC Istiklol Dushanbe are currently 1st with 50 points after 22 matches.
Vakhsh Bokhtar sit 2nd with 45 points from 22 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: FC Istiklol Dushanbe to win with probability 60%.
Head-to-head history favors FC Istiklol Dushanbe, who have won 6 of the last 6 meetings. Vakhsh Bokhtar have no wins, while 0 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

10:00

2025-05-11

FC Istiklol Dushanbe vs Vakhsh Bokhtar - Prediction & Odds

FC Istiklol Dushanbe

Vakhsh Bokhtar

2025-05-11 10:00

STANDINGS UP TO 11/05/2025

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 FC Istiklol Dushanbe	50	22	15	5	2	58	18	40
02 Vakhsh Bokhtar	45	22	12	9	1	33	18	15
03 CSKA Pamir Dushanbe	37	22	10	7	5	38	23	15
04 Ravshan Kulob	35	22	8	11	3	26	20	6
05 Khujand	31	22	9	4	9	24	25	-1
06 FK Eskhata	30	22	7	9	6	31	30	1
07 Barkchi Hisor	27	22	6	9	7	22	20	2
08 Regar-TadAZ Tursunzoda	27	21	7	6	8	22	22	0
09 Khosilot Parkhar	24	21	6	6	9	25	35	-10
10 FC Istaravshan	19	22	4	7	11	23	42	-19
11 FK Hulbuk	13	22	2	7	13	15	39	-24
12 Pandjsher Rumi	12	22	2	6	14	16	41	-25

Head To Head

10/08/2024 08:30

Vakhsh Bokhtar

0 - 1

FC Istiklol Dushanbe

TAJ L1

13/04/2024 09:00

FC Istiklol Dushanbe

3 - 0

Vakhsh Bokhtar

TAJ L1

24/05/2023 08:30

Vakhsh Bokhtar

1 - 3

FC Istiklol Dushanbe

TAJ L1

10/05/2023 09:30

FC Istiklol Dushanbe

5 - 0

Vakhsh Bokhtar

TAJ L1

04/11/2022 06:00

FC Istiklol Dushanbe

1 - 0

Vakhsh Bokhtar

TAJ L1

21/08/2022 08:00

FC Istiklol Dushanbe

1 - 0

Vakhsh Bokhtar

TAJ L1

FC Istiklol Dushanbe

100%

Draw

Vakhsh Bokhtar

FC Istiklol Dushanbe Last 6 matches

03/05/2025 09:00

FC Istiklol Dushanbe 2 - 0 FK Hulbuk TAJ L1

26/04/2025 08:00

FK Eskhata 1 - 1 FC Istiklol Dushanbe TAJ L1

20/04/2025 09:00

Barkchi Hisor 0 - 1 FC Istiklol Dushanbe TAJ L1

12/04/2025 09:00

FC Istiklol Dushanbe 2 - 1 CSKA Pamir Dushanbe TAJ L1

06/04/2025 08:00

Pandjsher Rumi 0 - 3 FC Istiklol Dushanbe TAJ L1

29/03/2025 09:00

FC Istiklol Dushanbe 1 - 1 Khosilot Parkhar TAJ L1

Win

67%

Draw

33%

Lost

Last 6 matches Vakhsh Bokhtar

02/05/2025 08:00

Vakhsh Bokhtar 2 - 2 Barkchi Hisor TAJ L1

27/04/2025 08:00

FC Istaravshan 2 - 3 Vakhsh Bokhtar TAJ L1

20/04/2025 08:00

CSKA Pamir Dushanbe 1 - 2 Vakhsh Bokhtar TAJ L1

11/04/2025 08:00

Vakhsh Bokhtar 2 - 0 Pandjsher Rumi TAJ L1

05/04/2025 06:00

Khosilot Parkhar 1 - 1 Vakhsh Bokhtar TAJ L1

28/03/2025 09:00

Vakhsh Bokhtar 1 - 1 Regar-TadAZ Tursunzoda TAJ L1

Win

50%

Draw

50%

Lost

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Tajikistan Vysshaya Li...

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

FC Istiklol Dushanbe

Vakhsh Bokhtar

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

1.27

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.59

Scored

Avg. per game

0.73

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.45

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

5 (83%)1 (17%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

2 (33%)4 (67%)

In last 22 matches

YesNo

13 (59%)9 (41%)

In last 22 matches

NoYes

11 (50%)11 (50%)

FC Istiklol Dushanbe

Recent matches

Vakhsh Bokhtar

Under /Over

(73%)16 6(27%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(77%)17 5(23%)

Under /Over

(50%)11 11(50%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(41%)9 13(59%)

Under /Over

(45%)10 12(55%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(36%)8 14(64%)

/Yes

(55%)12 10(45%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(64%)14 8(36%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

FC Istiklol Dushanbe

Vakhsh Bokhtar

Shots

FC Istiklol Dushanbe

Total shots

11.80 avg / game

Blocked

0 total

Avg. —

Vakhsh Bokhtar

Total shots

8.90 avg / game

Blocked

0 total

Avg. —

FC Istiklol Dushanbe Pass Vakhsh Bokhtar

Total passes

—

Avg. — / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

56%

Total passes

—

Avg. — / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

47%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

FC Istiklol Dushanbe

Played games

Vakhsh Bokhtar

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.36

Clean sheets

0.32

3.14

Corners

1.73

0.00

Throw-ins

0.00

0.18

Offsides

0.32

0.00

GK saves

0.00

FC Istiklol Dushanbe

DISCIPLINARY

Vakhsh Bokhtar

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.68

0.68

0.09

0.14

1.68

Fouls

0.64

0.00

Tackles

0.00

NEXT MATCHES

08/02

Regar-TadAZ Tursunzoda

FK Parvoz Bobojon Ghafurov

NEXT MATCHES

Regar-TadAZ Tursunzoda

TAJ

How We Build the FC Istiklol Dushanbe vs Vakhsh Bokhtar Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for FC Istiklol Dushanbe vs Vakhsh Bokhtar on 11 May 2025 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Tajikistan Vysshaya Liga fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

FC Istiklol Dushanbe vs Vakhsh Bokhtar Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess FC Istiklol Dushanbe's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Vakhsh Bokhtar's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Tajikistan Vysshaya Liga Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Tajikistan Vysshaya Liga standings and the Tajikistan Vysshaya Liga form table to understand exactly where FC Istiklol Dushanbe and Vakhsh Bokhtar sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Tajikistan Vysshaya Liga predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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