FC Istiklol Dushanbe vs Al-Nassr: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 26 November

FC Istiklol Dushanbe

W L W W W

3rd place in Group D

0-4

26/11/2025 09:45

Al-Nassr

W W W W L

1st place in Group D

AFC Cup

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for FC Istiklol Dushanbe vs Al-Nassr on 26 November 2025 (kick-off: 09:45) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full FC Istiklol Dushanbe vs Al-Nassr preview before placing your bet.

FC Istiklol Dushanbe are currently 3rd with 9 points after 6 matches.
Al-Nassr sit 1st with 18 points from 6 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Al-Nassr to win with probability 76%.
Head-to-head history favors Al-Nassr, who have won 2 of the last 3 meetings. FC Istiklol Dushanbe have no wins, while one match ended in a draw.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

09:45

2025-11-26

FC Istiklol Dushanbe vs Al-Nassr - Prediction & Odds

FC Istiklol Dushanbe

Al-Nassr

2025-11-26 09:45

STANDINGS UP TO 26/11/2025

Group D	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Al-Nassr	18	6	6	0	0	22	2	20
02 Al Zawraa	9	6	3	0	3	8	11	-3
03 FC Istiklol Dushanbe	9	6	3	0	3	7	13	-6
04 FC Goa	0	6	0	0	6	3	14	-11

Head To Head

17/09/2025 14:15

Al-Nassr

5 - 0

FC Istiklol Dushanbe

ACL2

05/12/2023 11:59

FC Istiklol Dushanbe

1 - 1

Al-Nassr

ACLE

02/10/2023 14:00

Al-Nassr

3 - 1

FC Istiklol Dushanbe

ACLE

FC Istiklol Dushanbe

Draw

33%

Al-Nassr

67%

FC Istiklol Dushanbe Last 6 matches

10/11/2025 06:00

FC Istiklol Dushanbe 6 - 2 FK Eskhata TAJ L1

05/11/2025 12:00

Al Zawraa 2 - 1 FC Istiklol Dushanbe ACL2

28/10/2025 08:00

FC Istiklol Dushanbe 6 - 2 Ravshan Kulob TAJ L1

22/10/2025 09:45

FC Istiklol Dushanbe 2 - 1 Al Zawraa ACL2

01/10/2025 09:45

FC Istiklol Dushanbe 2 - 0 FC Goa ACL2

24/09/2025 07:00

FC Istiklol Dushanbe 2 - 1 Barkchi Hisor TAJ L1

Win

83%

Draw

Lost

17%

Last 6 matches Al-Nassr

23/11/2025 13:30

Al-Nassr 4 - 1 Al-Khaleej SPL

08/11/2025 09:50

Neom SC 1 - 3 Al-Nassr SPL

05/11/2025 14:15

Al-Nassr 4 - 0 FC Goa ACL2

01/11/2025 13:30

Al-Nassr 2 - 1 Al-Feiha SPL

28/10/2025 14:00

Al-Nassr 1 - 2 Al-Ittihad SK CUP

25/10/2025 14:00

Al-Hazm 0 - 2 Al-Nassr SPL

Win

83%

Draw

Lost

17%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues AFC Cup

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

FC Istiklol Dushanbe

Al-Nassr

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

1.00

Conceded

Avg. per game

1.00

Scored

Avg. per game

1.27

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.09

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

3 (50%)3 (50%)

FC Istiklol Dushanbe

Recent matches

Al-Nassr

Under /Over

(100%)6 0(0%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(73%)8 3(27%)

Under /Over

(50%)3 3(50%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(55%)6 5(45%)

Under /Over

(83%)5 1(17%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(55%)6 5(45%)

/Yes

(50%)3 3(50%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(27%)3 8(73%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

FC Istiklol Dushanbe

Al-Nassr

Shots

FC Istiklol Dushanbe

Total shots

10.50 avg / game

Blocked

11 total

Avg. 1.83

Al-Nassr

Total shots

16.00 avg / game

Blocked

38 total

Avg. 3.80

FC Istiklol Dushanbe Pass Al-Nassr

Total passes

2219

Avg. 370 / game

Accurate

77%

Ball possession

44%

Total passes

6203

Avg. 620 / game

Accurate

89%

Ball possession

68%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

FC Istiklol Dushanbe

Played games

Al-Nassr

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.17

Clean sheets

0.64

3.83

Corners

6.00

20.00

120

Throw-ins

179

16.27

5.67

Offsides

2.18

3.83

GK saves

1.91

FC Istiklol Dushanbe

DISCIPLINARY

Al-Nassr

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

2.33

1.00

0.17

0.00

11.83

Fouls

6.64

8.67

Tackles

8.18

NEXT MATCHES

08/02

Regar-TadAZ Tursunzoda

FK Parvoz Bobojon Ghafurov

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the FC Istiklol Dushanbe vs Al-Nassr Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for FC Istiklol Dushanbe vs Al-Nassr on 26 November 2025 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this AFC Cup fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

FC Istiklol Dushanbe vs Al-Nassr Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess FC Istiklol Dushanbe's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Al-Nassr's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

AFC Cup Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live AFC Cup standings and the AFC Cup form table to understand exactly where FC Istiklol Dushanbe and Al-Nassr sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our AFC Cup predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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