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FC Arouca vs FC Porto Prediction, analysis & Match Preview – September 29

FC Arouca
LWLDW
8th place in Portugal Primera Liga
2
0-4
FT
29/09/2025 19:00
FC Porto
WWWWL
1st place in Portugal Primera Liga
Portugal Primera Liga
MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for FC Arouca vs FC Porto on September 29, 2025 (kick-off: 19:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full FC Arouca vs FC Porto preview before placing for you.

  • FC Arouca are currently 8th with 42 points after 34 matches.
  • FC Porto sit 1st with 88 points from 34 matches.
  • Our algorithm prediction: FC Porto to win with probability 67%.
  • Head-to-head history favors FC Porto, who have won 4 of the last 6 meetings. FC Arouca have one win, while one match ended in a draw.
Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards
Home team Away team
Probability %
1
X
2
Pred
Correct
Avg.g
Coef.
Score.
Live coef.
Weather
favorite match
19:00

2025-09-29

FC Arouca vs FC Porto - Prediction & Odds

FC Arouca
FC Arouca
FC Porto
FC Porto
2025-09-29 19:00
13
20
67
2
2 - 1
2 - 1
2.75
1.34
FT
0-4 0-1
-
weather
22℃～23℃
STANDINGS UP TO 29/09/2025
Overall Table PTS
GP W D L GF GA +/-
01 FC Porto FC Porto
88 34 28 4 2 66 18 48
02 Sporting CP Sporting CP
82 34 25 7 2 89 24 65
03 Benfica Benfica
80 34 23 11 0 74 25 49
04 Sporting Braga Sporting Braga
59 34 16 11 7 64 36 28
05 FC Famalicao FC Famalicao
56 34 15 11 8 42 29 13
06 Gil Vicente Gil Vicente
50 34 13 11 10 47 38 9
07 Moreirense Moreirense
43 34 12 7 15 37 49 -12
08 FC Arouca FC Arouca
42 34 12 6 16 47 64 -17
09 Vitoria Guimaraes Vitoria Guimaraes
42 34 12 6 16 39 51 -12
10 Estoril Estoril
39 34 10 9 15 54 57 -3
11 Alverca Alverca
39 34 10 9 15 35 52 -17
12 Rio Ave Rio Ave
36 34 8 12 14 35 57 -22
13 Santa Clara Santa Clara
36 34 9 9 16 32 41 -9
14 Nacional da Madeira Nacional da Madeira
34 34 9 7 18 37 45 -8
15 Estrela da Amadora Estrela da Amadora
30 34 6 12 16 38 56 -18
16 Casa Pia AC Casa Pia AC
30 34 6 12 16 31 57 -26
17 CD Tondela CD Tondela
28 34 6 10 18 27 55 -28
18 AVS Futebol SAD AVS Futebol SAD
21 34 3 12 19 27 67 -40
Head To Head
01/03/2025 18:00
FC Arouca FC Arouca
0 - 2
FC Porto FC Porto
POR D1
29/09/2024 17:00
FC Porto FC Porto
4 - 0
FC Arouca FC Arouca
POR D1
12/02/2024 20:15
FC Arouca FC Arouca
3 - 2
FC Porto FC Porto
POR D1
03/09/2023 17:00
FC Porto FC Porto
1 - 1
FC Arouca FC Arouca
POR D1
08/05/2023 20:15
FC Arouca FC Arouca
0 - 1
FC Porto FC Porto
POR D1
11/01/2023 20:45
FC Porto FC Porto
4 - 0
FC Arouca FC Arouca
POR CUP
FC Arouca
1
17%
Draw
1
17%
FC Porto
4
67%
FC Arouca FC Arouca Last 6 matches
20/09/2025 14:30
Nacional da Madeira 1 - 2 FC Arouca POR D1
14/09/2025 17:00
FC Arouca 0 - 2 Casa Pia AC POR D1
30/08/2025 17:00
Vitoria Guimaraes 1 - 1 FC Arouca POR D1
23/08/2025 19:30
FC Arouca 3 - 3 Rio Ave POR D1
17/08/2025 19:30
Sporting CP 6 - 0 FC Arouca POR D1
09/08/2025 19:30
FC Arouca 3 - 1 AVS Futebol SAD POR D1
Win
33%
Draw
33%
Lost
33%
Last 6 matches FC Porto FC Porto
25/09/2025 19:00
Red Bull Salzburg 0 - 1 FC Porto UEFA EL
19/09/2025 19:15
Rio Ave 0 - 3 FC Porto POR D1
13/09/2025 17:00
FC Porto 1 - 0 Nacional da Madeira POR D1
30/08/2025 19:30
Sporting CP 1 - 2 FC Porto POR D1
24/08/2025 17:00
FC Porto 4 - 0 Casa Pia AC POR D1
18/08/2025 19:15
Gil Vicente 0 - 2 FC Porto POR D1
Win
100%
Draw
0%
Lost
0%
Overall Home/Away
Full time First half Second half
All leagues Portugal Primera Liga
Played games
FC Arouca
FC Arouca
17
 FC Porto
FC Porto
16
Goals
Scored
27
Avg. per game
1.59
Conceded
30
Avg. per game
1.76
Scored
32
Avg. per game
2.00
Conceded
6
Avg. per game
0.38
Scored a goal
In last 6 home matches
YesNo
6 (100%)0 (0%)
In last 6 home matches
NoYes
6 (100%)0 (0%)
In last 17 home matches
YesNo
13 (76%)4 (24%)
In last 17 home matches
NoYes
15 (94%)1 (6%)
FC Arouca

FC Arouca

Recent matches

FC Porto

FC Porto

Under /Over

(88%)15 2(12%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(69%)11 5(31%)

Under /Over

(35%)6 11(65%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(19%)3 13(81%)

Under /Over

(59%)10 7(41%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(50%)8 8(50%)

/Yes

(59%)10 7(41%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(31%)5 11(69%)
GOALS BY TIME PERIOD
FC Arouca FC Arouca
FC Porto FC Porto
Shots
FC Arouca
FC Arouca
Total shots
10.38 avg / game
Blocked
29 total
Avg. 1.93
FC Porto
FC Porto
Total shots
14.88 avg / game
Blocked
60 total
Avg. 4.62
FC Arouca FC Arouca Pass FC Porto FC Porto
Total passes
6331
Avg. 396 / game
Accurate
81%
Ball possession
49%
Total passes
7488
Avg. 468 / game
Accurate
85%
Ball possession
56%
TOTAL ATTACKS
FC Arouca
FC Arouca
1362
Avg. 80.12 / game
 FC Porto
FC Porto
1778
Avg. 111.13 / game
DANGEROUS ATTACKS
FC Arouca
FC Arouca
480
Avg. 28.24 / game
 FC Porto
FC Porto
817
Avg. 51.06 / game
OTHERS
FC Arouca
FC Arouca
17
Played games
FC Porto
FC Porto
16
Avg / game Total Total Avg / game
0.18
3
Clean sheets
11
0.69
3.76
64
Corners
89
5.56
16.65
283
Throw-ins
326
20.38
1.12
19
Offsides
32
2.00
2.47
42
GK saves
30
1.88
FC Arouca
FC Arouca
DISCIPLINARY
FC Porto
FC Porto
Avg / game Total Total Avg / game
3.24
55
Yellow card
35
2.19
0.29
5
Red card
0
0.00
13.65
232
Fouls
220
13.75
8.65
147
Tackles
171
10.69
NEXT MATCHES
08/08
Vitoria Guimaraes Vitoria Guimaraes
VS
FC Arouca FC Arouca
POR
08/17
FC Arouca FC Arouca
VS
Moreirense Moreirense
POR
08/23
FC Porto FC Porto
VS
FC Arouca FC Arouca
POR
08/30
FC Arouca FC Arouca
VS
Maritimo Maritimo
POR
09/06
Estoril Estoril
VS
FC Arouca FC Arouca
POR
NEXT MATCHES
08/09
FC Porto FC Porto
VS
Alverca Alverca
POR
08/15
Rio Ave Rio Ave
VS
FC Porto FC Porto
POR
08/23
FC Porto FC Porto
VS
FC Arouca FC Arouca
POR
08/30
Viseu Viseu
VS
FC Porto FC Porto
POR
09/06
FC Porto FC Porto
VS
Moreirense Moreirense
POR

How We Build the FC Arouca vs FC Porto Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for FC Arouca vs FC Porto on 29 September 2025 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Portugal Primera Liga fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

FC Arouca vs FC Porto Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess FC Arouca's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against FC Porto's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Portugal Primera Liga Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Portugal Primera Liga standings and the Portugal Primera Liga form table to understand exactly where FC Arouca and FC Porto sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Portugal Primera Liga predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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