FC Ahal vs FC MERW: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 04 December

FC Ahal

W W W W W

2nd place in Turkmenistan Premier League

4 - 0

04/12/2025 06:00

FC MERW

D L L L L

8th place in Turkmenistan Premier League

Turkmenistan Premier League

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for FC Ahal vs FC MERW on 04 December 2025 (kick-off: 06:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full FC Ahal vs FC MERW preview before placing your bet.

FC Ahal are currently 2nd with 55 points after 28 matches.
FC MERW sit 8th with 11 points from 27 matches.
Head-to-head history favors FC Ahal, who have won 6 of the last 6 meetings. FC MERW have no wins, while 0 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

STANDINGS UP TO 04/12/2025

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Arkadag FK	81	27	27	0	0	101	14	87
02 FC Ahal	55	28	17	4	7	54	26	28
03 FC Altyn Asyr	50	27	15	5	7	51	33	18
04 Sagadam FK	43	28	12	7	9	34	32	2
05 Nebitchi	33	27	9	6	12	20	37	-17
06 HTTU Asgabat	22	28	6	4	18	20	55	-35
07 Kopetdag Asgabat	17	28	4	5	19	22	69	-47
08 FC MERW	11	27	2	5	20	15	51	-36

Head To Head

14/06/2025 09:00

FC MERW

1 - 3

FC Ahal

TKM D1

11/04/2025 07:30

FC Ahal

3 - 0

FC MERW

TKM D1

30/10/2024 06:30

FC MERW

0 - 1

FC Ahal

TKM D1

30/08/2024 08:30

FC Ahal

2 - 0

FC MERW

TKM D1

01/05/2024 08:00

FC Ahal

5 - 1

FC MERW

TKM D1

07/03/2024 06:00

FC MERW

0 - 1

FC Ahal

TKM D1

FC Ahal

100%

Draw

FC MERW

FC Ahal Last 6 matches

01/12/2025 06:30

FC Ahal 1 - 0 Sagadam FK TKM D1

26/11/2025 06:30

Sagadam FK 0 - 1 FC Ahal TKM D1

09/11/2025 06:30

FC Altyn Asyr 3 - 3 FC Ahal TKM D1

04/11/2025 12:00

Sepahan 2 - 2 FC Ahal ACL2

29/10/2025 07:00

Kopetdag Asgabat 1 - 4 FC Ahal TKM D1

26/10/2025 10:00

FC Ahal 0 - 1 Arkadag FK TKM D1

Win

50%

Draw

33%

Lost

17%

Last 6 matches FC MERW

30/11/2025 06:00

Arkadag FK 4 - 1 FC MERW TKM D1

08/11/2025 06:30

FC MERW 1 - 2 Nebitchi TKM D1

30/10/2025 07:00

HTTU Asgabat 2 - 1 FC MERW TKM D1

26/10/2025 07:00

FC MERW 2 - 2 Kopetdag Asgabat TKM D1

17/10/2025 07:00

Sagadam FK 2 - 0 FC MERW TKM D1

22/09/2025 08:00

Kopetdag Asgabat 3 - 1 FC MERW TKM D1

Win

Draw

17%

Lost

83%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Turkmenistan Premier L...

Played games

Goals

Scored

344

Avg. per game

2.01

Conceded

191

Avg. per game

1.12

Scored

159

Avg. per game

1.00

Conceded

285

Avg. per game

1.79

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

5 (83%)1 (17%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 171 matches

YesNo

142 (83%)29 (17%)

In last 171 matches

NoYes

99 (62%)60 (38%)

FC Ahal

Recent matches

FC MERW

Under /Over

(73%)33 12(27%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(78%)35 10(22%)

Under /Over

(22%)10 35(78%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(13%)6 39(87%)

Under /Over

(58%)26 19(42%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(60%)27 18(40%)

/Yes

(42%)19 26(58%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(40%)18 27(60%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

FC Ahal

FC MERW

Shots

FC Ahal

Total shots

9.26 avg / game

Blocked

40 total

Avg. 2.50

FC MERW

Total shots

7.25 avg / game

Blocked

12 total

Avg. 2.40

FC Ahal Pass FC MERW

Total passes

5953

Avg. 372 / game

Accurate

73%

Ball possession

45%

Total passes

1671

Avg. 279 / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

43%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

FC Ahal

171

Played games

FC MERW

159

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.39

Clean sheets

0.19

0.69

118

Corners

0.25

0.35

Throw-ins

0.00

0.15

Offsides

0.08

0.36

GK saves

0.11

FC Ahal

DISCIPLINARY

FC MERW

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.41

0.13

0.02

0.01

1.27

218

Fouls

0.32

1.25

213

Tackles

0.58

NEXT MATCHES

No upcoming matches.

NEXT MATCHES

No upcoming matches.

How We Build the FC Ahal vs FC MERW Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for FC Ahal vs FC MERW on 04 December 2025 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Turkmenistan Premier League fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

FC Ahal vs FC MERW Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess FC Ahal's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against FC MERW's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Turkmenistan Premier League Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Turkmenistan Premier League standings and the Turkmenistan Premier League form table to understand exactly where FC Ahal and FC MERW sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Turkmenistan Premier League predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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