FBC Melgar vs Deportivo Union Comercio Prediction, analysis & Match Preview – September 24

FBC Melgar

W W W D W

2nd place in Autumn

3 - 1

24/09/2023 16:15

Deportivo Union Comercio

D L D L L

15th place in Autumn

Peru Primera Division

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for FBC Melgar vs Deportivo Union Comercio on September 24, 2023 (kick-off: 16:15) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full FBC Melgar vs Deportivo Union Comercio preview before placing for you.

FBC Melgar are currently 2nd with 38 points after 18 matches.
Deportivo Union Comercio sit 15th with 17 points from 18 matches.
Head-to-head history favors FBC Melgar, who have won 2 of the last 6 meetings. Deportivo Union Comercio have no wins, while 4 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

STANDINGS UP TO 24/09/2023

Autumn	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Universitario De Deportes	39	18	11	6	1	28	8	20
02 FBC Melgar	38	18	11	5	2	31	13	18
03 Alianza Lima	37	18	10	7	1	18	6	12
04 Sporting Cristal	36	18	10	6	2	31	13	18
05 AD Tarma	34	18	9	7	2	21	13	8
06 Sport Huancayo	29	18	8	5	5	22	14	8
07 Univ.Cesar Vallejo	24	18	7	3	8	25	19	6
08 Deportivo Garcilaso	24	18	7	6	5	24	20	4
09 Cienciano	24	18	6	6	6	21	20	1
10 Sport Boys	23	18	6	5	7	15	23	-8
11 UTC Cajamarca	19	18	3	10	5	21	23	-2
12 Cusco FC	18	18	4	6	8	18	23	-5
13 Carlos Manucci	17	17	4	5	8	16	22	-6
14 EM Deportivo Binacional	17	18	5	2	11	25	34	-9
15 Deportivo Union Comercio	17	18	4	5	9	18	32	-14
16 Academia Deportiva Cantolao	17	18	5	2	11	12	26	-14
17 Alianza Atletico Sullana	16	18	4	4	10	14	25	-11
18 Atletico Grau	15	17	3	6	8	17	27	-10
19 Deportivo Municipal	12	16	4	0	12	17	33	-16

Apertura	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Alianza Lima	42	18	14	0	4	37	16	21
02 Sporting Cristal	35	18	9	8	1	33	18	15
03 Universitario De Deportes	34	18	11	1	6	29	14	15
04 Cusco FC	32	18	10	2	6	24	22	2
05 Sport Huancayo	27	18	8	3	7	30	25	5
06 Univ.Cesar Vallejo	27	18	7	6	5	25	23	2
07 Carlos Manucci	27	18	8	3	7	17	18	-1
08 Deportivo Garcilaso	25	18	6	7	5	32	27	5
09 FBC Melgar	25	18	6	7	5	24	22	2
10 Deportivo Municipal	24	18	7	3	8	19	21	-2
11 Cienciano	24	18	7	3	8	23	28	-5
12 Atletico Grau	23	18	6	5	7	31	21	10
13 Alianza Atletico Sullana	23	18	6	5	7	32	33	-1
14 AD Tarma	21	18	5	6	7	23	23	0
15 UTC Cajamarca	21	18	5	6	7	16	22	-6
16 Deportivo Union Comercio	19	18	5	4	9	24	40	-16
17 EM Deportivo Binacional	18	18	5	3	10	28	34	-6
18 Sport Boys	18	18	5	3	10	13	26	-13
19 Academia Deportiva Cantolao	9	18	2	3	13	9	36	-27

Head To Head

08/05/2023 14:00

Deportivo Union Comercio

1 - 1

FBC Melgar

PER D1

28/09/2019 21:00

FBC Melgar

1 - 1

Deportivo Union Comercio

PER D1

14/04/2019 14:30

Deportivo Union Comercio

1 - 1

FBC Melgar

PER D1

05/11/2018 21:00

FBC Melgar

1 - 0

Deportivo Union Comercio

PER D1

13/08/2018 16:30

Deportivo Union Comercio

0 - 0

FBC Melgar

PER D1

21/04/2018 18:45

FBC Melgar

2 - 1

Deportivo Union Comercio

PER D1

FBC Melgar

33%

Draw

67%

Deportivo Union Comercio

FBC Melgar Last 6 matches

19/09/2023 16:20

Academia Deportiva Cantolao 0 - 1 FBC Melgar PER D1

15/09/2023 16:20

FBC Melgar 4 - 0 Alianza Atletico Sullana PER D1

09/09/2023 20:00

Cienciano 0 - 1 FBC Melgar PER D1

27/08/2023 16:30

FBC Melgar 1 - 3 Sport Huancayo PER D1

19/08/2023 16:30

Cusco FC 1 - 1 FBC Melgar PER D1

15/08/2023 19:00

FBC Melgar 1 - 1 UTC Cajamarca PER D1

Win

50%

Draw

33%

Lost

17%

Last 6 matches Deportivo Union Comercio

20/09/2023 14:00

Deportivo Union Comercio 0 - 0 Carlos Manucci PER D1

17/09/2023 19:30

Alianza Lima 3 - 1 Deportivo Union Comercio PER D1

26/08/2023 14:00

Deportivo Union Comercio 2 - 1 Academia Deportiva Cantolao PER D1

19/08/2023 14:10

Alianza Atletico Sullana 2 - 2 Deportivo Union Comercio PER D1

15/08/2023 14:00

Deportivo Union Comercio 2 - 0 Cienciano PER D1

11/08/2023 14:00

Sport Huancayo 1 - 1 Deportivo Union Comercio PER D1

Win

33%

Draw

50%

Lost

17%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Peru Primera Division

Played games

FBC Melgar

258

Deportivo Union Comercio

172

Goals

Scored

394

Avg. per game

1.53

Conceded

271

Avg. per game

1.05

Scored

243

Avg. per game

1.41

Conceded

249

Avg. per game

1.45

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 258 matches

YesNo

202 (78%)56 (22%)

In last 258 matches

NoYes

130 (76%)42 (24%)

FBC Melgar

Recent matches

Deportivo Union Comercio

Under /Over

(82%)37 8(18%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(69%)31 14(31%)

Under /Over

(29%)13 32(71%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(33%)15 30(67%)

Under /Over

(49%)22 23(51%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(49%)22 23(51%)

/Yes

(67%)30 15(33%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(42%)19 26(58%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

FBC Melgar

Deportivo Union Comercio

Shots

FBC Melgar

Total shots

12.54 avg / game

Blocked

372 total

Avg. 3.05

Deportivo Union Comercio

Total shots

10.97 avg / game

Blocked

96 total

Avg. 2.82

FBC Melgar Pass Deportivo Union Comercio

Total passes

76594

Avg. 375 / game

Accurate

81%

Ball possession

55%

Total passes

20643

Avg. 299 / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

48%

TOTAL ATTACKS

FBC Melgar

23794

Avg. 92.22 / game

Deportivo Union Comercio

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

Deportivo Union Comercio

7286

Avg. 42.36 / game

OTHERS

FBC Melgar

258

Played games

Deportivo Union Comercio

172

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.36

Clean sheets

0.28

5.27

1360

Corners

698

4.06

5.47

1412

Throw-ins

342

1.99

1.98

510

Offsides

115

0.67

2.04

526

GK saves

252

1.47

FBC Melgar

DISCIPLINARY

Deportivo Union Comercio

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

2.05

529

358

2.08

0.17

0.20

10.53

2717

Fouls

999

5.81

9.79

2525

Tackles

810

4.71

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

Deportivo Union Comercio

Academia Deportiva Cantolao

PER

How We Build the FBC Melgar vs Deportivo Union Comercio Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for FBC Melgar vs Deportivo Union Comercio on 24 September 2023 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Peru Primera Division fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

FBC Melgar vs Deportivo Union Comercio Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess FBC Melgar's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Deportivo Union Comercio's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Peru Primera Division Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Peru Primera Division standings and the Peru Primera Division form table to understand exactly where FBC Melgar and Deportivo Union Comercio sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Peru Primera Division predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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