Fakel vs Chernomorets Novorossiysk: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 14 March

Fakel

L D D W D

2nd place in Russian National Football League

0-0

14/03/2026 11:00

Chernomorets Novorossiysk

L L L L W

16th place in Russian National Football League

Russian National Football League

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Fakel vs Chernomorets Novorossiysk on 14 March 2026 (kick-off: 11:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Fakel vs Chernomorets Novorossiysk preview before placing your bet.

Fakel are currently 2nd with 68 points after 34 matches.
Chernomorets Novorossiysk sit 16th with 35 points from 34 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Fakel to win with probability 64%.
Head-to-head history favors Fakel, who have won 2 of the last 5 meetings. Chernomorets Novorossiysk have one win, while 2 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

11:00

2026-03-14

Fakel vs Chernomorets Novorossiysk - Prediction & Odds

Fakel

Chernomorets Novorossiysk

2026-03-14 11:00

STANDINGS UP TO 14/03/2026

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Rodina Moscow	68	34	19	11	4	58	28	30
02 Fakel	68	34	20	8	6	44	22	22
03 Ural Sverdlovsk Oblast	61	34	18	7	9	51	31	20
04 Rotor Volgograd	56	34	15	11	8	47	26	21
05 KAMAZ Naberezhnye Chelny	49	34	12	13	9	46	34	12
06 Spartak Kostroma	49	34	12	13	9	46	41	5
07 Yenisey Krasnoyarsk	49	34	13	10	11	37	35	2
08 Shinnik Yaroslavl	48	34	11	15	8	34	28	6
09 Torpedo Moscow	46	34	12	10	12	37	39	-2
10 Chelyabinsk	44	34	10	14	10	42	40	2
11 Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk	43	34	10	13	11	40	41	-1
12 Arsenal Tula	39	34	8	15	11	42	44	-2
13 SKA Khabarovsk	39	33	9	12	12	34	45	-11
14 FC Ufa	37	33	9	10	14	32	37	-5
15 Volga Ulyanovsk	37	34	9	10	15	35	48	-13
16 Chernomorets Novorossiysk	35	34	9	8	17	37	49	-12
17 Sokol	26	34	5	11	18	16	44	-28
18 FK Chayka Pesch	22	34	5	7	22	30	76	-46

Head To Head

17/08/2025 12:00

Chernomorets Novorossiysk

0 - 1

Fakel

RUS D1

24/08/2016 11:59

Chernomorets Novorossiysk

0 - 0

Fakel

RUS Cup

02/05/2012 10:30

Fakel

0 - 0

Chernomorets Novorossiysk

RUS D1

29/08/2011 11:30

Fakel

1 - 0

Chernomorets Novorossiysk

RUS D1

25/04/2011 10:00

Chernomorets Novorossiysk

1 - 0

Fakel

RUS D1

Fakel

40%

Draw

40%

Chernomorets Novorossiysk

20%

Fakel Last 6 matches

27/02/2026 10:00

Fakel 1 - 0 Ural Sverdlovsk Oblast RUS D1

19/02/2026 10:00

Sogdiana Jizak 0 - 1 Fakel INT CF

12/02/2026 10:00

Baltika Kaliningrad 1 - 0 Fakel INT CF

05/02/2026 05:00

FK Sochi 2 - 2 Fakel INT CF

31/01/2026 10:00

FK Sloga Doboj 1 - 1 Fakel INT CF

31/01/2026 05:00

Fakel 1 - 1 FK Graficar Beograd INT CF

Win

33%

Draw

50%

Lost

17%

Last 6 matches Chernomorets Novorossiysk

07/03/2026 08:00

Chernomorets Novorossiysk 3 - 0 SKA Khabarovsk RUS D1

01/03/2026 09:45

Chernomorets Novorossiysk 0 - 2 Torpedo Moscow RUS D1

18/02/2026 04:00

Volgar-Gazprom Astrachan 1 - 0 Chernomorets Novorossiysk INT CF

08/02/2026 05:00

Chernomorets Novorossiysk 2 - 1 Avangard INT CF

04/02/2026 06:30

Chernomorets Novorossiysk 1 - 4 PFK Kuban INT CF

01/02/2026 05:00

Chernomorets Novorossiysk 1 - 1 FC Sevastopol INT CF

Win

33%

Draw

17%

Lost

50%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Russian National Footb...

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Fakel

Chernomorets Novorossiysk

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

0.70

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.33

Scored

Avg. per game

0.52

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.85

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

2 (33%)4 (67%)

In last 33 matches

YesNo

18 (55%)15 (45%)

In last 33 matches

NoYes

12 (36%)21 (64%)

Fakel

Recent matches

Chernomorets Novorossiysk

Under /Over

(55%)18 15(45%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(73%)24 9(27%)

Under /Over

(18%)6 27(82%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(39%)13 20(61%)

Under /Over

(27%)9 24(73%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(39%)13 20(61%)

/Yes

(27%)9 24(73%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(55%)18 15(45%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Fakel

Chernomorets Novorossiysk

Shots

Fakel

Total shots

8.16 avg / game

Blocked

0 total

Avg. —

Chernomorets Novorossiysk

Total shots

7.66 avg / game

Blocked

0 total

Avg. —

Fakel Pass Chernomorets Novorossiysk

Total passes

—

Avg. — / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

56%

Total passes

—

Avg. — / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

49%

TOTAL ATTACKS

Fakel

2795

Avg. 84.70 / game

Chernomorets Novorossiysk

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

Chernomorets Novorossiysk

1202

Avg. 36.42 / game

OTHERS

Fakel

Played games

Chernomorets Novorossiysk

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.58

Clean sheets

0.15

4.67

154

Corners

139

4.21

0.00

Throw-ins

0.00

0.27

Offsides

0.15

0.55

GK saves

0.39

Fakel

DISCIPLINARY

Chernomorets Novorossiysk

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.97

2.24

0.15

0.03

6.00

198

Fouls

176

5.33

0.00

Tackles

0.00

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

No upcoming matches.

How We Build the Fakel vs Chernomorets Novorossiysk Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Fakel vs Chernomorets Novorossiysk on 14 March 2026 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Russian National Football League fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Fakel vs Chernomorets Novorossiysk Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Fakel's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Chernomorets Novorossiysk's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Russian National Football League Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Russian National Football League standings and the Russian National Football League form table to understand exactly where Fakel and Chernomorets Novorossiysk sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Russian National Football League predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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