Excelsior SBV vs AFC Ajax: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 01 February

Betiball's prediction for Excelsior SBV vs AFC Ajax on 01 February 2026 (kick-off: 07:15) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Excelsior SBV vs AFC Ajax preview before placing your bet.

Excelsior SBV vs AFC Ajax: Starting Lineups Time : 01/02/2026 07:15

Excelsior SBV
2 - 2
Finished
AFC Ajax
89' event Mike van Duinen / Lennard Hartjes
79' event Arthur Zagre
74' event Miliano Jonathans
70' event Lewis Schouten
63' event Miliano Jonathans / Derensili Sanches Fernandes
63' event Lewis Schouten / Jerroldino Armantrading
62' event Gyan de Regt / Emil Hansson
event 80' Takehiro Tomiyasu / Jorthy Mokio
event 80' Jinairo Johnson / Sean Steur
event 67' Oliver Edvardsen / Rayane Bounida
event 67' Wout Weghorst / Kasper Dolberg
event 40' Mika Godts
event 21' Mika Godts
89' event Mike van Duinen / Lennard Hartjes
event 80' Takehiro Tomiyasu / Jorthy Mokio
79' event Arthur Zagre
event 80' Jinairo Johnson / Sean Steur
74' event Miliano Jonathans
event 67' Oliver Edvardsen / Rayane Bounida
70' event Lewis Schouten
event 67' Wout Weghorst / Kasper Dolberg
63' event Miliano Jonathans / Derensili Sanches Fernandes
event 40' Mika Godts
63' event Lewis Schouten / Jerroldino Armantrading
event 21' Mika Godts
62' event Gyan de Regt / Emil Hansson
Excelsior SBV Excelsior SBV
Substitutions
#29 Mike van Duinen
#11 Gyan de Regt
#26 Miliano Jonathans
#14 Lewis Schouten
#17 Nolan Martens
#18 Chris-Kevin Nadje
#15 Simon Janssen
#16 Calvin Raatsie
#5 Stan Henderikx
#6 Adam Carlen
Excelsior SBV Excelsior SBV AFC Ajax AFC Ajax
11Shots9
5Shots on Goal3
12Fouls5
4Corner Kick1
5Free kick12
3Offside2
1Yellow card0
1Aerial14
1Save3
6Successful Tackles14
14Interceptions3
26Long pass27
2Assist2
4Successful center1
4Shots off goal5
10Head Success12
2Blocked1
6Tackle14
8Dribbles8
18Throw-in22
442Passes488
114Attacks98
43Dangerous attacks28
2Corner Kicks(HT)0
2BigChances2
6ShotsInsideBox6
5ShotsOutsideBox3
34DuelsWon48
1.5xGOT0.39
19Touches In Opposition Box28
16AccurateCrosses7
24GroundDuelsWon36
10AerialDuelsWon12
17Clearances19
AFC Ajax AFC Ajax
Substitutions
#32 Takehiro Tomiyasu
#57 Jinairo Johnson
#25 Wout Weghorst
#17 Oliver Edvardsen
#41 Gerald Alders
#52 Paul Reverson
#30 Aaron Bouwman
#23 Steven Berghuis
#12 Joeri Heerkens
#55 Tijn Peters
#68 Abdellah Ouazane
Commentary
89' Excelsior SBV — substitution: Mike van Duinen / Lennard Hartjes
80' AFC Ajax — substitution: Takehiro Tomiyasu / Jorthy Mokio
80' AFC Ajax — substitution: Jinairo Johnson / Sean Steur
79' Goal! Arthur Zagre - Excelsior SBV
74' Goal! Miliano Jonathans - Excelsior SBV
70' Lewis Schouten - Excelsior SBV receive a yellow card
67' AFC Ajax — substitution: Oliver Edvardsen / Rayane Bounida
67' AFC Ajax — substitution: Wout Weghorst / Kasper Dolberg
63' Excelsior SBV — substitution: Miliano Jonathans / Derensili Sanches Fernandes
63' Excelsior SBV — substitution: Lewis Schouten / Jerroldino Armantrading
62' Excelsior SBV — substitution: Gyan de Regt / Emil Hansson
40' Goal! Mika Godts - AFC Ajax
21' Goal! Mika Godts - AFC Ajax

How We Build the Excelsior SBV vs AFC Ajax Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Excelsior SBV vs AFC Ajax on 01 February 2026 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Excelsior SBV vs AFC Ajax Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Excelsior SBV's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against AFC Ajax's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live standings and the form table to understand exactly where Excelsior SBV and AFC Ajax sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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