Excelsior SBV vs AFC Ajax: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 01 February

Excelsior SBV

L D W W D

13th place in Holland Eredivisie

2-2

01/02/2026 07:15

AFC Ajax

L W W D L

5th place in Holland Eredivisie

Holland Eredivisie

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Excelsior SBV vs AFC Ajax on 01 February 2026 (kick-off: 07:15) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Excelsior SBV vs AFC Ajax preview before placing your bet.

Excelsior SBV are currently 13th with 38 points after 34 matches.
AFC Ajax sit 5th with 56 points from 34 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: AFC Ajax to win with probability 51%.
Head-to-head history favors AFC Ajax, who have won 3 of the last 6 meetings. Excelsior SBV have one win, while 2 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

07:15

2026-02-01

Excelsior SBV vs AFC Ajax - Prediction & Odds

Excelsior SBV

AFC Ajax

2026-02-01 07:15

STANDINGS UP TO 01/02/2026

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 PSV Eindhoven	84	34	27	3	4	101	45	56
02 Feyenoord	65	34	19	8	7	70	44	26
03 NEC Nijmegen	59	34	16	11	7	77	53	24
04 FC Twente Enschede	58	34	15	13	6	59	40	19
05 AFC Ajax	56	34	14	14	6	62	41	21
06 FC Utrecht	53	34	15	8	11	55	42	13
07 AZ Alkmaar	52	34	14	10	10	58	51	7
08 SC Heerenveen	51	34	14	9	11	57	53	4
09 Groningen	48	34	14	6	14	49	45	4
10 Sparta Rotterdam	43	34	12	7	15	40	62	-22
11 Fortuna Sittard	39	34	11	6	17	49	63	-14
12 Go Ahead Eagles	38	34	8	14	12	54	53	1
13 Excelsior SBV	38	34	10	8	16	43	56	-13
14 SC Telstar	37	34	9	10	15	49	55	-6
15 PEC Zwolle	37	34	9	10	15	44	71	-27
16 Volendam	32	34	8	8	18	35	55	-20
17 NAC Breda	29	34	6	11	17	35	58	-23
18 Heracles Almelo	19	34	5	4	25	35	85	-50

Head To Head

22/11/2025 13:45

AFC Ajax

1 - 2

Excelsior SBV

HOL D1

24/04/2024 15:00

AFC Ajax

2 - 2

Excelsior SBV

HOL D1

19/08/2023 10:30

Excelsior SBV

2 - 2

AFC Ajax

HOL D1

29/01/2023 09:30

Excelsior SBV

1 - 4

AFC Ajax

HOL D1

16/10/2022 14:00

AFC Ajax

7 - 1

Excelsior SBV

HOL D1

13/04/2019 12:30

AFC Ajax

6 - 2

Excelsior SBV

HOL D1

Excelsior SBV

17%

Draw

33%

AFC Ajax

50%

Excelsior SBV Last 6 matches

24/01/2026 16:00

FC Twente Enschede 0 - 0 Excelsior SBV HOL D1

21/01/2026 13:45

AZ Alkmaar 1 - 1 Excelsior SBV HOL D1

17/01/2026 15:00

Excelsior SBV 2 - 2 SC Telstar HOL D1

10/01/2026 15:00

PSV Eindhoven 5 - 1 Excelsior SBV HOL D1

20/12/2025 13:45

Excelsior SBV 2 - 1 PEC Zwolle HOL D1

05/12/2025 15:00

Excelsior SBV 0 - 2 Groningen HOL D1

Win

17%

Draw

50%

Lost

33%

Last 6 matches AFC Ajax

28/01/2026 16:00

AFC Ajax 1 - 2 Olympiakos Piraeus UEFA CL

24/01/2026 11:30

AFC Ajax 2 - 0 Volendam HOL D1

20/01/2026 16:00

Villarreal 1 - 2 AFC Ajax UEFA CL

17/01/2026 11:30

AFC Ajax 2 - 2 Go Ahead Eagles HOL D1

14/01/2026 16:00

AZ Alkmaar 6 - 0 AFC Ajax HOLC

11/01/2026 09:30

SC Telstar 2 - 3 AFC Ajax HOL D1

Win

50%

Draw

17%

Lost

33%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Holland Eredivisie

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Goals

Scored

249

Avg. per game

0.89

Conceded

285

Avg. per game

1.02

Scored

333

Avg. per game

1.11

Conceded

225

Avg. per game

0.75

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

5 (83%)1 (17%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 279 matches

YesNo

159 (57%)120 (43%)

In last 279 matches

NoYes

199 (66%)101 (34%)

Excelsior SBV

Recent matches

AFC Ajax

Under /Over

(80%)36 9(20%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(89%)40 5(11%)

Under /Over

(38%)17 28(62%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(49%)22 23(51%)

Under /Over

(58%)26 19(42%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(53%)24 21(47%)

/Yes

(64%)29 16(36%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(62%)28 17(38%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Excelsior SBV

AFC Ajax

Shots

Excelsior SBV

Total shots

12.28 avg / game

Blocked

475 total

Avg. 3.17

AFC Ajax

Total shots

15.01 avg / game

Blocked

916 total

Avg. 3.98

Excelsior SBV Pass AFC Ajax

Total passes

79516

Avg. 414 / game

Accurate

77%

Ball possession

49%

Total passes

146385

Avg. 567 / game

Accurate

86%

Ball possession

60%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Excelsior SBV

279

Played games

AFC Ajax

300

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.24

Clean sheets

102

0.34

4.39

1226

Corners

1708

5.69

10.32

2879

Throw-ins

4360

14.53

1.10

307

Offsides

496

1.65

3.24

904

GK saves

764

2.55

Excelsior SBV

DISCIPLINARY

AFC Ajax

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.16

324

441

1.47

0.07

0.08

8.65

2412

Fouls

2940

9.80

10.30

2874

Tackles

3611

12.04

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Excelsior SBV vs AFC Ajax Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Excelsior SBV vs AFC Ajax on 01 February 2026 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Holland Eredivisie fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Excelsior SBV vs AFC Ajax Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Excelsior SBV's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against AFC Ajax's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Holland Eredivisie Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Holland Eredivisie standings and the Holland Eredivisie form table to understand exactly where Excelsior SBV and AFC Ajax sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Holland Eredivisie predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

Explore More Holland Eredivisie Predictions

Find every upcoming Holland Eredivisie fixtures and predictions for this matchday, or browse all football predictions for today across every major league on Betiball.com.

View More View Less