Etoile Carouge vs Aarau: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 16 May

Etoile Carouge

L L L W L

3rd place in Swiss Challenge League

1-3

16/05/2025 14:15

Aarau

D D L L W

2nd place in Swiss Challenge League

Swiss Challenge League

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Etoile Carouge vs Aarau on 16 May 2025 (kick-off: 14:15) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Etoile Carouge vs Aarau preview before placing your bet.

Etoile Carouge are currently 3rd with 54 points after 36 matches.
Aarau sit 2nd with 61 points from 36 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Aarau to win with probability 39%.
Head-to-head history favors Aarau, who have won 3 of the last 6 meetings. Etoile Carouge have 2 wins, while one match ended in a draw.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

14:15

2025-05-16

Etoile Carouge vs Aarau - Prediction & Odds

Etoile Carouge

Aarau

2025-05-16 14:15

STANDINGS UP TO 16/05/2025

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Thun	72	36	21	9	6	70	39	31
02 Aarau	61	36	16	13	7	63	45	18
03 Etoile Carouge	54	36	15	9	12	58	47	11
04 Stade Ouchy	53	36	14	11	11	54	43	11
05 Vaduz	51	36	13	12	11	48	49	-1
06 FC Wil 1900	50	36	13	11	12	58	57	1
07 Bellinzona	47	36	12	11	13	48	57	-9
08 Neuchatel Xamax	41	36	12	5	19	57	65	-8
09 Stade Nyonnais	36	36	10	6	20	44	69	-25
10 Schaffhausen	28	36	7	7	22	40	69	-29

Head To Head

28/03/2025 15:15

Aarau

2 - 2

Etoile Carouge

SUI CL

05/12/2024 15:00

Aarau

0 - 1

Etoile Carouge

SUI Cup

01/11/2024 15:15

Etoile Carouge

2 - 1

Aarau

SUI CL

24/08/2024 12:00

Aarau

1 - 0

Etoile Carouge

SUI CL

23/05/2012 14:15

Aarau

7 - 0

Etoile Carouge

SUI CL

24/09/2011 11:00

Etoile Carouge

0 - 2

Aarau

SUI CL

Etoile Carouge

33%

Draw

17%

Aarau

50%

Etoile Carouge Last 6 matches

09/05/2025 13:30

Neuchatel Xamax 1 - 2 Etoile Carouge SUI CL

02/05/2025 14:15

Etoile Carouge 1 - 2 Stade Ouchy SUI CL

27/04/2025 08:15

Vaduz 1 - 0 Etoile Carouge SUI CL

18/04/2025 14:15

Etoile Carouge 0 - 2 Schaffhausen SUI CL

13/04/2025 08:15

FC Wil 1900 2 - 2 Etoile Carouge SUI CL

05/04/2025 12:00

Etoile Carouge 7 - 0 Bellinzona SUI CL

Win

33%

Draw

17%

Lost

50%

Last 6 matches Aarau

09/05/2025 14:15

Aarau 2 - 4 FC Wil 1900 SUI CL

02/05/2025 14:15

Thun 2 - 1 Aarau SUI CL

25/04/2025 13:30

Schaffhausen 1 - 1 Aarau SUI CL

18/04/2025 14:15

Aarau 2 - 2 Vaduz SUI CL

11/04/2025 14:15

Neuchatel Xamax 1 - 1 Aarau SUI CL

04/04/2025 14:15

Aarau 2 - 2 Stade Ouchy SUI CL

Win

Draw

67%

Lost

33%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Swiss Challenge League

Played games

Goals

Scored

360

Avg. per game

1.64

Conceded

311

Avg. per game

1.42

Scored

516

Avg. per game

1.84

Conceded

418

Avg. per game

1.49

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 219 matches

YesNo

164 (75%)55 (25%)

In last 219 matches

NoYes

237 (84%)44 (16%)

Etoile Carouge

Recent matches

Aarau

Under /Over

(82%)37 8(18%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(80%)36 9(20%)

Under /Over

(42%)19 26(58%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(44%)20 25(56%)

Under /Over

(49%)22 23(51%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(49%)22 23(51%)

/Yes

(49%)22 23(51%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(67%)30 15(33%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Etoile Carouge

Aarau

Shots

Etoile Carouge

Total shots

12.62 avg / game

Blocked

164 total

Avg. 4.10

Aarau

Total shots

12.06 avg / game

Blocked

176 total

Avg. 4.51

Etoile Carouge Pass Aarau

Total passes

31777

Avg. 461 / game

Accurate

86%

Ball possession

53%

Total passes

28172

Avg. 391 / game

Accurate

78%

Ball possession

53%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Etoile Carouge

219

Played games

Aarau

281

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.27

Clean sheets

0.28

3.42

749

Corners

1402

4.99

5.42

1187

Throw-ins

1595

5.68

0.52

114

Offsides

445

1.58

0.93

204

GK saves

670

2.38

Etoile Carouge

DISCIPLINARY

Aarau

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.65

362

532

1.89

0.08

0.06

3.79

831

Fouls

2838

10.10

3.67

803

Tackles

1070

3.81

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Etoile Carouge vs Aarau Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Etoile Carouge vs Aarau on 16 May 2025 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Swiss Challenge League fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Etoile Carouge vs Aarau Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Etoile Carouge's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Aarau's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Swiss Challenge League Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Swiss Challenge League standings and the Swiss Challenge League form table to understand exactly where Etoile Carouge and Aarau sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Swiss Challenge League predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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