Etoile Carouge vs Aarau: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 26 September

Etoile Carouge

D W L W L

8th place in Swiss Challenge League

1-3

26/09/2025 14:15

Aarau

D W D W W

1st place in Swiss Challenge League

Swiss Challenge League

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Etoile Carouge vs Aarau on 26 September 2025 (kick-off: 14:15) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Etoile Carouge vs Aarau preview before placing your bet.

Etoile Carouge are currently 8th with 39 points after 35 matches.
Aarau sit 1st with 79 points from 35 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Aarau to win with probability 49%.
Head-to-head history favors Aarau, who have won 3 of the last 6 meetings. Etoile Carouge have 2 wins, while one match ended in a draw.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

14:15

2025-09-26

Etoile Carouge vs Aarau - Prediction & Odds

Etoile Carouge

Aarau

2025-09-26 14:15

STANDINGS UP TO 26/09/2025

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Aarau	79	35	25	4	6	75	45	30
02 Vaduz	78	35	24	6	5	72	40	32
03 Yverdon	66	35	20	6	9	73	46	27
04 Neuchatel Xamax	49	35	14	7	14	54	54	0
05 Stade Ouchy	47	35	13	8	14	57	50	7
06 FC Rapperswil-Jona	41	35	13	2	20	50	61	-11
07 FC Wil 1900	40	35	10	10	15	38	52	-14
08 Etoile Carouge	39	35	10	9	16	44	52	-8
09 Stade Nyonnais	28	35	5	13	17	32	58	-26
10 Bellinzona	22	35	5	7	23	38	75	-37

Head To Head

16/05/2025 14:15

Etoile Carouge

1 - 3

Aarau

SUI CL

28/03/2025 15:15

Aarau

2 - 2

Etoile Carouge

SUI CL

05/12/2024 15:00

Aarau

0 - 1

Etoile Carouge

SUI Cup

01/11/2024 15:15

Etoile Carouge

2 - 1

Aarau

SUI CL

24/08/2024 12:00

Aarau

1 - 0

Etoile Carouge

SUI CL

23/05/2012 14:15

Aarau

7 - 0

Etoile Carouge

SUI CL

Etoile Carouge

33%

Draw

17%

Aarau

50%

Etoile Carouge Last 6 matches

19/09/2025 13:00

Etoile Carouge 1 - 1 Basel SUI Cup

12/09/2025 14:15

Etoile Carouge 2 - 1 Yverdon SUI CL

30/08/2025 12:00

Stade Ouchy 2 - 0 Etoile Carouge SUI CL

26/08/2025 14:15

Etoile Carouge 1 - 1 Stade Nyonnais SUI CL

22/08/2025 13:30

Neuchatel Xamax 2 - 1 Etoile Carouge SUI CL

16/08/2025 12:00

Signal 0 - 0 Etoile Carouge SUI Cup

Win

17%

Draw

50%

Lost

33%

Last 6 matches Aarau

20/09/2025 13:00

Aarau 1 - 0 Young Boys SUI Cup

13/09/2025 12:00

Aarau 1 - 0 Vaduz SUI CL

29/08/2025 14:15

FC Rapperswil-Jona 0 - 1 Aarau SUI CL

25/08/2025 14:15

Aarau 3 - 0 Stade Ouchy SUI CL

22/08/2025 13:30

Stade Nyonnais 4 - 5 Aarau SUI CL

16/08/2025 13:40

Wohlen 1 - 3 Aarau SUI Cup

Win

100%

Draw

Lost

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Swiss Challenge League

Played games

Goals

Scored

360

Avg. per game

1.64

Conceded

311

Avg. per game

1.42

Scored

515

Avg. per game

1.84

Conceded

417

Avg. per game

1.49

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 219 matches

YesNo

164 (75%)55 (25%)

In last 219 matches

NoYes

236 (84%)44 (16%)

Etoile Carouge

Recent matches

Aarau

Under /Over

(82%)37 8(18%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(78%)35 10(22%)

Under /Over

(42%)19 26(58%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(44%)20 25(56%)

Under /Over

(49%)22 23(51%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(49%)22 23(51%)

/Yes

(49%)22 23(51%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(64%)29 16(36%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Etoile Carouge

Aarau

Shots

Etoile Carouge

Total shots

12.62 avg / game

Blocked

164 total

Avg. 4.10

Aarau

Total shots

12.08 avg / game

Blocked

173 total

Avg. 4.55

Etoile Carouge Pass Aarau

Total passes

31777

Avg. 461 / game

Accurate

86%

Ball possession

53%

Total passes

27834

Avg. 392 / game

Accurate

78%

Ball possession

53%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Etoile Carouge

219

Played games

Aarau

280

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.27

Clean sheets

0.28

3.42

749

Corners

1399

5.00

5.42

1187

Throw-ins

1572

5.61

0.52

114

Offsides

445

1.59

0.93

204

GK saves

664

2.37

Etoile Carouge

DISCIPLINARY

Aarau

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.65

362

529

1.89

0.08

0.06

3.79

831

Fouls

2816

10.06

3.67

803

Tackles

1056

3.77

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Etoile Carouge vs Aarau Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Etoile Carouge vs Aarau on 26 September 2025 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Swiss Challenge League fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Etoile Carouge vs Aarau Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Etoile Carouge's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Aarau's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Swiss Challenge League Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Swiss Challenge League standings and the Swiss Challenge League form table to understand exactly where Etoile Carouge and Aarau sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Swiss Challenge League predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

Explore More Swiss Challenge League Predictions

Find every upcoming Swiss Challenge League fixtures and predictions for this matchday, or browse all football predictions for today across every major league on Betiball.com.

View More View Less