Ethiopia vs Senegal: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 27 September

Prediction

Ethiopia

D W W W L

3rd place in Group J

? - ?

27/09/2026 12:00

Senegal

D W L L D

2nd place in Group J

African Nations Cup

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Ethiopia vs Senegal on 27 September 2026 (kick-off: 12:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Ethiopia vs Senegal preview before placing your bet.

Ethiopia are currently 3rd with 0 points after 0 matches.
Senegal sit 2nd with 0 points from 0 matches.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

STANDINGS UP TO 27/09/2026

Group J	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Sudan	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
02 Senegal	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
03 Ethiopia	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
04 Mozambique	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Ethiopia Last 6 matches

09/06/2026 22:00

Ethiopia 1 - 1 Malawi International Friendly

06/06/2026 22:00

Ethiopia 1 - 0 Malawi International Friendly

31/03/2026 20:00

Ethiopia 1 - 0 Sao Tome and Principe Africa Cup of Nations

27/03/2026 23:00

Sao Tome and Principe 0 - 3 Ethiopia Africa Cup of Nations

13/10/2025 02:00

Burkina Faso 3 - 1 Ethiopia FIFA World Cup qualification (CAF)

08/10/2025 20:00

Ethiopia 1 - 0 Guinea Bissau FIFA World Cup qualification (CAF)

Win

67%

Draw

17%

Lost

17%

Last 6 matches Senegal

02/07/2026 03:00

Belgium 2 - 2 Senegal FIFA World Cup

27/06/2026 02:00

Senegal 5 - 0 Iraq FIFA World Cup

23/06/2026 07:00

Norway 3 - 2 Senegal FIFA World Cup

17/06/2026 02:00

France 3 - 1 Senegal FIFA World Cup

10/06/2026 06:00

Saudi Arabia 0 - 0 Senegal International Friendly

01/06/2026 02:35

USA 3 - 2 Senegal International Friendly

Win

17%

Draw

33%

Lost

50%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues African Nations Cup

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Ethiopia

Senegal

114

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

0.58

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.49

Scored

110

Avg. per game

0.96

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.39

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

2 (33%)4 (67%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

5 (83%)1 (17%)

In last 69 matches

YesNo

30 (43%)39 (57%)

In last 69 matches

NoYes

71 (62%)43 (38%)

Ethiopia

Recent matches

Senegal

Under /Over

(69%)31 14(31%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(69%)31 14(31%)

Under /Over

(38%)17 28(62%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(20%)9 36(80%)

Under /Over

(29%)13 32(71%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(40%)18 27(60%)

/Yes

(33%)15 30(67%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(40%)18 27(60%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Ethiopia

Senegal

Shots

Ethiopia

Total shots

8.22 avg / game

Blocked

29 total

Avg. 2.90

Senegal

Total shots

12.29 avg / game

Blocked

125 total

Avg. 3.29

Ethiopia Pass Senegal

Total passes

7259

Avg. 484 / game

Accurate

82%

Ball possession

53%

Total passes

21059

Avg. 421 / game

Accurate

84%

Ball possession

56%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Ethiopia

Played games

Senegal

114

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.36

Clean sheets

0.52

2.13

147

Corners

580

5.09

3.14

217

Throw-ins

777

6.82

0.77

Offsides

111

0.97

1.23

GK saves

128

1.12

Ethiopia

DISCIPLINARY

Senegal

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.83

177

1.55

0.01

0.03

4.13

285

Fouls

827

7.25

2.90

200

Tackles

548

4.81

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Ethiopia vs Senegal Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Ethiopia vs Senegal on 27 September 2026 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this African Nations Cup fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Ethiopia vs Senegal Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Ethiopia's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Senegal's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

African Nations Cup Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live African Nations Cup standings and the African Nations Cup form table to understand exactly where Ethiopia and Senegal sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our African Nations Cup predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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