Ethiopia vs Senegal: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 27 September

Ethiopia
DWWWL
3rd place in Group J
? - ?
27/09/2026 12:00
Senegal
DWLLD
2nd place in Group J
African Nations Cup
MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Ethiopia vs Senegal on 27 September 2026 (kick-off: 12:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Ethiopia vs Senegal preview before placing your bet.

  • Ethiopia are currently 3rd with 0 points after 0 matches.
  • Senegal sit 2nd with 0 points from 0 matches.
Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards
Home team Away team
Probability %
1
X
2
Pred
Correct
Avg.g
Coef.
Score.
Live coef.
Weather
STANDINGS UP TO 27/09/2026
Group J PTS
GP W D L GF GA +/-
01 Sudan Sudan
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
02 Senegal Senegal
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
03 Ethiopia Ethiopia
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
04 Mozambique Mozambique
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Ethiopia Ethiopia Last 6 matches
09/06/2026 22:00
Ethiopia 1 - 1 Malawi International Friendly
06/06/2026 22:00
Ethiopia 1 - 0 Malawi International Friendly
31/03/2026 20:00
Ethiopia 1 - 0 Sao Tome and Principe Africa Cup of Nations
27/03/2026 23:00
Sao Tome and Principe 0 - 3 Ethiopia Africa Cup of Nations
13/10/2025 02:00
Burkina Faso 3 - 1 Ethiopia FIFA World Cup qualification (CAF)
08/10/2025 20:00
Ethiopia 1 - 0 Guinea Bissau FIFA World Cup qualification (CAF)
Win
67%
Draw
17%
Lost
17%
Last 6 matches Senegal Senegal
02/07/2026 03:00
Belgium 2 - 2 Senegal FIFA World Cup
27/06/2026 02:00
Senegal 5 - 0 Iraq FIFA World Cup
23/06/2026 07:00
Norway 3 - 2 Senegal FIFA World Cup
17/06/2026 02:00
France 3 - 1 Senegal FIFA World Cup
10/06/2026 06:00
Saudi Arabia 0 - 0 Senegal International Friendly
01/06/2026 02:35
USA 3 - 2 Senegal International Friendly
Win
17%
Draw
33%
Lost
50%
Overall Home/Away
Full time First half Second half
All leagues African Nations Cup
Played games
Ethiopia
Ethiopia
69
 Senegal
Senegal
114
Goals
Scored
78
Avg. per game
1.13
Conceded
80
Avg. per game
1.16
Scored
193
Avg. per game
1.69
Conceded
77
Avg. per game
0.68
Scored a goal
In last 6 matches
YesNo
6 (100%)0 (0%)
In last 6 matches
NoYes
5 (83%)1 (17%)
In last 69 matches
YesNo
44 (64%)25 (36%)
In last 69 matches
NoYes
94 (82%)20 (18%)
Ethiopia

Ethiopia

Recent matches

Senegal

Senegal

Under /Over

(69%)31 14(31%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(69%)31 14(31%)

Under /Over

(38%)17 28(62%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(20%)9 36(80%)

Under /Over

(29%)13 32(71%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(40%)18 27(60%)

/Yes

(33%)15 30(67%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(40%)18 27(60%)
GOALS BY TIME PERIOD
Ethiopia Ethiopia
Senegal Senegal
Shots
Ethiopia
Ethiopia
Total shots
8.22 avg / game
Blocked
29 total
Avg. 2.90
Senegal
Senegal
Total shots
12.29 avg / game
Blocked
125 total
Avg. 3.29
Ethiopia Ethiopia Pass Senegal Senegal
Total passes
7259
Avg. 484 / game
Accurate
82%
Ball possession
53%
Total passes
21059
Avg. 421 / game
Accurate
84%
Ball possession
56%
TOTAL ATTACKS
Ethiopia
Ethiopia
4337
Avg. 62.86 / game
 Senegal
Senegal
10170
Avg. 89.21 / game
DANGEROUS ATTACKS
Ethiopia
Ethiopia
2254
Avg. 32.67 / game
 Senegal
Senegal
6218
Avg. 54.54 / game
OTHERS
Ethiopia
Ethiopia
69
Played games
Senegal
Senegal
114
Avg / game Total Total Avg / game
0.36
25
Clean sheets
59
0.52
2.13
147
Corners
580
5.09
3.14
217
Throw-ins
777
6.82
0.77
53
Offsides
111
0.97
1.23
85
GK saves
128
1.12
Ethiopia
Ethiopia
DISCIPLINARY
Senegal
Senegal
Avg / game Total Total Avg / game
0.83
57
Yellow card
177
1.55
0.01
1
Red card
3
0.03
4.13
285
Fouls
827
7.25
2.90
200
Tackles
548
4.81
NEXT MATCHES
09/23
Sudan Sudan
VS
Ethiopia Ethiopia
CAF
NEXT MATCHES
09/23
Senegal Senegal
VS
Mozambique Mozambique
CAF

How We Build the Ethiopia vs Senegal Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Ethiopia vs Senegal on 27 September 2026 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this African Nations Cup fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Ethiopia vs Senegal Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Ethiopia's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Senegal's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

African Nations Cup Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live African Nations Cup standings and the African Nations Cup form table to understand exactly where Ethiopia and Senegal sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our African Nations Cup predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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