Ethiopia vs Lesotho: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 21 March

Ethiopia

L D L W D

No standing data

1-2

21/03/2024 08:20

Lesotho

D L D D L

No standing data

International Friendly

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Ethiopia vs Lesotho on 21 March 2024 (kick-off: 08:20) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Ethiopia vs Lesotho preview before placing your bet.

Our algorithm prediction: Ethiopia to win with probability 40%.
Head-to-head history favors Ethiopia, who have won 2 of the last 6 meetings. Lesotho have no wins, while 4 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

08:20

2024-03-21

Ethiopia vs Lesotho - Prediction & Odds

Ethiopia

Lesotho

2024-03-21 08:20

STANDINGS UP TO 21/03/2024

The standings compare the rankings (Rank-XH) of Ethiopia and Lesotho in the International Friendly football standings for the 2024 season, updated before kickoff and immediately after the match ends.

Head To Head

30/05/2022 09:00

Ethiopia

1 - 1

Lesotho

INT FRL

28/05/2022 09:00

Ethiopia

1 - 1

Lesotho

INT FRL

08/09/2019 09:00

Lesotho

1 - 1

Ethiopia

WCPAF

04/09/2019 09:00

Ethiopia

0 - 0

Lesotho

WCPAF

05/06/2016 09:00

Lesotho

1 - 2

Ethiopia

CAF NC

14/06/2015 09:00

Ethiopia

2 - 1

Lesotho

CAF NC

Ethiopia

33%

Draw

67%

Lesotho

Ethiopia Last 6 matches

21/11/2023 09:00

Ethiopia 0 - 3 Burkina Faso WCPAF

15/11/2023 15:00

Ethiopia 0 - 0 Sierra Leone WCPAF

08/09/2023 11:59

Egypt 1 - 0 Ethiopia CAF NC

02/08/2023 19:20

Ethiopia 2 - 0 Guyana INT FRL

20/06/2023 10:00

Ethiopia 0 - 0 Malawi CAF NC

27/03/2023 15:00

Ethiopia 2 - 3 Guinea CAF NC

Win

17%

Draw

33%

Lost

50%

Last 6 matches Lesotho

10/01/2024 09:00

South Africa 0 - 0 Lesotho INT FRL

06/01/2024 10:00

Mozambique 2 - 0 Lesotho INT FRL

21/11/2023 09:00

Lesotho 0 - 0 Benin WCPAF

16/11/2023 11:59

Nigeria 1 - 1 Lesotho WCPAF

09/09/2023 11:59

Ivory Coast 1 - 0 Lesotho CAF NC

16/07/2023 11:59

Lesotho 0 - 1 Zambia SACC

Win

Draw

50%

Lost

50%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues International Friendly

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Ethiopia

Lesotho

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

0.58

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.49

Scored

Avg. per game

0.37

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.76

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

2 (33%)4 (67%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

2 (33%)4 (67%)

In last 69 matches

YesNo

30 (43%)39 (57%)

In last 69 matches

NoYes

21 (31%)47 (69%)

Ethiopia

Recent matches

Lesotho

Under /Over

(69%)31 14(31%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(60%)27 18(40%)

Under /Over

(38%)17 28(62%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(24%)11 34(76%)

Under /Over

(29%)13 32(71%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(36%)16 29(64%)

/Yes

(33%)15 30(67%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(29%)13 32(71%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Ethiopia

Lesotho

Shots

Ethiopia

Total shots

8.22 avg / game

Blocked

29 total

Avg. 2.90

Lesotho

Total shots

7.56 avg / game

Blocked

13 total

Avg. 1.63

Ethiopia Pass Lesotho

Total passes

7259

Avg. 484 / game

Accurate

82%

Ball possession

53%

Total passes

3661

Avg. 282 / game

Accurate

73%

Ball possession

44%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Ethiopia

Played games

Lesotho

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.36

Clean sheets

0.28

2.13

147

Corners

153

2.25

3.14

217

Throw-ins

252

3.71

0.77

Offsides

0.72

1.23

GK saves

1.06

Ethiopia

DISCIPLINARY

Lesotho

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.83

106

1.56

0.01

0.07

4.13

285

Fouls

287

4.22

2.90

200

Tackles

157

2.31

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Ethiopia vs Lesotho Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Ethiopia vs Lesotho on 21 March 2024 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this International Friendly fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Ethiopia vs Lesotho Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Ethiopia's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Lesotho's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

International Friendly Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live International Friendly standings and the International Friendly form table to understand exactly where Ethiopia and Lesotho sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our International Friendly predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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