Ethiopia vs Guinea: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 27 March

Ethiopia

W L L D D

4th place in Group D

2 - 3

27/03/2023 15:00

Guinea

L L W L W

2nd place in Group D

African Nations Cup

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Ethiopia vs Guinea on 27 March 2023 (kick-off: 15:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Ethiopia vs Guinea preview before placing your bet.

Ethiopia are currently 4th with 4 points after 6 matches.
Guinea sit 2nd with 10 points from 6 matches.
Head-to-head history favors Guinea, who have won 2 of the last 2 meetings. Ethiopia have no wins, while 0 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

STANDINGS UP TO 27/03/2023

Group D	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Egypt	15	6	5	0	1	10	3	7
02 Guinea	10	6	3	1	2	9	7	2
03 Malawi	5	6	1	2	3	4	10	-6
04 Ethiopia	4	6	1	1	4	5	8	-3

Group C	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Senegal	9	3	3	0	0	8	1	7
02 Cameroon	4	3	1	1	1	5	6	-1
03 Guinea	4	3	1	1	1	2	3	-1
04 Gambia	0	3	0	0	3	2	7	-5

Head To Head

04/09/2011 11:00

Guinea

1 - 0

Ethiopia

CAF NC

05/09/2010 09:00

Ethiopia

1 - 4

Guinea

CAF NC

Ethiopia

Draw

Guinea

100%

Ethiopia Last 6 matches

19/03/2023 08:20

Ethiopia 1 - 0 Rwanda INT FRL

21/01/2023 15:00

Libya 3 - 1 Ethiopia CAF SC

17/01/2023 15:00

Algeria 1 - 0 Ethiopia CAF SC

14/01/2023 09:00

Ethiopia 0 - 0 Mozambique CAF SC

26/09/2022 09:00

Ethiopia 2 - 2 Sudan INT FRL

23/09/2022 04:00

Ethiopia 1 - 1 Sudan INT FRL

Win

17%

Draw

50%

Lost

33%

Last 6 matches Guinea

27/09/2022 14:00

Ivory Coast 3 - 1 Guinea INT FRL

23/09/2022 15:00

Algeria 1 - 0 Guinea INT FRL

02/09/2022 11:59

Guinea 1 - 0 Senegal CAF SC

27/08/2022 15:00

Senegal 1 - 0 Guinea CAF SC

09/06/2022 11:59

Guinea 1 - 0 Malawi CAF NC

05/06/2022 15:00

Egypt 1 - 0 Guinea CAF NC

Win

33%

Draw

Lost

67%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues African Nations Cup

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Ethiopia

Guinea

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

0.58

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.49

Scored

Avg. per game

0.67

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.57

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

2 (33%)4 (67%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 69 matches

YesNo

30 (43%)39 (57%)

In last 69 matches

NoYes

40 (48%)43 (52%)

Ethiopia

Recent matches

Guinea

Under /Over

(69%)31 14(31%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(64%)29 16(36%)

Under /Over

(38%)17 28(62%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(31%)14 31(69%)

Under /Over

(29%)13 32(71%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(42%)19 26(58%)

/Yes

(33%)15 30(67%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(49%)22 23(51%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Ethiopia

Guinea

Shots

Ethiopia

Total shots

8.22 avg / game

Blocked

29 total

Avg. 2.90

Guinea

Total shots

9.29 avg / game

Blocked

50 total

Avg. 2.63

Ethiopia Pass Guinea

Total passes

7259

Avg. 484 / game

Accurate

82%

Ball possession

53%

Total passes

9271

Avg. 386 / game

Accurate

80%

Ball possession

52%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Ethiopia

Played games

Guinea

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.36

Clean sheets

0.35

2.13

147

Corners

303

3.65

3.14

217

Throw-ins

397

4.78

0.77

Offsides

0.63

1.23

GK saves

0.88

Ethiopia

DISCIPLINARY

Guinea

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.83

102

1.23

0.01

0.04

4.13

285

Fouls

535

6.45

2.90

200

Tackles

294

3.54

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Ethiopia vs Guinea Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Ethiopia vs Guinea on 27 March 2023 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this African Nations Cup fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Ethiopia vs Guinea Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Ethiopia's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Guinea's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

African Nations Cup Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live African Nations Cup standings and the African Nations Cup form table to understand exactly where Ethiopia and Guinea sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our African Nations Cup predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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