Erzgebirge Aue vs MSV Duisburg: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 09 December

Erzgebirge Aue

L W D W D

6th place in German 3.Liga

1-1

09/12/2023 11:30

MSV Duisburg

D L W L D

18th place in German 3.Liga

German 3.Liga

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Erzgebirge Aue vs MSV Duisburg on 09 December 2023 (kick-off: 11:30) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Erzgebirge Aue vs MSV Duisburg preview before placing your bet.

Erzgebirge Aue are currently 6th with 60 points after 38 matches.
MSV Duisburg sit 18th with 34 points from 38 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Erzgebirge Aue to win with probability 44%.
Head-to-head history favors MSV Duisburg, who have won 4 of the last 6 meetings. Erzgebirge Aue have one win, while one match ended in a draw.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

11:30

2023-12-09

Erzgebirge Aue vs MSV Duisburg - Prediction & Odds

Erzgebirge Aue

MSV Duisburg

2023-12-09 11:30

STANDINGS UP TO 09/12/2023

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 SSV Ulm 1846	77	38	23	8	7	65	38	27
02 Preuben Munster	67	38	19	10	9	68	49	19
03 Jahn Regensburg	63	38	17	12	9	51	42	9
04 Dynamo Dresden	62	38	19	5	14	58	40	18
05 Saarbrucken	60	38	15	15	8	60	43	17
06 Erzgebirge Aue	60	38	16	12	10	51	47	4
07 Rot-Weiss Essen	59	38	17	8	13	60	53	7
08 SV Sandhausen	56	38	15	11	12	58	57	1
09 Unterhaching	55	38	16	7	15	50	49	1
10 Ingolstadt	54	38	14	12	12	65	51	14
11 Borussia Dortmund (Youth)	54	38	14	12	12	58	53	5
12 SC Verl	53	38	14	11	13	59	56	3
13 Viktoria koln	49	38	13	10	15	59	65	-6
14 Arminia Bielefeld	46	38	11	13	14	48	47	1
15 TSV 1860 Munchen	46	38	13	7	18	40	42	-2
16 SV Waldhof Mannheim	43	38	11	10	17	51	60	-9
17 Hallescher FC	40	38	11	7	20	50	68	-18
18 MSV Duisburg	34	38	8	10	20	41	65	-24
19 VFB Lubeck	32	38	6	14	18	37	77	-40
20 SC Freiburg (Youth)	30	38	8	6	24	37	64	-27

Head To Head

05/05/2023 13:00

MSV Duisburg

3 - 0

Erzgebirge Aue

GER D3

08/11/2022 14:00

Erzgebirge Aue

0 - 2

MSV Duisburg

GER D3

24/02/2019 08:30

Erzgebirge Aue

0 - 0

MSV Duisburg

GER D2

23/09/2018 07:30

MSV Duisburg

1 - 2

Erzgebirge Aue

GER D2

22/04/2018 07:30

Erzgebirge Aue

1 - 3

MSV Duisburg

GER D2

19/11/2017 08:30

MSV Duisburg

3 - 0

Erzgebirge Aue

GER D2

Erzgebirge Aue

17%

Draw

17%

MSV Duisburg

67%

Erzgebirge Aue Last 6 matches

25/11/2023 09:00

Erzgebirge Aue 2 - 0 Borussia Dortmund (Youth) GER D3

11/11/2023 09:00

Unterhaching 0 - 0 Erzgebirge Aue GER D3

03/11/2023 14:00

Erzgebirge Aue 1 - 2 SC Verl GER D3

29/10/2023 14:30

SC Freiburg (Youth) 0 - 1 Erzgebirge Aue GER D3

22/10/2023 13:30

Erzgebirge Aue 1 - 2 SSV Ulm 1846 GER D3

14/10/2023 08:00

Viktoria koln 2 - 2 Erzgebirge Aue GER D3

Win

33%

Draw

33%

Lost

33%

Last 6 matches MSV Duisburg

29/11/2023 14:00

Saarbrucken 0 - 0 MSV Duisburg GER D3

25/11/2023 09:00

SV Sandhausen 2 - 0 MSV Duisburg GER D3

11/11/2023 09:00

MSV Duisburg 1 - 2 Ingolstadt GER D3

05/11/2023 08:30

SV Waldhof Mannheim 0 - 0 MSV Duisburg GER D3

28/10/2023 08:00

MSV Duisburg 1 - 2 Rot-Weiss Essen GER D3

21/10/2023 10:30

MSV Duisburg 0 - 1 Arminia Bielefeld GER D3

Win

Draw

33%

Lost

67%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues German 3.Liga

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Erzgebirge Aue

MSV Duisburg

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

0.87

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.66

Scored

Avg. per game

0.53

Conceded

Avg. per game

1.00

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

6 (100%)0 (0%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 38 matches

YesNo

24 (63%)14 (37%)

In last 38 matches

NoYes

16 (42%)22 (58%)

Erzgebirge Aue

Recent matches

MSV Duisburg

Under /Over

(79%)30 8(21%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(74%)28 10(26%)

Under /Over

(26%)10 28(74%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(39%)15 23(61%)

Under /Over

(50%)19 19(50%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(42%)16 22(58%)

/Yes

(61%)23 15(39%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(55%)21 17(45%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Erzgebirge Aue

MSV Duisburg

Shots

Erzgebirge Aue

Total shots

9.58 avg / game

Blocked

17 total

Avg. 3.40

MSV Duisburg

Total shots

9.03 avg / game

Blocked

4 total

Avg. 4.00

Erzgebirge Aue Pass MSV Duisburg

Total passes

—

Avg. — / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

52%

Total passes

—

Avg. — / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

48%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Erzgebirge Aue

Played games

MSV Duisburg

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.26

Clean sheets

0.18

5.87

223

Corners

198

5.21

0.00

Throw-ins

0.00

0.13

Offsides

0.00

0.18

GK saves

0.00

Erzgebirge Aue

DISCIPLINARY

MSV Duisburg

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

2.00

100

2.63

0.05

0.08

0.97

Fouls

0.00

Tackles

0.00

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Erzgebirge Aue vs MSV Duisburg Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Erzgebirge Aue vs MSV Duisburg on 09 December 2023 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this German 3.Liga fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Erzgebirge Aue vs MSV Duisburg Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Erzgebirge Aue's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against MSV Duisburg's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

German 3.Liga Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live German 3.Liga standings and the German 3.Liga form table to understand exactly where Erzgebirge Aue and MSV Duisburg sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our German 3.Liga predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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