Dunfermline Athletic vs Ayr United Prediction, analysis & Match Preview – September 23

Dunfermline Athletic

W L D L W

4th place in Scottish Championship

0-1

23/09/2025 11:45

Ayr United

D L W L L

7th place in Scottish Championship

Scottish Championship

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Dunfermline Athletic vs Ayr United on September 23, 2025 (kick-off: 11:45) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Dunfermline Athletic vs Ayr United preview before placing for you.

Dunfermline Athletic are currently 4th with 51 points after 36 matches.
Ayr United sit 7th with 39 points from 36 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Dunfermline Athletic to win with probability 39%.
Head-to-head history favors Ayr United, who have won 3 of the last 6 meetings. Dunfermline Athletic have one win, while 2 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

11:45

2025-09-23

Dunfermline Athletic vs Ayr United - Prediction & Odds

Dunfermline Athletic

Ayr United

2025-09-23 11:45

STANDINGS UP TO 23/09/2025

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Saint Johnstone	77	36	22	11	3	67	25	42
02 Partick Thistle	66	36	17	15	4	53	36	17
03 Arbroath	52	36	13	13	10	43	41	2
04 Dunfermline Athletic	51	36	14	9	13	52	41	11
05 Raith Rovers	45	36	12	9	15	43	42	1
06 $Queen\'s Park$ Queen\'s Park	41	36	9	14	13	35	48	-13
07 Ayr United	39	36	8	15	13	38	47	-9
08 Greenock Morton	38	36	8	14	14	36	52	-16
09 Airdrie United	36	36	8	12	16	35	49	-14
10 Ross County	34	36	8	10	18	36	57	-21

Head To Head

29/03/2025 08:00

Ayr United

3 - 0

Dunfermline Athletic

SCO CH

14/01/2025 12:45

Dunfermline Athletic

0 - 2

Ayr United

SCO CH

23/11/2024 08:40

Ayr United

1 - 0

Dunfermline Athletic

SCO CH

31/08/2024 07:00

Dunfermline Athletic

1 - 1

Ayr United

SCO CH

03/05/2024 11:45

Ayr United

3 - 3

Dunfermline Athletic

SCO CH

02/03/2024 08:00

Dunfermline Athletic

2 - 0

Ayr United

SCO CH

Dunfermline Athletic

17%

Draw

33%

Ayr United

50%

Dunfermline Athletic Last 6 matches

19/09/2025 11:45

Saint Johnstone 2 - 1 Dunfermline Athletic SCO CH

13/09/2025 07:00

Arbroath 0 - 5 Dunfermline Athletic SCO CH

30/08/2025 07:00

Dunfermline Athletic 2 - 2 Ross County SCO CH

22/08/2025 11:45

Raith Rovers 2 - 0 Dunfermline Athletic SCO CH

09/08/2025 07:00

Dunfermline Athletic 2 - 0 Airdrie United SCO CH

02/08/2025 07:00

Greenock Morton 0 - 0 Dunfermline Athletic SCO CH

Win

33%

Draw

33%

Lost

33%

Last 6 matches Ayr United

13/09/2025 07:00

Ayr United 1 - 1 Ross County SCO CH

30/08/2025 07:00

Ayr United 1 - 1 Queen's Park SCO CH

23/08/2025 07:00

Greenock Morton 2 - 2 Ayr United SCO CH

16/08/2025 07:00

Partick Thistle 2 - 0 Ayr United SCO LC

09/08/2025 07:00

Ayr United 0 - 1 Raith Rovers SCO CH

01/08/2025 11:45

Arbroath 1 - 1 Ayr United SCO CH

Win

Draw

67%

Lost

33%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Scottish Championship

Played games

Goals

Scored

387

Avg. per game

1.34

Conceded

334

Avg. per game

1.16

Scored

422

Avg. per game

1.49

Conceded

360

Avg. per game

1.27

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

6 (100%)0 (0%)

In last 289 matches

YesNo

188 (65%)101 (35%)

In last 289 matches

NoYes

209 (74%)75 (26%)

Dunfermline Athletic

Recent matches

Ayr United

Under /Over

(71%)32 13(29%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(76%)34 11(24%)

Under /Over

(38%)17 28(62%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(38%)17 28(62%)

Under /Over

(44%)20 25(56%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(42%)19 26(58%)

/Yes

(40%)18 27(60%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(56%)25 20(44%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Dunfermline Athletic

Ayr United

Shots

Dunfermline Athletic

Total shots

10.44 avg / game

Blocked

37 total

Avg. 1.76

Ayr United

Total shots

9.91 avg / game

Blocked

64 total

Avg. 2.56

Dunfermline Athletic Pass Ayr United

Total passes

1672

Avg. 334 / game

Accurate

65%

Ball possession

50%

Total passes

—

Avg. — / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

49%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Dunfermline Athletic

289

Played games

Ayr United

284

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.34

Clean sheets

0.29

5.25

1518

Corners

1389

4.89

0.63

183

Throw-ins

0.04

0.30

Offsides

0.23

1.33

385

GK saves

397

1.40

Dunfermline Athletic

DISCIPLINARY

Ayr United

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.56

451

478

1.68

0.05

0.08

4.29

1240

Fouls

1644

5.79

0.21

Tackles

0.00

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Dunfermline Athletic vs Ayr United Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Dunfermline Athletic vs Ayr United on 23 September 2025 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Scottish Championship fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Dunfermline Athletic vs Ayr United Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Dunfermline Athletic's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Ayr United's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Scottish Championship Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Scottish Championship standings and the Scottish Championship form table to understand exactly where Dunfermline Athletic and Ayr United sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Scottish Championship predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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