Desenzano Calvina vs USD Castellanzese: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 04 May

Desenzano Calvina

W W W W L

No standing data

0 - 2

04/05/2025 09:00

USD Castellanzese

W W D D D

No standing data

Italy Serie D

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Desenzano Calvina vs USD Castellanzese on 04 May 2025 (kick-off: 09:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Desenzano Calvina vs USD Castellanzese preview before placing your bet.

Head-to-head history favors Desenzano Calvina, who have won 2 of the last 4 meetings. USD Castellanzese have no wins, while 2 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

STANDINGS UP TO 04/05/2025

The standings compare the rankings (Rank-XH) of Desenzano Calvina and USD Castellanzese in the Italy Serie D football standings for the 2025 season, updated before kickoff and immediately after the match ends.

Head To Head

22/12/2024 09:30

USD Castellanzese

1 - 1

Desenzano Calvina

ITA S4

25/02/2024 09:30

USD Castellanzese

0 - 3

Desenzano Calvina

ITA S4

22/10/2023 09:00

Desenzano Calvina

1 - 1

USD Castellanzese

ITA S4

20/10/2021 09:00

USD Castellanzese

1 - 2

Desenzano Calvina

ITA S4

Desenzano Calvina

50%

Draw

50%

USD Castellanzese

Desenzano Calvina Last 6 matches

27/04/2025 09:00

USD Casatese 0 - 1 Desenzano Calvina ITA S4

17/04/2025 09:00

Desenzano Calvina 1 - 0 AC Vigasio ITA S4

14/04/2025 09:00

A.C. Crema 1908 0 - 1 Desenzano Calvina ITA S4

06/04/2025 09:00

Desenzano Calvina 1 - 0 Ciliverghe Mazzano ITA S4

30/03/2025 09:00

A.C. Ospitaletto 2 - 1 Desenzano Calvina ITA S4

23/03/2025 09:30

Desenzano Calvina 4 - 1 Club Milano ITA S4

Win

83%

Draw

Lost

17%

Last 6 matches USD Castellanzese

27/04/2025 09:00

USD Castellanzese 3 - 2 US Folgore Caratese ITA S4

17/04/2025 09:00

ACD SantAngelo 0 - 2 USD Castellanzese ITA S4

13/04/2025 09:00

USD Castellanzese 1 - 1 Chievo ITA S4

06/04/2025 09:00

Varesina Calcio 1 - 1 USD Castellanzese ITA S4

30/03/2025 09:00

USD Castellanzese 2 - 2 Sangiuliano City Nova ITA S4

23/03/2025 09:30

US Breno 1 - 1 USD Castellanzese ITA S4

Win

33%

Draw

67%

Lost

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Italy Serie D

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Desenzano Calvina

USD Castellanzese

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

0.82

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.39

Scored

Avg. per game

0.72

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.56

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

5 (83%)1 (17%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 38 matches

YesNo

20 (53%)18 (47%)

In last 38 matches

NoYes

17 (47%)19 (53%)

Desenzano Calvina

Recent matches

USD Castellanzese

Under /Over

(61%)23 15(39%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(72%)26 10(28%)

Under /Over

(29%)11 27(71%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(36%)13 23(64%)

Under /Over

(39%)15 23(61%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(33%)12 24(67%)

/Yes

(42%)16 22(58%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(61%)22 14(39%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Desenzano Calvina

USD Castellanzese

Shots

Desenzano Calvina

Total shots

10.24 avg / game

Blocked

0 total

Avg. —

USD Castellanzese

Total shots

10.43 avg / game

Blocked

0 total

Avg. —

Desenzano Calvina Pass USD Castellanzese

Total passes

—

Avg. — / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

55%

Total passes

—

Avg. — / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

51%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Desenzano Calvina

Played games

USD Castellanzese

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.39

Clean sheets

0.31

2.08

Corners

148

4.11

0.00

Throw-ins

0.00

0.29

Offsides

0.69

0.00

GK saves

0.00

Desenzano Calvina

DISCIPLINARY

USD Castellanzese

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.05

1.64

0.03

0.08

1.63

Fouls

180

5.00

0.00

Tackles

0.00

NEXT MATCHES

No upcoming matches.

NEXT MATCHES

No upcoming matches.

How We Build the Desenzano Calvina vs USD Castellanzese Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Desenzano Calvina vs USD Castellanzese on 04 May 2025 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Italy Serie D fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Desenzano Calvina vs USD Castellanzese Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Desenzano Calvina's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against USD Castellanzese's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Italy Serie D Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Italy Serie D standings and the Italy Serie D form table to understand exactly where Desenzano Calvina and USD Castellanzese sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Italy Serie D predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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