Derby County vs Wrexham: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 04 January

Betiball's prediction for Derby County vs Wrexham on 04 January 2026 (kick-off: 11:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Derby County vs Wrexham preview before placing your bet.

Derby County vs Wrexham: Starting Lineups Time : 04/01/2026 11:00

Derby County
1 - 2
Finished
Wrexham
81' event Kayden Jackson / Dion Sanderson
73' event Dion Sanderson
60' event Lars-Jorgen Salvesen / Rhian Brewster
60' event Corey Josiah Paul Blackett-Taylor / Callum Elder
60' event Andreas Weimann / Patrick Agyemang
60' event Lewis Travis / Liam Thompson
34' event Ben Brereton
event 90' Jay Rodriguez / Sam Smith
event 90' Liberato Cacace / George Thomason
event 75' Lewis OBrien / Nathan Broadhead
event 69' Matthew James
event 66' Oliver Rathbone / Josh Windass
event 48' Matthew James
event 30' Max Cleworth
event 25' Sam Smith
81' event Kayden Jackson / Dion Sanderson
event 90' Jay Rodriguez / Sam Smith
73' event Dion Sanderson
event 90' Liberato Cacace / George Thomason
60' event Lars-Jorgen Salvesen / Rhian Brewster
event 75' Lewis OBrien / Nathan Broadhead
60' event Corey Josiah Paul Blackett-Taylor / Callum Elder
event 69' Matthew James
60' event Andreas Weimann / Patrick Agyemang
event 66' Oliver Rathbone / Josh Windass
60' event Lewis Travis / Liam Thompson
event 48' Matthew James
34' event Ben Brereton
event 30' Max Cleworth
event 25' Sam Smith
Derby County Derby County
Substitutions
#14 Andreas Weimann
#27 Lewis Travis
#19 Kayden Jackson
#11 Corey Josiah Paul Blackett-Taylor
#15 Lars-Jorgen Salvesen
#32 Adams Ebrima
#4 Danny Batth
#12 Richard ODonnell
#3 Craig Forsyth
Derby County Derby County Wrexham Wrexham
14Shots11
6Shots on Goal3
9Fouls8
12Corner Kick2
8Free kick9
1Offside2
1Yellow card2
39Aerial33
1Save5
8Successful Tackles24
9Interceptions7
21Long pass11
1Assist1
7Successful center3
4Shots off goal5
0Hit The Post1
16Head Success20
4Blocked3
5Tackle15
10Dribbles6
25Throw-in15
433Passes413
88Attacks103
69Dangerous attacks35
7Corner Kicks(HT)0
0BigChances1
0BigChancesMissed1
12ShotsInsideBox6
2ShotsOutsideBox5
42DuelsWon59
1.1ExpectedGoals1.46
0.69xGOpenPlay1.46
1.1xGNonPenalty1.46
1.73xGOT0.98
37Touches In Opposition Box10
27AccurateCrosses18
26GroundDuelsWon39
16AerialDuelsWon20
18Clearances43
Wrexham Wrexham
Substitutions
#13 Liberato Cacace
#27 Lewis OBrien
#16 Jay Rodriguez
#20 Oliver Rathbone
#24 Dan Scarr
#29 Ryan Barnett
#6 Conor Coady
#25 Callum Burton
#15 George Dobson
Commentary
90' Wrexham — substitution: Jay Rodriguez / Sam Smith
90' Wrexham — substitution: Liberato Cacace / George Thomason
81' Derby County — substitution: Kayden Jackson / Dion Sanderson
75' Wrexham — substitution: Lewis OBrien / Nathan Broadhead
73' Dion Sanderson - Derby County receive a yellow card
69' Matthew James - Wrexham receive a yellow card
66' Wrexham — substitution: Oliver Rathbone / Josh Windass
60' Derby County — substitution: Lars-Jorgen Salvesen / Rhian Brewster
60' Derby County — substitution: Corey Josiah Paul Blackett-Taylor / Callum Elder
60' Derby County — substitution: Andreas Weimann / Patrick Agyemang
60' Derby County — substitution: Lewis Travis / Liam Thompson
48' Goal! Matthew James - Wrexham
34' Goal! Ben Brereton - Derby County
30' Max Cleworth - Wrexham receive a yellow card
25' Goal! Sam Smith - Wrexham

How We Build the Derby County vs Wrexham Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Derby County vs Wrexham on 04 January 2026 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Derby County vs Wrexham Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Derby County's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Wrexham's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live standings and the form table to understand exactly where Derby County and Wrexham sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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