Derby County vs Swansea City: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 14 February

Betiball's prediction for Derby County vs Swansea City on 14 February 2026 (kick-off: 11:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Derby County vs Swansea City preview before placing your bet.

Derby County vs Swansea City: Starting Lineups Time : 14/02/2026 11:00

Derby County
2 - 0
Finished
Swansea City
90+4' event Carlton Morris / Ben Brereton
88' event Lars-Jorgen Salvesen / Patrick Agyemang
88' event Jaydon Banel / Sammie Szmodics
72' event Liam Thompson / Rhian Brewster
72' event Bobby Clark / Oscar Luigi Fraulo
67' event Patrick Agyemang
51' event Matthew Clarke
47' event Rhian Brewster
27' event Patrick Agyemang
event 85' Jay Fulton / Marko Stamenic
event 77' Melker Widell / Ronald Pereira Martins
event 77' Malick Yalcouye / Goncalo Baptista Franco
event 76' Benjamin Cabango
event 65' Gustavo Nunes Fernandes Gomes / Ji Seong Eom
event 65' Leo Walta / Liam Cullen
event 44' Marko Stamenic
90+4' event Carlton Morris / Ben Brereton
event 85' Jay Fulton / Marko Stamenic
88' event Lars-Jorgen Salvesen / Patrick Agyemang
event 77' Melker Widell / Ronald Pereira Martins
88' event Jaydon Banel / Sammie Szmodics
event 77' Malick Yalcouye / Goncalo Baptista Franco
72' event Liam Thompson / Rhian Brewster
event 76' Benjamin Cabango
72' event Bobby Clark / Oscar Luigi Fraulo
event 65' Gustavo Nunes Fernandes Gomes / Ji Seong Eom
67' event Patrick Agyemang
event 65' Leo Walta / Liam Cullen
51' event Matthew Clarke
event 44' Marko Stamenic
47' event Rhian Brewster
27' event Patrick Agyemang
Derby County Derby County
Substitutions
#34 Jaydon Banel
#42 Bobby Clark
#16 Liam Thompson
#9 Carlton Morris
#15 Lars-Jorgen Salvesen
#2 Derry John Murkin
#4 Danny Batth
#12 Richard ODonnell
#3 Craig Forsyth
Derby County Derby County Swansea City Swansea City
11Shots15
6Shots on Goal2
20Fouls12
6Corner Kick2
12Free kick20
2Offside1
2Yellow card2
1Aerial11
2Save3
14Successful Tackles17
7Interceptions7
29Long pass22
1Assist0
3Successful center2
2Shots off goal7
21Head Success7
3Blocked6
7Tackle18
3Dribbles8
23Throw-in19
225Passes582
60Attacks105
19Dangerous attacks36
1Corner Kicks(HT)1
4BigChances1
2BigChancesMissed1
5ShotsInsideBox5
6ShotsOutsideBox10
50DuelsWon54
0.8ExpectedGoals1
0.8xGNonPenalty1
2.22xGOT0.21
10Touches In Opposition Box16
11AccurateCrosses20
28GroundDuelsWon48
22AerialDuelsWon6
30Clearances12
Swansea City Swansea City
Substitutions
#21 Leo Walta
#7 Melker Widell
#4 Jay Fulton
#18 Gustavo Nunes Fernandes Gomes
#8 Malick Yalcouye
#25 Joel Ward
#1 Andrew Fisher
#16 Ishe Samuels-Smith
#2 Josh Key
Commentary
90+4' Derby County — substitution: Carlton Morris / Ben Brereton
88' Derby County — substitution: Lars-Jorgen Salvesen / Patrick Agyemang
88' Derby County — substitution: Jaydon Banel / Sammie Szmodics
85' Swansea City — substitution: Jay Fulton / Marko Stamenic
77' Swansea City — substitution: Melker Widell / Ronald Pereira Martins
77' Swansea City — substitution: Malick Yalcouye / Goncalo Baptista Franco
76' Benjamin Cabango - Swansea City receive a yellow card
72' Derby County — substitution: Liam Thompson / Rhian Brewster
72' Derby County — substitution: Bobby Clark / Oscar Luigi Fraulo
67' Goal! Patrick Agyemang - Derby County
65' Swansea City — substitution: Gustavo Nunes Fernandes Gomes / Ji Seong Eom
65' Swansea City — substitution: Leo Walta / Liam Cullen
51' Matthew Clarke - Derby County receive a yellow card
47' Goal! Rhian Brewster - Derby County
44' Marko Stamenic - Swansea City receive a yellow card
27' Patrick Agyemang - Derby County receive a yellow card

How We Build the Derby County vs Swansea City Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Derby County vs Swansea City on 14 February 2026 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Derby County vs Swansea City Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Derby County's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Swansea City's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live standings and the form table to understand exactly where Derby County and Swansea City sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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