Derby County vs Middlesbrough: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 01 January

Betiball's prediction for Derby County vs Middlesbrough on 01 January 2026 (kick-off: 11:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Derby County vs Middlesbrough preview before placing your bet.

Derby County vs Middlesbrough: Starting Lineups Time : 01/01/2026 11:00

Derby County
1 - 0
Finished
Middlesbrough
78' event Andreas Weimann / Bobby Clark
73' event Lars-Jorgen Salvesen
70' event Bobby Clark
59' event Lars-Jorgen Salvesen / Patrick Agyemang
59' event Ben Brereton / Rhian Brewster
59' event Callum Elder
event 90+3' Matt Targett
event 87' Micah Hamilton / Tommy Conway
event 87' Alan Browne / Alex Bangura
event 84' Alex Gilbert
event 77' Sverre Halseth Nypan / Aidan Morris
event 76' Samuel Silvera / Callum Brittain
event 46' Alex Gilbert / Mamadou Kaly Sene
78' event Andreas Weimann / Bobby Clark
event 90+3' Matt Targett
73' event Lars-Jorgen Salvesen
event 87' Micah Hamilton / Tommy Conway
70' event Bobby Clark
event 87' Alan Browne / Alex Bangura
59' event Lars-Jorgen Salvesen / Patrick Agyemang
event 84' Alex Gilbert
59' event Ben Brereton / Rhian Brewster
event 77' Sverre Halseth Nypan / Aidan Morris
59' event Callum Elder
event 76' Samuel Silvera / Callum Brittain
event 46' Alex Gilbert / Mamadou Kaly Sene
Derby County Derby County
Substitutions
#14 Andreas Weimann
#25 Ben Brereton
#15 Lars-Jorgen Salvesen
#27 Lewis Travis
#4 Danny Batth
#12 Richard ODonnell
#19 Kayden Jackson
#11 Corey Josiah Paul Blackett-Taylor
#3 Craig Forsyth
Derby County Derby County Middlesbrough Middlesbrough
7Shots19
3Shots on Goal5
12Fouls9
4Corner Kick9
9Free kick12
1Offside0
2Yellow card2
35Aerial15
5Save2
18Successful Tackles15
7Interceptions9
23Long pass26
1Assist0
3Successful center5
1Shots off goal10
14Head Success11
3Blocked4
9Tackle10
5Dribbles6
13Throw-in19
247Passes532
78Attacks111
24Dangerous attacks56
3Corner Kicks(HT)5
2BigChances3
1BigChancesMissed3
4ShotsInsideBox9
3ShotsOutsideBox10
46DuelsWon44
0.99ExpectedGoals1.21
0.88xGOpenPlay1.04
0.99xGNonPenalty1.21
1.21xGOT1.04
9Touches In Opposition Box22
8AccurateCrosses23
32GroundDuelsWon34
14AerialDuelsWon10
36Clearances16
Middlesbrough Middlesbrough
Substitutions
#22 Samuel Silvera
#16 Alan Browne
#14 Alex Gilbert
#17 Micah Hamilton
#19 Sverre Halseth Nypan
#42 Abdoulaye Kante
#27 Sontje Hansen
#33 Jon McLaughlin
#47 Archie Baptiste
Commentary
90+3' Matt Targett - Middlesbrough receive a yellow card
87' Middlesbrough — substitution: Micah Hamilton / Tommy Conway
87' Middlesbrough — substitution: Alan Browne / Alex Bangura
84' Alex Gilbert - Middlesbrough receive a yellow card
78' Derby County — substitution: Andreas Weimann / Bobby Clark
77' Middlesbrough — substitution: Sverre Halseth Nypan / Aidan Morris
76' Middlesbrough — substitution: Samuel Silvera / Callum Brittain
73' Lars-Jorgen Salvesen - Derby County receive a yellow card
70' Goal! Bobby Clark - Derby County
59' Derby County — substitution: Lars-Jorgen Salvesen / Patrick Agyemang
59' Derby County — substitution: Ben Brereton / Rhian Brewster
59' Callum Elder - Derby County receive a yellow card
46' Middlesbrough — substitution: Alex Gilbert / Mamadou Kaly Sene

How We Build the Derby County vs Middlesbrough Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Derby County vs Middlesbrough on 01 January 2026 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Derby County vs Middlesbrough Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Derby County's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Middlesbrough's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live standings and the form table to understand exactly where Derby County and Middlesbrough sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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