Derby County vs Middlesbrough: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 01 January

Derby County

W L W L W

8th place in England Championship

1-0

01/01/2026 11:00

Middlesbrough

D L D W W

5th place in England Championship

England Championship

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Derby County vs Middlesbrough on 01 January 2026 (kick-off: 11:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Derby County vs Middlesbrough preview before placing your bet.

Derby County are currently 8th with 69 points after 46 matches.
Middlesbrough sit 5th with 80 points from 46 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Middlesbrough to win with probability 39%.
Head-to-head history favors Middlesbrough, who have won 3 of the last 6 meetings. Derby County have 2 wins, while one match ended in a draw.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

11:00

2026-01-01

Derby County vs Middlesbrough - Prediction & Odds

Derby County

Middlesbrough

2026-01-01 11:00

STANDINGS UP TO 01/01/2026

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Coventry City	95	46	28	11	7	97	45	52
02 Ipswich Town	84	46	23	15	8	80	47	33
03 Millwall	83	46	24	11	11	64	49	15
04 Southampton	80	46	22	14	10	82	56	26
05 Middlesbrough	80	46	22	14	10	72	47	25
06 Hull City	73	46	21	10	15	70	66	4
07 Wrexham	71	46	19	14	13	69	65	4
08 Derby County	69	46	20	9	17	67	59	8
09 Norwich City	65	46	19	8	19	63	56	7
10 Birmingham City	64	46	17	13	16	57	56	1
11 Swansea City	64	46	18	10	18	57	59	-2
12 Bristol City	62	46	17	11	18	59	59	0
13 Sheffield United	60	46	18	6	22	66	66	0
14 Preston North End	60	46	15	15	16	55	62	-7
15 Queens Park Rangers (QPR)	58	46	16	10	20	61	73	-12
16 Watford	57	46	14	15	17	53	65	-12
17 Stoke City	55	46	15	10	21	51	56	-5
18 Portsmouth	55	46	14	13	19	49	64	-15
19 Charlton Athletic	53	46	13	14	19	44	58	-14
20 Blackburn Rovers	52	46	13	13	20	42	56	-14
21 West Bromwich(WBA)	51	46	13	14	19	48	58	-10
22 Oxford United	47	46	11	14	21	45	59	-14
23 Leicester City	46	46	12	16	18	58	68	-10
24 Sheffield Wednesday	0	46	2	12	32	29	89	-60

Head To Head

29/11/2025 11:00

Middlesbrough

2 - 1

Derby County

ENG LCH

01/03/2025 11:00

Middlesbrough

1 - 0

Derby County

ENG LCH

17/08/2024 07:30

Derby County

1 - 0

Middlesbrough

ENG LCH

12/02/2022 11:00

Middlesbrough

4 - 1

Derby County

ENG LCH

21/08/2021 10:00

Derby County

0 - 0

Middlesbrough

ENG LCH

13/02/2021 11:00

Derby County

2 - 1

Middlesbrough

ENG LCH

Derby County

33%

Draw

17%

Middlesbrough

50%

Derby County Last 6 matches

29/12/2025 15:45

Leicester City 2 - 1 Derby County ENG LCH

26/12/2025 08:30

Birmingham City 1 - 1 Derby County ENG LCH

20/12/2025 11:00

Derby County 1 - 1 Portsmouth ENG LCH

15/12/2025 16:00

Sheffield Wednesday 0 - 3 Derby County ENG LCH

10/12/2025 15:45

Derby County 1 - 1 Millwall ENG LCH

06/12/2025 08:30

Derby County 1 - 3 Leicester City ENG LCH

Win

17%

Draw

50%

Lost

33%

Last 6 matches Middlesbrough

29/12/2025 15:45

Middlesbrough 0 - 1 Hull City ENG LCH

26/12/2025 11:00

Middlesbrough 0 - 0 Blackburn Rovers ENG LCH

20/12/2025 11:00

Bristol City 2 - 0 Middlesbrough ENG LCH

13/12/2025 11:00

Middlesbrough 3 - 1 Queens Park Rangers (QPR) ENG LCH

09/12/2025 15:45

Charlton Athletic 1 - 2 Middlesbrough ENG LCH

05/12/2025 16:10

Hull City 1 - 4 Middlesbrough ENG LCH

Win

50%

Draw

17%

Lost

33%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues England Championship

Played games

Goals

Scored

232

Avg. per game

1.40

Conceded

165

Avg. per game

0.99

Scored

222

Avg. per game

1.40

Conceded

165

Avg. per game

1.04

Scored a goal

In last 6 home matches

YesNo

6 (100%)0 (0%)

In last 6 home matches

NoYes

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 166 home matches

YesNo

134 (81%)32 (19%)

In last 166 home matches

NoYes

116 (73%)43 (27%)

Derby County

Recent matches

Middlesbrough

Under /Over

(69%)31 14(31%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(58%)26 19(42%)

Under /Over

(22%)10 35(78%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(33%)15 30(67%)

Under /Over

(36%)16 29(64%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(42%)19 26(58%)

/Yes

(51%)23 22(49%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(47%)21 24(53%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Derby County

Middlesbrough

Shots

Derby County

Total shots

12.22 avg / game

Blocked

512 total

Avg. 3.76

Middlesbrough

Total shots

13.39 avg / game

Blocked

604 total

Avg. 4.47

Derby County Pass Middlesbrough

Total passes

59203

Avg. 400 / game

Accurate

74%

Ball possession

50%

Total passes

67962

Avg. 472 / game

Accurate

80%

Ball possession

54%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Derby County

166

Played games

Middlesbrough

159

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.39

Clean sheets

0.36

5.11

848

Corners

988

6.21

21.92

3639

Throw-ins

3252

20.45

1.93

321

Offsides

296

1.86

1.95

323

GK saves

326

2.05

Derby County

DISCIPLINARY

Middlesbrough

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.66

276

209

1.31

0.04

0.03

9.99

1658

Fouls

1476

9.28

12.55

2083

Tackles

2025

12.74

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Derby County vs Middlesbrough Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Derby County vs Middlesbrough on 01 January 2026 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this England Championship fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Derby County vs Middlesbrough Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Derby County's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Middlesbrough's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

England Championship Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live England Championship standings and the England Championship form table to understand exactly where Derby County and Middlesbrough sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our England Championship predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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