Derby County vs Middlesbrough: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 17 August

Betiball's prediction for Derby County vs Middlesbrough on 17 August 2024 (kick-off: 04:30) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Derby County vs Middlesbrough preview before placing your bet.

Derby County vs Middlesbrough: Starting Lineups Time : 17/08/2024 04:30

Derby County
1 - 0
Finished
Middlesbrough
90+2' event Kayden Jackson
76' event Craig Forsyth / David Ozoh
76' event Liam Thompson / James Collins
76' event Tom Barkhuizen / Nathaniel Mendez Laing
67' event Callum Elder
62' event Adams Ebrima / Kenzo Goudmijn
40' event Nathaniel Mendez Laing
25' event Ryan Nyambe / Kane Wilson
20' event Sonny Bradley / Cashin
14' event Kayden Jackson
event 90' Josh Coburn / Hayden Hackney
event 78' Tommy Conway / Finn Azaz
event 68' Daniel Barlaser / Aidan Morris
event 68' Micah Hamilton / Isaiah Jones
event 42' Emmanuel Latte Lath
90+2' event Kayden Jackson
event 90' Josh Coburn / Hayden Hackney
76' event Craig Forsyth / David Ozoh
event 78' Tommy Conway / Finn Azaz
76' event Liam Thompson / James Collins
event 68' Daniel Barlaser / Aidan Morris
76' event Tom Barkhuizen / Nathaniel Mendez Laing
event 68' Micah Hamilton / Isaiah Jones
67' event Callum Elder
event 42' Emmanuel Latte Lath
62' event Adams Ebrima / Kenzo Goudmijn
40' event Nathaniel Mendez Laing
25' event Ryan Nyambe / Kane Wilson
20' event Sonny Bradley / Cashin
14' event Kayden Jackson
Derby County Derby County
Substitutions
#5 Sonny Bradley
#24 Ryan Nyambe
#32 Adams Ebrima
#3 Craig Forsyth
#7 Tom Barkhuizen
#16 Liam Thompson
#1 Jacob Widell Zetterstrom
#23 Joe Ward
#39 Dajaune Brown
Derby County Derby County Middlesbrough Middlesbrough
3Shots20
2Shots on Goal4
13Fouls5
3Corner Kick8
2Offside2
3Yellow card1
37Aerial31
4Save1
20Successful Tackles16
8Interceptions4
17Long pass32
1Shots off goal16
15Head Success19
1Blocked5
21Tackle18
5Dribbles4
22Throw-in22
237Passes574
72Attacks120
38Dangerous attacks72
0Corner Kicks(HT)3
Middlesbrough Middlesbrough
Substitutions
#4 Daniel Barlaser
#17 Micah Hamilton
#22 Tommy Conway
#19 Josh Coburn
#31 Solomon Brynn
#37 George McCormick
#41 Harley Hunt
#15 Anfernee Dijksteel
#14 Alex Gilbert
Commentary
90+2' Kayden Jackson - Derby County receive a yellow card
90' Middlesbrough — substitution: Josh Coburn / Hayden Hackney
78' Middlesbrough — substitution: Tommy Conway / Finn Azaz
76' Derby County — substitution: Craig Forsyth / David Ozoh
76' Derby County — substitution: Liam Thompson / James Collins
76' Derby County — substitution: Tom Barkhuizen / Nathaniel Mendez Laing
68' Middlesbrough — substitution: Daniel Barlaser / Aidan Morris
68' Middlesbrough — substitution: Micah Hamilton / Isaiah Jones
67' Callum Elder - Derby County receive a yellow card
62' Derby County — substitution: Adams Ebrima / Kenzo Goudmijn
42' Emmanuel Latte Lath - Middlesbrough receive a yellow card
40' Nathaniel Mendez Laing - Derby County receive a yellow card
25' Derby County — substitution: Ryan Nyambe / Kane Wilson
20' Derby County — substitution: Sonny Bradley / Cashin
14' Goal! Kayden Jackson - Derby County

How We Build the Derby County vs Middlesbrough Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Derby County vs Middlesbrough on 17 August 2024 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Derby County vs Middlesbrough Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Derby County's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Middlesbrough's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live standings and the form table to understand exactly where Derby County and Middlesbrough sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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