Derby County vs Leeds United: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 29 December

Derby County

D D L W W

19th place in England Championship

0-1

29/12/2024 13:45

Leeds United

W W W W W

1st place in England Championship

England Championship

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Derby County vs Leeds United on 29 December 2024 (kick-off: 13:45) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Derby County vs Leeds United preview before placing your bet.

Derby County are currently 19th with 50 points after 46 matches.
Leeds United sit 1st with 100 points from 46 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Leeds United to win with probability 56%.
Head-to-head history favors Leeds United, who have won 4 of the last 6 meetings. Derby County have one win, while one match ended in a draw.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

13:45

2024-12-29

Derby County vs Leeds United - Prediction & Odds

Derby County

Leeds United

2024-12-29 13:45

STANDINGS UP TO 29/12/2024

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Leeds United	100	46	29	13	4	95	30	65
02 Burnley	100	46	28	16	2	69	16	53
03 Sheffield United	90	46	28	8	10	63	36	27
04 Sunderland A.F.C	76	46	21	13	12	58	44	14
05 Coventry City	69	46	20	9	17	64	58	6
06 Bristol City	68	46	17	17	12	59	55	4
07 Blackburn Rovers	66	46	19	9	18	53	48	5
08 Millwall	66	46	18	12	16	47	49	-2
09 West Bromwich(WBA)	64	46	15	19	12	57	47	10
10 Middlesbrough	64	46	18	10	18	64	56	8
11 Swansea City	61	46	17	10	19	51	56	-5
12 Sheffield Wednesday	58	46	15	13	18	60	69	-9
13 Norwich City	57	46	14	15	17	71	68	3
14 Watford	57	46	16	9	21	53	61	-8
15 Queens Park Rangers (QPR)	56	46	14	14	18	53	63	-10
16 Portsmouth	54	46	14	12	20	58	71	-13
17 Oxford United	53	46	13	14	19	49	65	-16
18 Stoke City	51	46	12	15	19	45	62	-17
19 Derby County	50	46	13	11	22	48	56	-8
20 Preston North End	50	46	10	20	16	48	59	-11
21 Hull City	49	46	12	13	21	44	54	-10
22 Luton Town	49	46	13	10	23	45	69	-24
23 Plymouth Argyle	46	46	11	13	22	51	88	-37
24 Cardiff City	44	46	9	17	20	48	73	-25

Head To Head

07/12/2024 08:30

Leeds United

2 - 0

Derby County

ENG LCH

19/07/2020 09:00

Derby County

1 - 3

Leeds United

ENG LCH

21/09/2019 07:30

Leeds United

1 - 1

Derby County

ENG LCH

15/05/2019 14:45

Leeds United

2 - 4

Derby County

ENG LCH

11/05/2019 12:15

Derby County

0 - 1

Leeds United

ENG LCH

11/01/2019 15:45

Leeds United

2 - 0

Derby County

ENG LCH

Derby County

17%

Draw

17%

Leeds United

67%

Derby County Last 6 matches

26/12/2024 13:30

Derby County 2 - 1 West Bromwich(WBA) ENG LCH

20/12/2024 16:00

Luton Town 2 - 1 Derby County ENG LCH

13/12/2024 16:00

Derby County 4 - 0 Portsmouth ENG LCH

10/12/2024 15:45

Burnley 0 - 0 Derby County ENG LCH

07/12/2024 08:30

Leeds United 2 - 0 Derby County ENG LCH

01/12/2024 11:00

Derby County 1 - 2 Sheffield Wednesday ENG LCH

Win

33%

Draw

17%

Lost

50%

Last 6 matches Leeds United

26/12/2024 16:00

Stoke City 0 - 2 Leeds United ENG LCH

21/12/2024 11:00

Leeds United 4 - 0 Oxford United ENG LCH

14/12/2024 08:30

Preston North End 1 - 1 Leeds United ENG LCH

10/12/2024 16:00

Leeds United 3 - 1 Middlesbrough ENG LCH

07/12/2024 08:30

Leeds United 2 - 0 Derby County ENG LCH

30/11/2024 09:30

Blackburn Rovers 1 - 0 Leeds United ENG LCH

Win

67%

Draw

17%

Lost

17%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues England Championship

Played games

Goals

Scored

409

Avg. per game

1.36

Conceded

348

Avg. per game

1.16

Scored

461

Avg. per game

1.54

Conceded

414

Avg. per game

1.38

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

6 (100%)0 (0%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

5 (83%)1 (17%)

In last 300 matches

YesNo

234 (78%)66 (22%)

In last 300 matches

NoYes

223 (74%)77 (26%)

Derby County

Recent matches

Leeds United

Under /Over

(80%)36 9(20%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(76%)34 11(24%)

Under /Over

(31%)14 31(69%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(36%)16 29(64%)

Under /Over

(53%)24 21(47%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(51%)23 22(49%)

/Yes

(67%)30 15(33%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(60%)27 18(40%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Derby County

Leeds United

Shots

Derby County

Total shots

11.44 avg / game

Blocked

829 total

Avg. 3.48

Leeds United

Total shots

13.98 avg / game

Blocked

1068 total

Avg. 4.27

Derby County Pass Leeds United

Total passes

100671

Avg. 383 / game

Accurate

72%

Ball possession

49%

Total passes

126027

Avg. 470 / game

Accurate

81%

Ball possession

55%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Derby County

300

Played games

Leeds United

300

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.32

Clean sheets

0.29

5.07

1522

Corners

1652

5.51

21.17

6351

Throw-ins

5583

18.61

1.84

553

Offsides

509

1.70

2.27

682

GK saves

738

2.46

Derby County

DISCIPLINARY

Leeds United

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.76

527

507

1.69

0.05

0.03

9.95

2984

Fouls

3013

10.04

12.19

3658

Tackles

4533

15.11

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Derby County vs Leeds United Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Derby County vs Leeds United on 29 December 2024 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this England Championship fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Derby County vs Leeds United Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Derby County's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Leeds United's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

England Championship Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live England Championship standings and the England Championship form table to understand exactly where Derby County and Leeds United sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our England Championship predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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