Derby County vs Carlisle United: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 27 April

Derby County

W D D W W

2nd place in England League 1

2-0

27/04/2024 07:30

Carlisle United

L L W L L

24th place in England League 1

England League 1

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Derby County vs Carlisle United on 27 April 2024 (kick-off: 07:30) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Derby County vs Carlisle United preview before placing your bet.

Derby County will face Carlisle United in England League 1 on April 27, 2024 at 07:30.
Derby County are currently 2nd with 92 points after 46 matches.
Carlisle United sit 24th with 30 points from 46 matches.
Current model prediction leans green with a projected score of 2 - 1 and average coefficient 1.19.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

07:30

2024-04-27

Derby County vs Carlisle United - Prediction & Odds

Derby County

Carlisle United

2024-04-27 07:30

STANDINGS UP TO 27/04/2024

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Portsmouth	97	46	28	13	5	78	41	37
02 Derby County	92	46	28	8	10	78	37	41
03 Bolton Wanderers	87	46	25	12	9	86	51	35
04 Peterborough United	84	46	25	9	12	89	61	28
05 Oxford United	77	46	22	11	13	79	56	23
06 Barnsley	76	46	21	13	12	82	64	18
07 Lincoln City	74	46	20	14	12	65	40	25
08 Blackpool	73	46	21	10	15	65	48	17
09 Stevenage Borough	71	46	19	14	13	57	46	11
10 Wycombe Wanderers	65	46	17	14	15	60	55	5
11 Leyton Orient	65	46	18	11	17	53	55	-2
12 Wigan Athletic	62	46	20	10	16	63	56	7
13 Exeter City	61	46	17	10	19	46	61	-15
14 Northampton Town	60	46	17	9	20	57	66	-9
15 Bristol Rovers	57	46	16	9	21	52	68	-16
16 Charlton Athletic	53	46	11	20	15	64	65	-1
17 Reading	53	46	16	11	19	68	70	-2
18 Cambridge United	48	46	12	12	22	39	61	-22
19 Shrewsbury Town	48	46	13	9	24	35	67	-32
20 Burton Albion	46	46	12	10	24	39	67	-28
21 Cheltenham Town	44	46	12	8	26	41	65	-24
22 Fleetwood Town	43	46	10	13	23	49	72	-23
23 Port Vale	41	46	10	11	25	41	74	-33
24 Carlisle United	30	46	7	9	30	41	81	-40

Head To Head

23/09/2023 10:00

Carlisle United

0 - 2

Derby County

ENG L1

23/08/2016 14:45

Derby County

1 - 1

Carlisle United

ENG LC

11/08/2014 14:45

Carlisle United

0 - 2

Derby County

ENG LC

Carlisle United

Draw

33%

Derby County

67%

Derby County Last 6 matches

20/04/2024 10:00

Cambridge United 0 - 1 Derby County

ENG L1

13/04/2024 10:00

Derby County 3 - 0 Leyton Orient

ENG L1

10/04/2024 14:45

Wycombe Wanderers 0 - 0 Derby County

ENG L1

02/04/2024 15:00

Portsmouth 2 - 2 Derby County

ENG L1

29/03/2024 11:00

Derby County 1 - 0 Blackpool

ENG L1

23/03/2024 11:00

Northampton Town 1 - 0 Derby County

ENG L1

Win

50%

Draw

33%

Lost

17%

Last 6 matches Carlisle United

20/04/2024 10:00

Carlisle United 1 - 3 Wycombe Wanderers

ENG L1

13/04/2024 10:00

Carlisle United 0 - 1 Blackpool

ENG L1

09/04/2024 14:45

Cheltenham Town 0 - 1 Carlisle United

ENG L1

06/04/2024 10:00

Northampton Town 2 - 0 Carlisle United

ENG L1

01/04/2024 10:00

Carlisle United 1 - 3 Lincoln City

ENG L1

29/03/2024 11:00

Peterborough United 1 - 3 Carlisle United

ENG L1

Win

33%

Draw

Lost

67%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues England League 1

Played games

Derby County

Carlisle United

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

1.70

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.80

Scored

Avg. per game

0.89

Conceded

Avg. per game

1.76

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

5 (83%)1 (17%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 46 matches

YesNo

40 (87%)6 (13%)

In last 46 matches

NoYes

28 (61%)18 (39%)

Derby County

Recent matches

Carlisle United

Under /Over

(69%)31 14(31%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(73%)33 12(27%)

Under /Over

(29%)13 32(71%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(27%)12 33(73%)

Under /Over

(42%)19 26(58%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(53%)24 21(47%)

/Yes

(44%)20 25(56%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(53%)24 21(47%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Derby County

Carlisle United

Shots

Derby County

Total shots

12.52 avg / game

Blocked

157 total

Avg. 3.49

Carlisle United

Total shots

11.00 avg / game

Blocked

138 total

Avg. 3.29

Derby County Pass Carlisle United

Total passes

17868

Avg. 388 / game

Accurate

71%

Ball possession

51%

Total passes

16672

Avg. 362 / game

Accurate

65%

Ball possession

46%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Derby County

Played games

Carlisle United

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.48

Clean sheets

0.07

6.41

295

Corners

223

4.85

27.43

1262

Throw-ins

1258

27.35

2.83

130

Offsides

1.85

1.91

GK saves

118

2.57

Derby County

DISCIPLINARY

Carlisle United

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.70

1.80

0.04

0.07

10.63

489

Fouls

429

9.33

14.59

671

Tackles

769

16.72

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Derby County vs Carlisle United Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Derby County vs Carlisle United on 27 April 2024 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this England League 1 fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Derby County vs Carlisle United Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Derby County's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Carlisle United's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

England League 1 Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live England League 1 standings and the England League 1 form table to understand exactly where Derby County and Carlisle United sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our England League 1 predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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