Derby County vs Burton Albion: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 22 April

Betiball's prediction for Derby County vs Burton Albion on 22 April 2023 (kick-off: 10:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Derby County vs Burton Albion preview before placing your bet.

Derby County vs Burton Albion: Starting Lineups Time : 22/04/2023 10:00

Derby County
1 - 0
Finished
Burton Albion
90+2' event James Collins / David McGoldrick
90+2' event Harvey White / Max Bird
83' event Korey Smith / Nathaniel Mendez Laing
79' event Tom Barkhuizen / Louie Sibley
77' event Haydon Roberts
63' event David McGoldrick
event 80' Josh Walker / Adedeji Oshilaja
event 79' Sam Winnall / Zachary Ashworth
event 71' Jonny Smith / Mustapha Carayol
event 49' Adedeji Oshilaja
90+2' event James Collins / David McGoldrick
event 80' Josh Walker / Adedeji Oshilaja
90+2' event Harvey White / Max Bird
event 79' Sam Winnall / Zachary Ashworth
83' event Korey Smith / Nathaniel Mendez Laing
event 71' Jonny Smith / Mustapha Carayol
79' event Tom Barkhuizen / Louie Sibley
event 49' Adedeji Oshilaja
77' event Haydon Roberts
63' event David McGoldrick
Derby County Derby County
Substitutions
#9 James Collins
#7 Tom Barkhuizen
#23 Harvey White
#12 Korey Smith
#32 Luke McGee
#34 Jake Rooney
#18 Lewis Dobbin
Derby County Derby County Burton Albion Burton Albion
23Shots6
10Shots on Goal2
11Fouls9
8Corner Kick5
6Free kick11
2Offside0
1Yellow card1
79Aerial75
2Save9
10Successful Tackles11
9Interceptions8
5Shots off goal3
0Hit The Post1
53Head Success24
8Blocked1
10Tackle11
4Dribbles9
25Throw-in26
465Passes283
114Attacks119
63Dangerous attacks45
3Corner Kicks(HT)2
Burton Albion Burton Albion
Substitutions
#14 Josh Walker
#9 Sam Winnall
#11 Jonny Smith
#18 Gassan Ahadme
#1 Ben Garratt
#10 Charlie Kirk
#36 Thierry Latty-Fairweather
Commentary
90+2' Derby County — substitution: James Collins / David McGoldrick
90+2' Derby County — substitution: Harvey White / Max Bird
83' Derby County — substitution: Korey Smith / Nathaniel Mendez Laing
80' Burton Albion — substitution: Josh Walker / Adedeji Oshilaja
79' Derby County — substitution: Tom Barkhuizen / Louie Sibley
79' Burton Albion — substitution: Sam Winnall / Zachary Ashworth
77' Haydon Roberts - Derby County receive a yellow card
71' Burton Albion — substitution: Jonny Smith / Mustapha Carayol
63' Penalty scored! David McGoldrick - Derby County
49' Adedeji Oshilaja - Burton Albion receive a yellow card

How We Build the Derby County vs Burton Albion Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Derby County vs Burton Albion on 22 April 2023 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Derby County vs Burton Albion Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Derby County's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Burton Albion's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live standings and the form table to understand exactly where Derby County and Burton Albion sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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