Derby County vs Bolton Wanderers: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 16 March

Derby County

W D D W W

2nd place in England League 1

1-0

16/03/2024 11:00

Bolton Wanderers

W W D D W

3rd place in England League 1

England League 1

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Derby County vs Bolton Wanderers on 16 March 2024 (kick-off: 11:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Derby County vs Bolton Wanderers preview before placing your bet.

Derby County are currently 2nd with 92 points after 46 matches.
Bolton Wanderers sit 3rd with 87 points from 46 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Derby County to win with probability 44%.
Head-to-head history favors Derby County, who have won 3 of the last 6 meetings. Bolton Wanderers have 2 wins, while one match ended in a draw.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

11:00

2024-03-16

Derby County vs Bolton Wanderers - Prediction & Odds

Derby County

Bolton Wanderers

2024-03-16 11:00

STANDINGS UP TO 16/03/2024

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Portsmouth	97	46	28	13	5	78	41	37
02 Derby County	92	46	28	8	10	78	37	41
03 Bolton Wanderers	87	46	25	12	9	86	51	35
04 Peterborough United	84	46	25	9	12	89	61	28
05 Oxford United	77	46	22	11	13	79	56	23
06 Barnsley	76	46	21	13	12	82	64	18
07 Lincoln City	74	46	20	14	12	65	40	25
08 Blackpool	73	46	21	10	15	65	48	17
09 Stevenage Borough	71	46	19	14	13	57	46	11
10 Wycombe Wanderers	65	46	17	14	15	60	55	5
11 Leyton Orient	65	46	18	11	17	53	55	-2
12 Wigan Athletic	62	46	20	10	16	63	56	7
13 Exeter City	61	46	17	10	19	46	61	-15
14 Northampton Town	60	46	17	9	20	57	66	-9
15 Bristol Rovers	57	46	16	9	21	52	68	-16
16 Charlton Athletic	53	46	11	20	15	64	65	-1
17 Reading	53	46	16	11	19	68	70	-2
18 Cambridge United	48	46	12	12	22	39	61	-22
19 Shrewsbury Town	48	46	13	9	24	35	67	-32
20 Burton Albion	46	46	12	10	24	39	67	-28
21 Cheltenham Town	44	46	12	8	26	41	65	-24
22 Fleetwood Town	43	46	10	13	23	49	72	-23
23 Port Vale	41	46	10	11	25	41	74	-33
24 Carlisle United	30	46	7	9	30	41	81	-40

Head To Head

02/09/2023 10:00

Bolton Wanderers

2 - 1

Derby County

ENG L1

21/01/2023 11:00

Derby County

2 - 1

Bolton Wanderers

ENG L1

27/12/2022 11:00

Bolton Wanderers

0 - 0

Derby County

ENG L1

13/04/2019 10:00

Derby County

4 - 0

Bolton Wanderers

ENG LCH

29/09/2018 10:00

Bolton Wanderers

1 - 0

Derby County

ENG LCH

07/04/2018 10:00

Derby County

3 - 0

Bolton Wanderers

ENG LCH

Derby County

50%

Draw

17%

Bolton Wanderers

33%

Derby County Last 6 matches

02/03/2024 11:00

Derby County 3 - 0 Port Vale ENG L1

27/02/2024 15:45

Derby County 1 - 2 Charlton Athletic ENG L1

24/02/2024 11:00

Barnsley 2 - 1 Derby County ENG L1

17/02/2024 11:00

Derby County 1 - 0 Stevenage Borough ENG L1

13/02/2024 15:45

Exeter City 0 - 3 Derby County ENG L1

10/02/2024 11:00

Derby County 1 - 1 Shrewsbury Town ENG L1

Win

50%

Draw

17%

Lost

33%

Last 6 matches Bolton Wanderers

05/03/2024 15:45

Barnsley 2 - 2 Bolton Wanderers ENG L1

02/03/2024 11:00

Bolton Wanderers 2 - 0 Cambridge United ENG L1

27/02/2024 16:10

Wigan Athletic 1 - 0 Bolton Wanderers ENG L1

24/02/2024 11:00

Blackpool 4 - 1 Bolton Wanderers ENG L1

20/02/2024 15:45

Cambridge United 1 - 2 Bolton Wanderers ENG L1

17/02/2024 11:00

Bolton Wanderers 3 - 3 Charlton Athletic ENG L1

Win

33%

Draw

33%

Lost

33%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues England League 1

Played games

Derby County

Bolton Wanderers

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

1.78

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.78

Scored

Avg. per game

2.16

Conceded

Avg. per game

1.28

Scored a goal

In last 6 home matches

YesNo

6 (100%)0 (0%)

In last 6 home matches

NoYes

5 (83%)1 (17%)

In last 23 home matches

YesNo

22 (96%)1 (4%)

In last 23 home matches

NoYes

23 (92%)2 (8%)

Derby County

Recent matches

Bolton Wanderers

Under /Over

(78%)18 5(22%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(88%)22 3(12%)

Under /Over

(22%)5 18(78%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(68%)17 8(32%)

Under /Over

(57%)13 10(43%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(44%)11 14(56%)

/Yes

(52%)12 11(48%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(60%)15 10(40%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Derby County

Bolton Wanderers

Shots

Derby County

Total shots

12.83 avg / game

Blocked

77 total

Avg. 3.50

Bolton Wanderers

Total shots

15.20 avg / game

Blocked

120 total

Avg. 4.80

Derby County Pass Bolton Wanderers

Total passes

9347

Avg. 406 / game

Accurate

73%

Ball possession

52%

Total passes

12588

Avg. 504 / game

Accurate

79%

Ball possession

60%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Derby County

Played games

Bolton Wanderers

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.48

Clean sheets

0.32

6.43

148

Corners

177

7.08

27.83

640

Throw-ins

655

26.20

3.13

Offsides

1.96

1.30

GK saves

2.32

Derby County

DISCIPLINARY

Bolton Wanderers

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.65

2.16

0.00

0.12

10.87

250

Fouls

271

10.84

14.39

331

Tackles

313

12.52

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

Queens Park Rangers (QPR)

How We Build the Derby County vs Bolton Wanderers Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Derby County vs Bolton Wanderers on 16 March 2024 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this England League 1 fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Derby County vs Bolton Wanderers Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Derby County's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Bolton Wanderers's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

England League 1 Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live England League 1 standings and the England League 1 form table to understand exactly where Derby County and Bolton Wanderers sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our England League 1 predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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