Derby County U21 vs Aston Villa U21: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 16 January

Derby County U21

L W W W W

24th place in England U21 Premier League

0-0

16/01/2026 15:00

Aston Villa U21

W W D W L

11th place in England U21 Premier League

England U21 Premier League

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Derby County U21 vs Aston Villa U21 on 16 January 2026 (kick-off: 15:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Derby County U21 vs Aston Villa U21 preview before placing your bet.

Derby County U21 are currently 24th with 20 points after 20 matches.
Aston Villa U21 sit 11th with 31 points from 20 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Derby County U21 to win with probability 39%.
Head-to-head history favors Aston Villa U21, who have won 6 of the last 6 meetings. Derby County U21 have no wins, while 0 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

15:00

2026-01-16

Derby County U21 vs Aston Villa U21 - Prediction & Odds

Derby County U21

Aston Villa U21

2026-01-16 15:00

STANDINGS UP TO 16/01/2026

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Chelsea U21	43	20	14	1	5	52	25	27
02 Manchester United U21	43	20	13	4	3	43	26	17
03 Manchester City U21	40	20	13	1	6	59	21	38
04 Fulham U21	38	20	11	5	4	48	32	16
05 Ipswich U21	38	20	12	2	6	45	45	0
06 Southampton U21	36	20	10	6	4	36	29	7
07 Liverpool U21	35	20	11	2	7	49	36	13
08 Tottenham U21	35	20	11	2	7	42	32	10
09 Leicester City U21	31	20	9	4	7	48	42	6
10 Crystal Palace U21	31	20	9	4	7	36	31	5
11 Aston Villa U21	31	20	9	4	7	32	35	-3
12 Brighton U21	30	20	8	6	6	38	25	13
13 West Ham U21	30	20	8	6	6	44	35	9
14 Arsenal U21	29	20	8	5	7	28	33	-5
15 Sunderland U21	28	20	8	4	8	41	40	1
16 Middlesbrough U21	27	20	7	6	7	37	28	9
17 Nottingham Forest U21	26	20	8	2	10	23	23	0
18 Everton U21	25	20	7	4	9	33	36	-3
19 Reading U21	25	20	7	4	9	29	36	-7
20 Stoke City U21	25	20	7	4	9	29	42	-13
21 Newcastle U21	24	20	6	6	8	30	35	-5
22 Wolverhampton U21	23	20	6	5	9	30	45	-15
23 Norwich City U21	20	20	5	5	10	32	42	-10
24 Derby County U21	20	20	5	5	10	26	44	-18
25 Leeds United U21	18	20	5	3	12	28	40	-12
26 West Bromwich U21	18	20	5	3	12	26	41	-15
27 Birmingham U21	17	20	4	5	11	26	52	-26
28 Blackburn Rovers U21	14	20	4	2	14	27	46	-19
29 Burnley U21	13	20	3	4	13	22	42	-20

Head To Head

16/08/2024 13:00

Aston Villa U21

3 - 1

Derby County U21

ENG U21

01/09/2023 13:00

Aston Villa U21

3 - 1

Derby County U21

ENG U21

14/04/2023 14:00

Aston Villa U21

3 - 0

Derby County U21

ENG U21

29/10/2022 07:30

Derby County U21

0 - 2

Aston Villa U21

ENG U21

07/12/2015 15:00

Aston Villa U21

2 - 1

Derby County U21

ENG U21

17/08/2015 14:00

Derby County U21

0 - 1

Aston Villa U21

ENG U21

Derby County U21

Draw

Aston Villa U21

100%

Derby County U21 Last 6 matches

06/01/2026 15:00

Derby County U21 1 - 2 Sheffield Utd U21 ENG U21LC

21/12/2025 10:00

Stoke City U21 1 - 1 Derby County U21 ENG U21LC

16/12/2025 15:00

Bristol City U21 3 - 2 Derby County U21 ENG U21LC

21/11/2025 15:00

Derby County U21 2 - 2 Stoke City U21 ENG U21LC

10/11/2025 15:00

Blackburn Rovers U21 1 - 4 Derby County U21 ENG U21

31/10/2025 15:00

Derby County U21 0 - 3 Norwich City U21 ENG U21

Win

17%

Draw

33%

Lost

50%

Last 6 matches Aston Villa U21

08/11/2025 12:00

Aston Villa U21 2 - 0 Wolverhampton U21 ENG U21

31/10/2025 15:00

Aston Villa U21 0 - 2 Crystal Palace U21 ENG U21

28/10/2025 15:00

Leyton Orient 1 - 0 Aston Villa U21 EFL Trophy

24/10/2025 14:00

West Ham U21 1 - 0 Aston Villa U21 ENG U21

04/10/2025 10:00

Aston Villa U21 3 - 3 Sunderland U21 ENG U21

30/09/2025 14:00

Peterborough United 4 - 2 Aston Villa U21 EFL Trophy

Win

17%

Draw

17%

Lost

67%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues England U21 Premier Le...

Played games

Derby County U21

Aston Villa U21

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

0.80

Conceded

Avg. per game

1.20

Scored

Avg. per game

1.64

Conceded

Avg. per game

2.55

Scored a goal

In last 6 home matches

YesNo

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 6 home matches

NoYes

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 10 home matches

YesNo

4 (40%)6 (60%)

In last 10 home matches

NoYes

7 (64%)4 (36%)

Derby County U21

Recent matches

Aston Villa U21

Under /Over

(50%)5 5(50%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(100%)11 0(0%)

Under /Over

(20%)2 8(80%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(73%)8 3(27%)

Under /Over

(40%)4 6(60%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(45%)5 6(55%)

/Yes

(20%)2 8(80%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(55%)6 5(45%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Derby County U21

Aston Villa U21

Shots

Derby County U21

Total shots

8.50 avg / game

Blocked

15 total

Avg. 2.50

Aston Villa U21

Total shots

10.55 avg / game

Blocked

21 total

Avg. 2.10

Derby County U21 Pass Aston Villa U21

Total passes

—

Avg. — / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

46%

Total passes

—

Avg. — / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

52%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Derby County U21

Played games

Aston Villa U21

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.40

Clean sheets

0.09

3.50

Corners

4.18

0.00

Throw-ins

0.00

1.30

Offsides

0.73

2.60

GK saves

4.18

Derby County U21

DISCIPLINARY

Aston Villa U21

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

2.10

2.27

0.10

0.09

10.30

103

Fouls

115

10.45

0.00

Tackles

0.00

NEXT MATCHES

No upcoming matches.

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Derby County U21 vs Aston Villa U21 Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Derby County U21 vs Aston Villa U21 on 16 January 2026 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this England U21 Premier League fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Derby County U21 vs Aston Villa U21 Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Derby County U21's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Aston Villa U21's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

England U21 Premier League Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live England U21 Premier League standings and the England U21 Premier League form table to understand exactly where Derby County U21 and Aston Villa U21 sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our England U21 Premier League predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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