Deportivo Maldonado vs Nacional Montevideo: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 11 April

Deportivo Maldonado

W W D L W

2nd place in Apertura

4-2

11/04/2026 18:00

Nacional Montevideo

L L W L L

7th place in Apertura

Uruguay Primera Division

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Deportivo Maldonado vs Nacional Montevideo on 11 April 2026 (kick-off: 18:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Deportivo Maldonado vs Nacional Montevideo preview before placing your bet.

Deportivo Maldonado are currently 2nd with 29 points after 15 matches.
Nacional Montevideo sit 7th with 22 points from 15 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Nacional Montevideo to win with probability 45%.
Head-to-head history favors Nacional Montevideo, who have won 3 of the last 6 meetings. Deportivo Maldonado have one win, while 2 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

18:00

2026-04-11

Deportivo Maldonado vs Nacional Montevideo - Prediction & Odds

Deportivo Maldonado

Nacional Montevideo

2026-04-11 18:00

STANDINGS UP TO 11/04/2026

Apertura	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Racing Club Montevideo	31	15	9	4	2	23	14	9
02 Deportivo Maldonado	29	15	9	2	4	24	16	8
03 Albion FC	28	15	8	4	3	26	16	10
04 CA Penarol	27	15	8	3	4	23	16	7
05 Central Espanol	24	15	7	3	5	23	22	1
06 Montevideo City Torque	23	15	6	5	4	22	16	6
07 Nacional Montevideo	22	15	7	1	7	26	21	5
08 Defensor Sporting Montevideo	21	15	5	6	4	13	11	2
09 Liverpool URU	20	15	5	5	5	20	18	2
10 Wanderers FC	20	15	6	2	7	16	21	-5
11 Danubio FC	18	15	4	6	5	17	21	-4
12 Cerro Largo	17	15	5	2	8	16	19	-3
13 Boston River	17	15	5	2	8	14	20	-6
14 CA Juventud	15	15	4	3	8	17	22	-5
15 Club Atletico Progreso	10	15	2	4	9	12	23	-11
16 Cerro Montevideo	10	15	2	4	9	8	24	-16

Torneo Intermedio Group A	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 CA Penarol	16	7	5	1	1	12	3	9
02 Cerro Largo	11	7	3	2	2	7	5	2
03 Racing Club Montevideo	10	7	2	4	1	4	3	1
04 Liverpool URU	9	7	2	3	2	5	5	0
05 Central Espanol	9	7	2	3	2	4	4	0
06 Cerro Montevideo	9	6	3	0	3	5	8	-3
07 Boston River	5	7	1	2	4	5	10	-5
08 Defensor Sporting Montevideo	3	6	0	3	3	4	8	-4

Torneo Intermedio Group B	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Wanderers FC	15	7	4	3	0	12	4	8
02 Nacional Montevideo	13	7	4	1	2	8	8	0
03 Deportivo Maldonado	12	7	3	3	1	12	6	6
04 Montevideo City Torque	12	7	4	0	3	11	11	0
05 CA Juventud	8	7	2	2	3	8	11	-3
06 Albion FC	6	7	1	3	3	6	8	-2
07 Club Atletico Progreso	6	7	2	0	5	6	11	-5
08 Danubio FC	4	7	0	4	3	5	9	-4
09 Unknown	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
10 Unknown	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Head To Head

13/01/2026 20:30

Nacional Montevideo

0 - 0

Deportivo Maldonado

UCL

16/11/2024 18:30

Nacional Montevideo

5 - 2

Deportivo Maldonado

URU D1

20/05/2024 19:00

Deportivo Maldonado

0 - 2

Nacional Montevideo

URU D1

23/10/2023 19:15

Nacional Montevideo

1 - 3

Deportivo Maldonado

URU D1

17/06/2023 17:00

Nacional Montevideo

4 - 0

Deportivo Maldonado

URU D1

18/03/2023 16:00

Deportivo Maldonado

0 - 0

Nacional Montevideo

URU D1

Deportivo Maldonado

17%

Draw

33%

Nacional Montevideo

50%

Deportivo Maldonado Last 6 matches

05/04/2026 17:25

Liverpool URU 0 - 2 Deportivo Maldonado URU D1

30/03/2026 19:55

Central Espanol 2 - 1 Deportivo Maldonado URU D1

24/03/2026 13:00

Deportivo Maldonado 1 - 0 Montevideo City Torque URU D1

20/03/2026 17:00

Cerro Largo 3 - 1 Deportivo Maldonado URU D1

15/03/2026 16:00

Deportivo Maldonado 1 - 0 Defensor Sporting Montevideo URU D1

06/03/2026 19:00

Wanderers FC 0 - 0 Deportivo Maldonado URU D1

Win

50%

Draw

17%

Lost

33%

Last 6 matches Nacional Montevideo

08/04/2026 18:00

Coquimbo Unido 1 - 1 Nacional Montevideo CON CLA

03/04/2026 19:30

Nacional Montevideo 0 - 1 Central Espanol URU D1

28/03/2026 18:30

Montevideo City Torque 2 - 3 Nacional Montevideo URU D1

24/03/2026 19:30

Nacional Montevideo 3 - 0 Cerro Largo URU D1

20/03/2026 20:30

Defensor Sporting Montevideo 2 - 1 Nacional Montevideo URU D1

13/03/2026 18:55

Nacional Montevideo 2 - 0 Wanderers FC URU D1

Win

50%

Draw

17%

Lost

33%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Uruguay Primera Divisi...

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Deportivo Maldonado

Nacional Montevideo

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

0.73

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.50

Scored

Avg. per game

0.86

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.68

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

2 (33%)4 (67%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 22 matches

YesNo

11 (50%)11 (50%)

In last 22 matches

NoYes

13 (59%)9 (41%)

Deportivo Maldonado

Recent matches

Nacional Montevideo

Under /Over

(73%)16 6(27%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(77%)17 5(23%)

Under /Over

(41%)9 13(59%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(36%)8 14(64%)

Under /Over

(32%)7 15(68%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(55%)12 10(45%)

/Yes

(59%)13 9(41%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(59%)13 9(41%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Deportivo Maldonado

Nacional Montevideo

Shots

Deportivo Maldonado

Total shots

10.14 avg / game

Blocked

0 total

Avg. —

Nacional Montevideo

Total shots

7.29 avg / game

Blocked

0 total

Avg. —

Deportivo Maldonado Pass Nacional Montevideo

Total passes

—

Avg. — / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

51%

Total passes

—

Avg. — / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

55%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Deportivo Maldonado

Played games

Nacional Montevideo

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.36

Clean sheets

0.27

4.14

Corners

102

4.64

0.00

Throw-ins

0.00

Offsides

0.00

GK saves

0.00

Deportivo Maldonado

DISCIPLINARY

Nacional Montevideo

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

2.64

1.91

0.09

0.27

0.00

Fouls

0.00

Tackles

0.00

NEXT MATCHES

No upcoming matches.

NEXT MATCHES

No upcoming matches.

How We Build the Deportivo Maldonado vs Nacional Montevideo Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Deportivo Maldonado vs Nacional Montevideo on 11 April 2026 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Uruguay Primera Division fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Deportivo Maldonado vs Nacional Montevideo Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Deportivo Maldonado's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Nacional Montevideo's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Uruguay Primera Division Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Uruguay Primera Division standings and the Uruguay Primera Division form table to understand exactly where Deportivo Maldonado and Nacional Montevideo sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Uruguay Primera Division predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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