Deportivo Maldonado vs Club Atletico Progreso: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 14 February

Deportivo Maldonado

W W D L W

2nd place in Apertura

2-0

14/02/2026 16:00

Club Atletico Progreso

L L W L L

15th place in Apertura

Uruguay Primera Division

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Deportivo Maldonado vs Club Atletico Progreso on 14 February 2026 (kick-off: 16:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Deportivo Maldonado vs Club Atletico Progreso preview before placing your bet.

Deportivo Maldonado are currently 2nd with 29 points after 15 matches.
Club Atletico Progreso sit 15th with 10 points from 15 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: a draw with probability 29%.
Head-to-head history favors Club Atletico Progreso, who have won 2 of the last 6 meetings. Deportivo Maldonado have one win, while 3 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

16:00

2026-02-14

Deportivo Maldonado vs Club Atletico Progreso - Prediction & Odds

Deportivo Maldonado

Club Atletico Progreso

2026-02-14 16:00

STANDINGS UP TO 14/02/2026

Apertura	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Racing Club Montevideo	31	15	9	4	2	23	14	9
02 Deportivo Maldonado	29	15	9	2	4	24	16	8
03 Albion FC	28	15	8	4	3	26	16	10
04 CA Penarol	27	15	8	3	4	23	16	7
05 Central Espanol	24	15	7	3	5	23	22	1
06 Montevideo City Torque	23	15	6	5	4	22	16	6
07 Nacional Montevideo	22	15	7	1	7	26	21	5
08 Defensor Sporting Montevideo	21	15	5	6	4	13	11	2
09 Liverpool URU	20	15	5	5	5	20	18	2
10 Wanderers FC	20	15	6	2	7	16	21	-5
11 Danubio FC	18	15	4	6	5	17	21	-4
12 Cerro Largo	17	15	5	2	8	16	19	-3
13 Boston River	17	15	5	2	8	14	20	-6
14 CA Juventud	15	15	4	3	8	17	22	-5
15 Club Atletico Progreso	10	15	2	4	9	12	23	-11
16 Cerro Montevideo	10	15	2	4	9	8	24	-16

Torneo Intermedio Group A	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 CA Penarol	16	7	5	1	1	12	3	9
02 Cerro Largo	11	7	3	2	2	7	5	2
03 Racing Club Montevideo	10	7	2	4	1	4	3	1
04 Cerro Montevideo	9	6	3	0	3	5	8	-3
05 Liverpool URU	8	6	2	2	2	5	5	0
06 Central Espanol	8	6	2	2	2	4	4	0
07 Boston River	5	7	1	2	4	5	10	-5
08 Defensor Sporting Montevideo	3	6	0	3	3	4	8	-4

Torneo Intermedio Group B	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Wanderers FC	15	7	4	3	0	12	4	8
02 Deportivo Maldonado	12	7	3	3	1	12	6	6
03 Montevideo City Torque	12	7	4	0	3	11	11	0
04 Nacional Montevideo	10	6	3	1	2	6	7	-1
05 CA Juventud	8	7	2	2	3	8	11	-3
06 Albion FC	6	7	1	3	3	6	8	-2
07 Club Atletico Progreso	6	6	2	0	4	5	9	-4
08 Danubio FC	4	7	0	4	3	5	9	-4
09 Unknown	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
10 Unknown	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Head To Head

06/10/2024 17:30

Deportivo Maldonado

2 - 2

Club Atletico Progreso

URU D1

21/07/2024 11:30

Club Atletico Progreso

0 - 1

Deportivo Maldonado

URU D1

31/03/2024 14:00

Club Atletico Progreso

3 - 1

Deportivo Maldonado

URU D1

21/10/2021 14:30

Club Atletico Progreso

2 - 0

Deportivo Maldonado

URU D1

24/06/2021 11:59

Deportivo Maldonado

1 - 1

Club Atletico Progreso

URU D1

02/03/2021 16:00

Club Atletico Progreso

1 - 1

Deportivo Maldonado

URU D1

Deportivo Maldonado

17%

Draw

50%

Club Atletico Progreso

33%

Deportivo Maldonado Last 6 matches

13/01/2026 20:30

Nacional Montevideo 0 - 0 Deportivo Maldonado UCL

29/11/2025 19:30

CA Atenas 0 - 1 Deportivo Maldonado URU D2

22/11/2025 17:00

Deportivo Maldonado 0 - 0 CA Atenas URU D2

15/11/2025 15:30

Colon CF 0 - 1 Deportivo Maldonado URU D2

08/11/2025 08:45

Deportivo Maldonado 1 - 1 Colon CF URU D2

26/10/2025 10:00

Deportivo Maldonado 1 - 1 La Luz URU D2

Win

33%

Draw

67%

Lost

Last 6 matches Club Atletico Progreso

29/01/2026 19:00

Club Atletico Progreso 2 - 1 Boston River UCL

22/01/2026 19:30

Nacional Montevideo 1 - 1 Club Atletico Progreso UCL

18/01/2026 20:30

CA Juventud 0 - 1 Club Atletico Progreso UCL

15/01/2026 17:15

Club Atletico Progreso 1 - 2 Atletico Tucuman INT CF

11/01/2026 20:30

Defensor Sporting Montevideo 0 - 0 Club Atletico Progreso UCL

09/11/2025 15:30

CA Juventud 1 - 1 Club Atletico Progreso URU D1

Win

33%

Draw

50%

Lost

17%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Uruguay Primera Divisi...

Played games

Deportivo Maldonado

233

Club Atletico Progreso

221

Goals

Scored

260

Avg. per game

1.12

Conceded

291

Avg. per game

1.25

Scored

251

Avg. per game

1.14

Conceded

297

Avg. per game

1.34

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 233 matches

YesNo

159 (68%)74 (32%)

In last 233 matches

NoYes

145 (66%)76 (34%)

Deportivo Maldonado

Recent matches

Club Atletico Progreso

Under /Over

(64%)29 16(36%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(71%)32 13(29%)

Under /Over

(31%)14 31(69%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(38%)17 28(62%)

Under /Over

(31%)14 31(69%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(31%)14 31(69%)

/Yes

(44%)20 25(56%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(47%)21 24(53%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Deportivo Maldonado

Club Atletico Progreso

Shots

Deportivo Maldonado

Total shots

8.11 avg / game

Blocked

0 total

Avg. —

Club Atletico Progreso

Total shots

8.27 avg / game

Blocked

0 total

Avg. —

Deportivo Maldonado Pass Club Atletico Progreso

Total passes

290

Avg. 290 / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

49%

Total passes

—

Avg. — / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

49%

TOTAL ATTACKS

Deportivo Maldonado

20358

Avg. 87.37 / game

Club Atletico Progreso

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

Club Atletico Progreso

13694

Avg. 61.96 / game

OTHERS

Deportivo Maldonado

233

Played games

Club Atletico Progreso

221

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.27

Clean sheets

0.26

4.06

946

Corners

1065

4.82

0.00

Throw-ins

0.00

0.02

Offsides

0.00

1.46

341

GK saves

249

1.13

Deportivo Maldonado

DISCIPLINARY

Club Atletico Progreso

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

2.52

586

615

2.78

0.12

0.15

0.18

Fouls

0.00

0.11

Tackles

0.00

NEXT MATCHES

No upcoming matches.

NEXT MATCHES

08/02

Nacional Montevideo

Club Atletico Progreso

URU

How We Build the Deportivo Maldonado vs Club Atletico Progreso Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Deportivo Maldonado vs Club Atletico Progreso on 14 February 2026 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Uruguay Primera Division fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Deportivo Maldonado vs Club Atletico Progreso Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Deportivo Maldonado's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Club Atletico Progreso's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Uruguay Primera Division Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Uruguay Primera Division standings and the Uruguay Primera Division form table to understand exactly where Deportivo Maldonado and Club Atletico Progreso sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Uruguay Primera Division predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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