Deportes Tolima vs Dep.Independiente Medellin Prediction, analysis & Match Preview – March 09

Deportes Tolima

W L W W W

2nd place in Apertura

2-2

09/03/2024 21:30

Dep.Independiente Medellin

L D W W D

9th place in Apertura

Primera Division de Colombiano-Apertura

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Deportes Tolima vs Dep.Independiente Medellin on March 09, 2024 (kick-off: 21:30) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Deportes Tolima vs Dep.Independiente Medellin preview before placing for you.

Deportes Tolima are currently 2nd with 38 points after 19 matches.
Dep.Independiente Medellin sit 9th with 29 points from 19 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Deportes Tolima to win with probability 40%.
Head-to-head history is evenly balanced: Deportes Tolima and Dep.Independiente Medellin have each won 1 of the last 6 meetings, while 4 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

21:30

2024-03-09

Deportes Tolima vs Dep.Independiente Medellin - Prediction & Odds

Deportes Tolima

Dep.Independiente Medellin

2024-03-09 21:30

STANDINGS UP TO 09/03/2024

Apertura	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Atletico Bucaramanga	38	19	11	5	3	24	10	14
02 Deportes Tolima	38	19	11	5	3	31	18	13
03 Deportivo Pereira	34	19	10	4	5	28	18	10
04 Independiente Santa Fe	34	19	10	4	5	22	12	10
05 La Equidad	33	19	9	6	4	22	14	8
06 Millonarios	31	19	9	4	6	28	20	8
07 Atletico Junior Barranquilla	29	19	8	5	6	24	21	3
08 Deportiva Once Caldas	29	19	8	5	6	16	16	0
09 Dep.Independiente Medellin	29	19	8	5	6	22	31	-9
10 America de Cali	25	19	6	7	6	22	16	6
11 Aguilas Doradas	25	19	7	4	8	20	19	1
12 Atletico Nacional Medellin	24	19	6	6	7	21	20	1
13 Fortaleza F.C	24	19	6	6	7	18	20	-2
14 Jaguares de Cordoba	22	19	5	7	7	17	20	-3
15 Deportivo Cali	21	19	5	6	8	24	24	0
16 Deportivo Pasto	19	19	5	4	10	15	21	-6
17 Boyaca Chico	18	19	5	3	11	22	35	-13
18 Envigado FC	16	19	3	7	9	15	25	-10
19 Alianza Petrolera	16	19	4	4	11	15	29	-14
20 Patriotas FC	15	19	4	3	12	8	25	-17

Autumn	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Independiente Santa Fe	37	19	10	7	2	26	12	14
02 America de Cali	37	19	11	4	4	27	16	11
03 Millonarios	35	19	10	5	4	27	13	14
04 Deportes Tolima	34	19	10	4	5	25	12	13
05 Atletico Nacional Medellin	32	18	9	5	4	27	17	10
06 Deportiva Once Caldas	31	19	9	4	6	21	19	2
07 Deportivo Pasto	30	19	9	3	7	24	18	6
08 Dep.Independiente Medellin	29	19	7	8	4	23	15	8
09 Atletico Junior Barranquilla	28	18	7	7	4	23	16	7
10 Atletico Bucaramanga	28	19	8	4	7	21	17	4
11 Fortaleza F.C	27	19	7	6	6	23	20	3
12 Deportivo Pereira	27	19	7	6	6	19	18	1
13 La Equidad	22	19	5	7	7	20	26	-6
14 Aguilas Doradas	21	19	5	6	8	18	27	-9
15 Patriotas FC	20	19	5	5	9	23	29	-6
16 Alianza Petrolera	17	19	4	5	10	17	25	-8
17 Deportivo Cali	17	19	4	5	10	15	27	-12
18 Jaguares de Cordoba	15	19	3	6	10	9	24	-15
19 Boyaca Chico	15	19	4	3	12	13	34	-21
20 Envigado FC	13	19	3	4	12	9	25	-16

Playoffs of Group A	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Millonarios	8	6	2	2	2	6	5	1
02 Atletico Bucaramanga	8	6	2	2	2	4	3	1
03 Deportivo Pereira	8	6	2	2	2	7	8	-1
04 Atletico Junior Barranquilla	8	6	2	2	2	5	6	-1

Playoffs of Group B	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Independiente Santa Fe	16	6	5	1	0	8	1	7
02 Deportes Tolima	10	6	3	1	2	9	6	3
03 Deportiva Once Caldas	8	6	2	2	2	5	4	1
04 La Equidad	0	6	0	0	6	3	14	-11

Playoffs Group (A)	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Atletico Nacional Medellin	13	6	4	1	1	13	4	9
02 Millonarios	12	6	3	3	0	7	4	3
03 Deportivo Pasto	7	6	2	1	3	5	6	-1
04 Independiente Santa Fe	1	6	0	1	5	2	13	-11

Playoffs Group (B)	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Deportes Tolima	10	6	3	1	2	7	7	0
02 Deportiva Once Caldas	9	6	2	3	1	8	5	3
03 Atletico Junior Barranquilla	7	6	2	1	3	7	8	-1
04 America de Cali	7	6	2	1	3	6	8	-2

Head To Head

05/03/2024 22:00

Deportes Tolima

0 - 0

Dep.Independiente Medellin

CON CSA

14/09/2023 17:30

Deportes Tolima

1 - 1

Dep.Independiente Medellin

COL D1

01/04/2023 17:10

Dep.Independiente Medellin

1 - 1

Deportes Tolima

COL D1

17/08/2022 19:00

Dep.Independiente Medellin

0 - 1

Deportes Tolima

COL Cup

27/07/2022 21:05

Deportes Tolima

1 - 3

Dep.Independiente Medellin

COL Cup

10/07/2022 21:15

Deportes Tolima

1 - 1

Dep.Independiente Medellin

COL D1

Deportes Tolima

17%

Draw

67%

Dep.Independiente Medellin

17%

Deportes Tolima Last 6 matches

05/03/2024 22:00

Deportes Tolima 0 - 0 Dep.Independiente Medellin CON CSA

01/03/2024 19:10

Boyaca Chico 1 - 1 Deportes Tolima COL D1

26/02/2024 21:20

Deportivo Cali 1 - 2 Deportes Tolima COL D1

22/02/2024 17:00

Deportes Tolima 0 - 0 Atletico Bucaramanga COL D1

18/02/2024 21:20

Atletico Junior Barranquilla 0 - 1 Deportes Tolima COL D1

15/02/2024 19:10

Deportes Tolima 2 - 0 Jaguares de Cordoba COL D1

Win

50%

Draw

50%

Lost

Last 6 matches Dep.Independiente Medellin

05/03/2024 22:00

Deportes Tolima 0 - 0 Dep.Independiente Medellin CON CSA

03/03/2024 19:10

Dep.Independiente Medellin 1 - 0 Aguilas Doradas COL D1

29/02/2024 20:45

Dep.Independiente Medellin 1 - 0 Deportivo Pasto COL D1

24/02/2024 19:10

Alianza Petrolera 2 - 0 Dep.Independiente Medellin COL D1

17/02/2024 19:05

Dep.Independiente Medellin 2 - 2 Fortaleza F.C COL D1

14/02/2024 21:20

Boyaca Chico 3 - 0 Dep.Independiente Medellin COL D1

Win

33%

Draw

33%

Lost

33%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Primera Division de Co...

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Deportes Tolima

Dep.Independiente Medellin

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

0.69

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.40

Scored

Avg. per game

0.68

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.55

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 52 matches

YesNo

26 (50%)26 (50%)

In last 52 matches

NoYes

17 (45%)21 (55%)

Deportes Tolima

Recent matches

Dep.Independiente Medellin

Under /Over

(67%)30 15(33%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(66%)25 13(34%)

Under /Over

(33%)15 30(67%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(32%)12 26(68%)

Under /Over

(31%)14 31(69%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(39%)15 23(61%)

/Yes

(49%)22 23(51%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(45%)17 21(55%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Deportes Tolima

Dep.Independiente Medellin

Shots

Deportes Tolima

Total shots

9.63 avg / game

Blocked

67 total

Avg. 1.97

Dep.Independiente Medellin

Total shots

10.21 avg / game

Blocked

64 total

Avg. 2.46

Deportes Tolima Pass Dep.Independiente Medellin

Total passes

17163

Avg. 330 / game

Accurate

85%

Ball possession

56%

Total passes

12461

Avg. 346 / game

Accurate

79%

Ball possession

55%

TOTAL ATTACKS

Deportes Tolima

3643

Avg. 70.06 / game

Dep.Independiente Medellin

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

Dep.Independiente Medellin

1158

Avg. 30.47 / game

OTHERS

Deportes Tolima

Played games

Dep.Independiente Medellin

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.38

Clean sheets

0.34

3.46

180

Corners

145

3.82

5.00

260

Throw-ins

169

4.45

1.31

Offsides

1.39

2.10

109

GK saves

2.16

Deportes Tolima

DISCIPLINARY

Dep.Independiente Medellin

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

2.02

105

2.05

0.12

0.08

8.35

434

Fouls

364

9.58

8.54

444

Tackles

320

8.42

NEXT MATCHES

08/08

Deportes Tolima

Internacional de Bogota

COL

08/11

Deportes Tolima

Independiente del Valle

Independiente del Valle

NEXT MATCHES

Dep.Independiente Medellin

Millonarios

COL

08/16

Internacional de Bogota

Dep.Independiente Medellin

COL

08/23

Dep.Independiente Medellin

Dep.Independiente Medellin

COL

08/30

Dep.Independiente Medellin

Llaneros FC

COL

How We Build the Deportes Tolima vs Dep.Independiente Medellin Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Deportes Tolima vs Dep.Independiente Medellin on 09 March 2024 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Primera Division de Colombiano-Apertura fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Deportes Tolima vs Dep.Independiente Medellin Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Deportes Tolima's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Dep.Independiente Medellin's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Primera Division de Colombiano-Apertura Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Primera Division de Colombiano-Apertura standings and the Primera Division de Colombiano-Apertura form table to understand exactly where Deportes Tolima and Dep.Independiente Medellin sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Primera Division de Colombiano-Apertura predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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