Dep.Independiente Medellin vs Atletico Nacional Medellin Prediction, analysis & Match Preview – May 04

Dep.Independiente Medellin

D D L L W

8th place in Apertura

1-1

04/05/2025 17:10

Atletico Nacional Medellin

L W D W L

5th place in Apertura

Primera Division de Colombiano-Apertura

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Dep.Independiente Medellin vs Atletico Nacional Medellin on May 04, 2025 (kick-off: 17:10) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Dep.Independiente Medellin vs Atletico Nacional Medellin preview before placing for you.

Dep.Independiente Medellin are currently 8th with 32 points after 20 matches.
Atletico Nacional Medellin sit 5th with 35 points from 20 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: a draw with probability 32%.
Head-to-head history favors Dep.Independiente Medellin, who have won 2 of the last 6 meetings. Atletico Nacional Medellin have one win, while 3 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

17:10

2025-05-04

Dep.Independiente Medellin vs Atletico Nacional Medellin - Prediction & Odds

Dep.Independiente Medellin

Atletico Nacional Medellin

2025-05-04 17:10

STANDINGS UP TO 04/05/2025

Apertura	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 America de Cali	39	20	11	6	3	29	12	17
02 Millonarios	38	20	11	5	4	30	17	13
03 Atletico Junior Barranquilla	37	20	10	7	3	26	16	10
04 Deportes Tolima	36	20	10	6	4	30	19	11
05 Atletico Nacional Medellin	35	20	10	5	5	37	21	16
06 Independiente Santa Fe	33	20	9	6	5	28	23	5
07 Deportiva Once Caldas	33	20	10	3	7	26	22	4
08 Dep.Independiente Medellin	32	20	8	8	4	19	11	8
09 Atletico Bucaramanga	29	20	8	5	7	24	20	4
10 Alianza Petrolera	29	20	8	5	7	23	21	2
11 Deportivo Pasto	29	20	8	5	7	20	20	0
12 Deportivo Pereira	28	20	7	7	6	22	21	1
13 Deportivo Cali	24	20	5	9	6	14	17	-3
14 Aguilas Doradas	21	20	4	9	7	17	19	-2
15 Llaneros FC	20	20	6	2	12	20	28	-8
16 Fortaleza F.C	20	20	5	5	10	15	25	-10
17 Boyaca Chico	20	20	4	8	8	14	31	-17
18 Envigado FC	18	20	5	3	12	16	29	-13
19 Union Magdalena	11	20	1	8	11	14	30	-16
20 La Equidad	10	20	2	4	14	13	35	-22

Clausura	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Dep.Independiente Medellin	40	20	12	4	4	46	28	18
02 Deportes Tolima	38	20	12	2	6	29	17	12
03 Atletico Nacional Medellin	37	20	10	7	3	38	24	14
04 Atletico Bucaramanga	37	20	11	4	5	31	20	11
05 Atletico Junior Barranquilla	35	20	10	5	5	35	25	10
06 Fortaleza F.C	35	20	9	8	3	25	19	6
07 Independiente Santa Fe	31	20	8	7	5	21	17	4
08 America de Cali	29	20	8	5	7	23	19	4
09 Alianza Petrolera	29	20	8	5	7	24	22	2
10 Aguilas Doradas	27	20	7	6	7	29	27	2
11 Deportiva Once Caldas	27	20	7	6	7	21	24	-3
12 Millonarios	26	20	7	5	8	23	26	-3
13 Llaneros FC	25	20	7	4	9	17	25	-8
14 Deportivo Cali	21	20	5	6	9	22	28	-6
15 Union Magdalena	21	20	6	3	11	22	32	-10
16 Envigado FC	20	20	4	8	8	18	22	-4
17 Deportivo Pasto	19	20	4	7	9	26	28	-2
18 Deportivo Pereira	18	20	4	6	10	19	36	-17
19 Boyaca Chico	16	20	3	7	10	14	29	-15
20 La Equidad	14	20	3	5	12	14	29	-15

Playoffs of Group A	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Dep.Independiente Medellin	14	6	4	2	0	9	4	5
02 America de Cali	9	6	2	3	1	7	7	0
03 Deportes Tolima	8	6	2	2	2	9	8	1
04 Atletico Junior Barranquilla	1	6	0	1	5	2	8	-6

Playoffs of Group B	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Independiente Santa Fe	12	6	4	0	2	8	6	2
02 Millonarios	9	6	2	3	1	5	4	1
03 Atletico Nacional Medellin	8	6	2	2	2	5	5	0
04 Deportiva Once Caldas	3	6	0	3	3	4	7	-3

Playoffs Group (A)	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Atletico Junior Barranquilla	11	6	3	2	1	8	6	2
02 America de Cali	8	6	2	2	2	8	8	0
03 Atletico Nacional Medellin	8	6	2	2	2	7	7	0
04 Dep.Independiente Medellin	5	6	1	2	3	5	7	-2

Playoffs Group (B)	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Deportes Tolima	14	6	4	2	0	5	1	4
02 Atletico Bucaramanga	9	6	2	3	1	4	2	2
03 Independiente Santa Fe	7	6	2	1	3	6	5	1
04 Fortaleza F.C	3	6	1	0	5	3	10	-7

Head To Head

23/03/2025 18:45

Atletico Nacional Medellin

1 - 1

Dep.Independiente Medellin

COL D1

17/11/2024 20:40

Dep.Independiente Medellin

1 - 0

Atletico Nacional Medellin

COL Cup

11/11/2024 17:10

Atletico Nacional Medellin

1 - 1

Dep.Independiente Medellin

COL D1

31/10/2024 21:00

Atletico Nacional Medellin

2 - 0

Dep.Independiente Medellin

COL Cup

21/04/2024 19:20

Dep.Independiente Medellin

2 - 2

Atletico Nacional Medellin

COL D1

03/12/2023 16:30

Atletico Nacional Medellin

0 - 5

Dep.Independiente Medellin

COL D1

Dep.Independiente Medellin

33%

Draw

50%

Atletico Nacional Medellin

17%

Dep.Independiente Medellin Last 6 matches

27/04/2025 17:10

Fortaleza F.C 0 - 0 Dep.Independiente Medellin COL D1

19/04/2025 21:20

Dep.Independiente Medellin 2 - 0 Deportiva Once Caldas COL D1

14/04/2025 20:00

Independiente Santa Fe 1 - 2 Dep.Independiente Medellin COL D1

06/04/2025 19:20

Atletico Junior Barranquilla 1 - 0 Dep.Independiente Medellin COL D1

29/03/2025 21:10

Dep.Independiente Medellin 0 - 0 Aguilas Doradas COL D1

23/03/2025 18:45

Atletico Nacional Medellin 1 - 1 Dep.Independiente Medellin COL D1

Win

33%

Draw

50%

Lost

17%

Last 6 matches Atletico Nacional Medellin

29/04/2025 20:30

Atletico Nacional Medellin 3 - 0 Deportivo Pasto COL D1

24/04/2025 20:00

Bahia 1 - 0 Atletico Nacional Medellin CON CLA

20/04/2025 19:20

Deportivo Cali 1 - 0 Atletico Nacional Medellin COL D1

16/04/2025 19:20

Atletico Nacional Medellin 4 - 1 Boyaca Chico COL D1

13/04/2025 19:00

Millonarios 0 - 0 Atletico Nacional Medellin COL D1

10/04/2025 18:00

Internacional RS 3 - 0 Atletico Nacional Medellin CON CLA

Win

33%

Draw

17%

Lost

50%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Primera Division de Co...

Played games

Dep.Independiente Medellin

Atletico Nacional Medellin

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

1.48

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.96

Scored

Avg. per game

1.67

Conceded

Avg. per game

1.10

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

5 (83%)1 (17%)

In last 54 matches

YesNo

42 (78%)12 (22%)

In last 54 matches

NoYes

42 (81%)10 (19%)

Dep.Independiente Medellin

Recent matches

Atletico Nacional Medellin

Under /Over

(76%)34 11(24%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(76%)34 11(24%)

Under /Over

(33%)15 30(67%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(31%)14 31(69%)

Under /Over

(44%)20 25(56%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(42%)19 26(58%)

/Yes

(58%)26 19(42%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(62%)28 17(38%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Dep.Independiente Medellin

Atletico Nacional Medellin

Shots

Dep.Independiente Medellin

Total shots

11.81 avg / game

Blocked

83 total

Avg. 2.44

Atletico Nacional Medellin

Total shots

13.35 avg / game

Blocked

100 total

Avg. 3.23

Dep.Independiente Medellin Pass Atletico Nacional Medellin

Total passes

17023

Avg. 315 / game

Accurate

80%

Ball possession

56%

Total passes

18246

Avg. 351 / game

Accurate

85%

Ball possession

58%

TOTAL ATTACKS

Dep.Independiente Medellin

3844

Avg. 71.19 / game

Atletico Nacional Medellin

4128

Avg. 79.38 / game

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

Dep.Independiente Medellin

1775

Avg. 32.87 / game

Atletico Nacional Medellin

1813

Avg. 34.87 / game

OTHERS

Dep.Independiente Medellin

Played games

Atletico Nacional Medellin

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.37

Clean sheets

0.33

4.52

244

Corners

254

4.88

13.41

724

Throw-ins

728

14.00

0.87

Offsides

1.52

1.87

101

GK saves

117

2.25

Dep.Independiente Medellin

DISCIPLINARY

Atletico Nacional Medellin

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

2.09

113

110

2.12

0.13

0.21

7.74

418

Fouls

499

9.60

6.15

332

Tackles

359

6.90

NEXT MATCHES

08/10

Dep.Independiente Medellin

Millonarios

COL

08/16

Internacional de Bogota

Dep.Independiente Medellin

COL

08/23

Dep.Independiente Medellin

Dep.Independiente Medellin

COL

08/30

Dep.Independiente Medellin

NEXT MATCHES

Atletico Nacional Medellin

COL

08/16

Atletico Nacional Medellin

Independiente Santa Fe

COL

08/23

Fortaleza F.C

Atletico Nacional Medellin

COL

08/26

Atletico Nacional Medellin

Atletico Nacional Medellin

COL

How We Build the Dep.Independiente Medellin vs Atletico Nacional Medellin Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Dep.Independiente Medellin vs Atletico Nacional Medellin on 04 May 2025 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Primera Division de Colombiano-Apertura fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Dep.Independiente Medellin vs Atletico Nacional Medellin Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Dep.Independiente Medellin's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Atletico Nacional Medellin's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Primera Division de Colombiano-Apertura Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Primera Division de Colombiano-Apertura standings and the Primera Division de Colombiano-Apertura form table to understand exactly where Dep.Independiente Medellin and Atletico Nacional Medellin sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Primera Division de Colombiano-Apertura predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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