Dep.Independiente Medellin vs Atletico Nacional Medellin Prediction, analysis & Match Preview – April 11

Dep.Independiente Medellin

D L W W W

11th place in Apertura

2-3

11/04/2026 21:20

Atletico Nacional Medellin

D W W W L

1st place in Apertura

Primera Division de Colombiano-Apertura

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Dep.Independiente Medellin vs Atletico Nacional Medellin on April 11, 2026 (kick-off: 21:20) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Dep.Independiente Medellin vs Atletico Nacional Medellin preview before placing for you.

Dep.Independiente Medellin are currently 11th with 26 points after 19 matches.
Atletico Nacional Medellin sit 1st with 40 points from 19 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Atletico Nacional Medellin to win with probability 41%.
Head-to-head history favors Atletico Nacional Medellin, who have won 3 of the last 6 meetings. Dep.Independiente Medellin have no wins, while 3 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

21:20

2026-04-11

Dep.Independiente Medellin vs Atletico Nacional Medellin - Prediction & Odds

Dep.Independiente Medellin

Atletico Nacional Medellin

2026-04-11 21:20

STANDINGS UP TO 11/04/2026

Apertura	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Atletico Nacional Medellin	40	19	13	1	5	35	15	20
02 Atletico Junior Barranquilla	35	19	11	2	6	31	24	7
03 Deportivo Pasto	34	19	10	4	5	29	25	4
04 America de Cali	33	19	10	3	6	25	15	10
05 Deportiva Once Caldas	33	19	8	9	2	31	22	9
06 Deportes Tolima	31	19	8	7	4	27	17	10
07 Independiente Santa Fe	29	19	7	8	4	29	22	7
08 Internacional de Bogota	28	19	7	7	5	26	26	0
09 Deportivo Cali	27	19	7	6	6	20	16	4
10 Millonarios	26	19	7	5	7	31	23	8
11 Dep.Independiente Medellin	26	19	7	5	7	26	24	2
12 Aguilas Doradas	26	19	7	5	7	20	25	-5
13 Atletico Bucaramanga	23	19	5	8	6	26	20	6
14 Llaneros FC	22	19	4	10	5	17	20	-3
15 Fortaleza F.C	22	19	5	7	7	22	27	-5
16 Jaguares de Cordoba	18	19	5	3	11	20	33	-13
17 Alianza Petrolera	17	19	3	8	8	13	27	-14
18 Boyaca Chico	17	19	5	2	12	15	32	-17
19 Cucuta	16	19	3	7	9	22	35	-13
20 Deportivo Pereira	10	19	1	7	11	15	32	-17

Clausura	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 America de Cali	9	3	3	0	0	10	0	10
02 Dep.Independiente Medellin	9	3	3	0	0	7	4	3
03 Llaneros FC	7	3	2	1	0	5	2	3
04 Aguilas Doradas	6	2	2	0	0	4	2	2
05 Millonarios	6	3	2	0	1	3	1	2
06 Deportes Tolima	6	3	2	0	1	6	5	1
07 Atletico Bucaramanga	5	3	1	2	0	3	2	1
08 Deportiva Once Caldas	4	3	1	1	1	7	4	3
09 Atletico Nacional Medellin	3	1	1	0	0	3	0	3
10 Deportivo Cali	3	2	1	0	1	2	1	1
11 Internacional de Bogota	3	2	1	0	1	1	2	-1
12 Fortaleza F.C	2	3	0	2	1	2	4	-2
13 Independiente Santa Fe	1	2	0	1	1	3	4	-1
14 Alianza Petrolera	1	2	0	1	1	2	3	-1
15 Deportivo Pereira	1	2	0	1	1	0	1	-1
16 Cucuta	1	2	0	1	1	2	6	-4
17 Atletico Junior Barranquilla	0	2	0	0	2	1	3	-2
18 Deportivo Pasto	0	3	0	0	3	3	7	-4
19 Jaguares de Cordoba	0	3	0	0	3	0	6	-6
20 Boyaca Chico	0	1	0	0	1	0	7	-7

Head To Head

17/12/2025 20:30

Dep.Independiente Medellin

0 - 1

Atletico Nacional Medellin

COL Cup

13/12/2025 18:00

Atletico Nacional Medellin

0 - 0

Dep.Independiente Medellin

COL Cup

04/12/2025 19:30

Atletico Nacional Medellin

2 - 1

Dep.Independiente Medellin

COL D1

23/11/2025 18:45

Dep.Independiente Medellin

0 - 0

Atletico Nacional Medellin

COL D1

26/10/2025 19:30

Atletico Nacional Medellin

5 - 2

Dep.Independiente Medellin

COL D1

07/09/2025 20:00

Dep.Independiente Medellin

3 - 3

Atletico Nacional Medellin

COL D1

Dep.Independiente Medellin

Draw

50%

Atletico Nacional Medellin

50%

Dep.Independiente Medellin Last 6 matches

08/04/2026 20:00

Dep.Independiente Medellin 1 - 1 Estudiantes La Plata CON CLA

02/04/2026 21:30

Deportiva Once Caldas 1 - 1 Dep.Independiente Medellin COL D1

30/03/2026 19:10

Dep.Independiente Medellin 2 - 1 America de Cali COL D1

23/03/2026 17:10

Independiente Santa Fe 2 - 1 Dep.Independiente Medellin COL D1

19/03/2026 21:30

Dep.Independiente Medellin 2 - 0 Atletico Junior Barranquilla COL D1

15/03/2026 19:20

Jaguares de Cordoba 1 - 2 Dep.Independiente Medellin COL D1

Win

50%

Draw

33%

Lost

17%

Last 6 matches Atletico Nacional Medellin

06/04/2026 21:10

Atletico Nacional Medellin 2 - 1 Jaguares de Cordoba COL D1

01/04/2026 21:30

Atletico Nacional Medellin 0 - 0 Cucuta COL D1

29/03/2026 19:20

Deportivo Pasto 1 - 2 Atletico Nacional Medellin COL D1

25/03/2026 23:10

CDSyC Cruz Azul 3 - 0 Atletico Nacional Medellin INT CF

21/03/2026 21:30

Atletico Nacional Medellin 3 - 0 Internacional de Bogota COL D1

17/03/2026 21:30

Millonarios 3 - 0 Atletico Nacional Medellin COL D1

Win

50%

Draw

17%

Lost

33%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Primera Division de Co...

Played games

Dep.Independiente Medellin

Atletico Nacional Medellin

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

1.50

Conceded

Avg. per game

1.27

Scored

Avg. per game

2.00

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.81

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

6 (100%)0 (0%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

5 (83%)1 (17%)

In last 22 matches

YesNo

20 (91%)2 (9%)

In last 22 matches

NoYes

19 (73%)7 (27%)

Dep.Independiente Medellin

Recent matches

Atletico Nacional Medellin

Under /Over

(77%)17 5(23%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(73%)19 7(27%)

Under /Over

(41%)9 13(59%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(35%)9 17(65%)

Under /Over

(41%)9 13(59%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(38%)10 16(62%)

/Yes

(68%)15 7(32%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(38%)10 16(62%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Dep.Independiente Medellin

Atletico Nacional Medellin

Shots

Dep.Independiente Medellin

Total shots

12.18 avg / game

Blocked

61 total

Avg. 3.05

Atletico Nacional Medellin

Total shots

13.80 avg / game

Blocked

84 total

Avg. 3.36

Dep.Independiente Medellin Pass Atletico Nacional Medellin

Total passes

6495

Avg. 295 / game

Accurate

80%

Ball possession

52%

Total passes

8703

Avg. 348 / game

Accurate

83%

Ball possession

57%

TOTAL ATTACKS

Dep.Independiente Medellin

1586

Avg. 72.09 / game

Atletico Nacional Medellin

1965

Avg. 75.58 / game

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

Dep.Independiente Medellin

749

Avg. 34.05 / game

Atletico Nacional Medellin

812

Avg. 31.23 / game

OTHERS

Dep.Independiente Medellin

Played games

Atletico Nacional Medellin

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.27

Clean sheets

0.38

4.59

101

Corners

105

4.04

14.59

321

Throw-ins

352

13.54

0.77

Offsides

2.00

GK saves

2.23

Dep.Independiente Medellin

DISCIPLINARY

Atletico Nacional Medellin

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

2.45

1.81

0.27

0.19

9.55

210

Fouls

218

8.38

7.05

155

Tackles

189

7.27

NEXT MATCHES

08/10

Dep.Independiente Medellin

Millonarios

COL

08/16

Internacional de Bogota

Dep.Independiente Medellin

COL

08/23

Dep.Independiente Medellin

Dep.Independiente Medellin

COL

08/30

Dep.Independiente Medellin

NEXT MATCHES

Atletico Nacional Medellin

COL

08/16

Atletico Nacional Medellin

Independiente Santa Fe

COL

08/23

Fortaleza F.C

Atletico Nacional Medellin

COL

08/26

Atletico Nacional Medellin

Atletico Nacional Medellin

COL

How We Build the Dep.Independiente Medellin vs Atletico Nacional Medellin Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Dep.Independiente Medellin vs Atletico Nacional Medellin on 11 April 2026 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Primera Division de Colombiano-Apertura fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Dep.Independiente Medellin vs Atletico Nacional Medellin Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Dep.Independiente Medellin's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Atletico Nacional Medellin's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Primera Division de Colombiano-Apertura Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Primera Division de Colombiano-Apertura standings and the Primera Division de Colombiano-Apertura form table to understand exactly where Dep.Independiente Medellin and Atletico Nacional Medellin sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Primera Division de Colombiano-Apertura predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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