Defence Force FC vs Negelle Arsi: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 14 May

Defence Force FC

D L L W L

3rd place in Ethiopia Premier League

4-0

14/05/2026 11:00

Negelle Arsi

D D W D W

2nd place in Ethiopia Premier League

Ethiopia Premier League

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Defence Force FC vs Negelle Arsi on 14 May 2026 (kick-off: 11:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Defence Force FC vs Negelle Arsi preview before placing your bet.

Defence Force FC are currently 3rd with 57 points after 38 matches.
Negelle Arsi sit 2nd with 60 points from 38 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: a draw with probability 33%.
Head-to-head history favors Negelle Arsi, who have won 1 of the last 1 meetings. Defence Force FC have no wins, while 0 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

11:00

2026-05-14

Defence Force FC vs Negelle Arsi - Prediction & Odds

Defence Force FC

Negelle Arsi

2026-05-14 11:00

STANDINGS UP TO 14/05/2026

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Sidama Bunna	68	38	19	11	8	43	23	20
02 Negelle Arsi	60	38	15	15	8	37	30	7
03 Defence Force FC	57	38	14	15	9	44	31	13
04 Fasil Kenema	55	38	14	13	11	28	28	0
05 Ethio Electric FC	54	38	13	15	10	32	26	6
06 Kedus Giorgis	54	38	14	12	12	33	31	2
07 Wolaita Dicha	51	38	11	18	9	37	31	6
08 Ethiopia Bunna	51	38	13	12	13	40	39	1
09 Hawassa City FC	50	38	12	14	12	37	33	4
10 Sheger Ketema	50	37	11	17	9	34	30	4
11 Bahir Dar Kenema FC	48	38	9	21	8	28	28	0
12 Hadiya Hossana	48	38	11	15	12	31	35	-4
13 Ethiopia Nigd Bank	47	38	11	14	13	45	45	0
14 Adama City	46	38	10	16	12	35	39	-4
15 Welwalo Adigrat	46	38	10	16	12	32	36	-4
16 Ethiopian Insurance FC	43	37	9	16	12	29	31	-2
17 Shire Endaselassie FC	42	38	9	15	14	24	32	-8
18 Dire Dawa	42	38	9	15	14	26	42	-16
19 Mekelle 70 Enderta FC	40	38	8	16	14	28	37	-9
20 Arba Minch	35	38	7	14	17	30	46	-16

Head To Head

04/01/2026 06:00

Negelle Arsi

2 - 0

Defence Force FC

ETH PR

Defence Force FC

Draw

Negelle Arsi

100%

Defence Force FC Last 6 matches

09/05/2026 11:00

Ethiopia Bunna 1 - 1 Defence Force FC ETH PR

04/05/2026 09:00

Defence Force FC 0 - 0 Adama City ETH PR

29/04/2026 08:00

Ethio Electric FC 0 - 1 Defence Force FC ETH PR

19/04/2026 11:00

Defence Force FC 0 - 0 Hawassa City FC ETH PR

15/04/2026 11:00

Dire Dawa 1 - 2 Defence Force FC ETH PR

10/04/2026 09:00

Sidama Bunna 1 - 3 Defence Force FC ETH PR

Win

50%

Draw

50%

Lost

Last 6 matches Negelle Arsi

11/05/2026 09:00

Negelle Arsi 3 - 0 Dire Dawa ETH PR

06/05/2026 11:00

Welwalo Adigrat 1 - 2 Negelle Arsi ETH PR

30/04/2026 08:00

Negelle Arsi 0 - 0 Fasil Kenema ETH PR

25/04/2026 08:00

Negelle Arsi 1 - 2 Sidama Bunna Ethiopia C

19/04/2026 09:00

Negelle Arsi 1 - 1 Hadiya Hossana ETH PR

13/04/2026 06:00

Sheger Ketema 1 - 1 Negelle Arsi ETH PR

Win

33%

Draw

50%

Lost

17%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Ethiopia Premier Leagu...

Played games

Defence Force FC

Negelle Arsi

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

1.16

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.82

Scored

Avg. per game

0.97

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.79

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 38 matches

YesNo

25 (66%)13 (34%)

In last 38 matches

NoYes

24 (63%)14 (37%)

Defence Force FC

Recent matches

Negelle Arsi

Under /Over

(63%)24 14(37%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(61%)23 15(39%)

Under /Over

(37%)14 24(63%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(24%)9 29(76%)

Under /Over

(29%)11 27(71%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(24%)9 29(76%)

/Yes

(39%)15 23(61%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(37%)14 24(63%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Defence Force FC

Negelle Arsi

Shots

Defence Force FC

Total shots

8.89 avg / game

Blocked

2 total

Avg. 1.00

Negelle Arsi

Total shots

7.38 avg / game

Blocked

2 total

Avg. 1.00

Defence Force FC Pass Negelle Arsi

Total passes

—

Avg. — / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

56%

Total passes

—

Avg. — / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

49%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Defence Force FC

Played games

Negelle Arsi

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.47

Clean sheets

0.45

5.24

199

Corners

125

3.29

3.03

115

Throw-ins

108

2.84

1.03

Offsides

1.87

0.00

GK saves

0.00

Defence Force FC

DISCIPLINARY

Negelle Arsi

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.68

2.47

0.05

0.08

7.34

279

Fouls

342

9.00

0.00

Tackles

0.00

NEXT MATCHES

No upcoming matches.

NEXT MATCHES

No upcoming matches.

How We Build the Defence Force FC vs Negelle Arsi Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Defence Force FC vs Negelle Arsi on 14 May 2026 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Ethiopia Premier League fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Defence Force FC vs Negelle Arsi Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Defence Force FC's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Negelle Arsi's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Ethiopia Premier League Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Ethiopia Premier League standings and the Ethiopia Premier League form table to understand exactly where Defence Force FC and Negelle Arsi sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Ethiopia Premier League predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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