Croatia vs Wales: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 25 March

Croatia

W L D D D

2nd place in Group D

1-1

25/03/2023 15:45

Wales

L L D L L

3rd place in Group D

UEFA European Championship

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Croatia vs Wales on 25 March 2023 (kick-off: 15:45) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Croatia vs Wales preview before placing your bet.

Croatia are currently 2nd with 16 points after 8 matches.
Wales sit 3rd with 12 points from 8 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Croatia to win with probability 59%.
Head-to-head history favors Croatia, who have won 4 of the last 5 meetings. Wales have no wins, while one match ended in a draw.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

15:45

2023-03-25

Croatia vs Wales - Prediction & Odds

Croatia

Wales

2023-03-25 15:45

STANDINGS UP TO 25/03/2023

Group D	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Turkey	17	8	5	2	1	14	7	7
02 Croatia	16	8	5	1	2	13	4	9
03 Wales	12	8	3	3	2	10	10	0
04 Armenia	8	8	2	2	4	9	11	-2
05 Latvia	3	8	1	0	7	5	19	-14

Group B	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Spain	9	3	3	0	0	5	0	5
02 Italy	4	3	1	1	1	3	3	0
03 Croatia	2	3	0	2	1	3	6	-3
04 Albania	1	3	0	1	2	3	5	-2

Head To Head

13/10/2019 14:45

Wales

1 - 1

Croatia

EURO Cup

08/06/2019 09:00

Croatia

2 - 1

Wales

EURO Cup

26/03/2013 15:45

Wales

1 - 2

Croatia

WCPEU

16/10/2012 14:00

Croatia

2 - 0

Wales

WCPEU

23/05/2010 13:00

Croatia

2 - 0

Wales

INT CF

Croatia

80%

Draw

20%

Wales

Croatia Last 6 matches

17/12/2022 11:00

Croatia 2 - 1 Morocco World Cup

13/12/2022 15:00

Argentina 3 - 0 Croatia World Cup

09/12/2022 11:00

Croatia 0 - 0 Brazil World Cup

05/12/2022 11:00

Japan 1 - 1 Croatia World Cup

01/12/2022 11:00

Croatia 0 - 0 Belgium World Cup

27/11/2022 11:59

Croatia 4 - 1 Canada World Cup

Win

33%

Draw

50%

Lost

17%

Last 6 matches Wales

29/11/2022 15:00

Wales 0 - 3 England World Cup

25/11/2022 06:00

Wales 0 - 2 Iran World Cup

21/11/2022 15:00

USA 1 - 1 Wales World Cup

25/09/2022 14:45

Wales 0 - 1 Poland UEFA NL

22/09/2022 14:45

Belgium 2 - 1 Wales UEFA NL

14/06/2022 14:45

Netherlands 3 - 2 Wales UEFA NL

Win

Draw

17%

Lost

83%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues UEFA European Champion...

Played games

Croatia

Wales

Goals

Scored

151

Avg. per game

1.72

Conceded

Avg. per game

1.08

Scored

Avg. per game

1.27

Conceded

Avg. per game

1.08

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

5 (83%)1 (17%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

6 (100%)0 (0%)

In last 88 matches

YesNo

71 (81%)17 (19%)

In last 88 matches

NoYes

56 (73%)21 (27%)

Croatia

Recent matches

Wales

Under /Over

(76%)34 11(24%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(73%)33 12(27%)

Under /Over

(38%)17 28(62%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(33%)15 30(67%)

Under /Over

(42%)19 26(58%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(49%)22 23(51%)

/Yes

(49%)22 23(51%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(56%)25 20(44%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Croatia

Wales

Shots

Croatia

Total shots

14.25 avg / game

Blocked

202 total

Avg. 3.21

Wales

Total shots

12.12 avg / game

Blocked

182 total

Avg. 3.37

Croatia Pass Wales

Total passes

38013

Avg. 567 / game

Accurate

87%

Ball possession

58%

Total passes

26423

Avg. 456 / game

Accurate

82%

Ball possession

51%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Croatia

Played games

Wales

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.35

Clean sheets

0.38

4.52

398

Corners

302

3.92

13.72

1207

Throw-ins

991

12.87

1.70

150

Offsides

1.13

2.25

198

GK saves

158

2.05

Croatia

DISCIPLINARY

Wales

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.33

117

120

1.56

0.05

0.10

9.48

834

Fouls

682

8.86

10.06

885

Tackles

710

9.22

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Croatia vs Wales Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Croatia vs Wales on 25 March 2023 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this UEFA European Championship fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Croatia vs Wales Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Croatia's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Wales's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

UEFA European Championship Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live UEFA European Championship standings and the UEFA European Championship form table to understand exactly where Croatia and Wales sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our UEFA European Championship predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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