Crewe Alexandra vs Derby County: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 05 November

Crewe Alexandra

L W W L L

No standing data

2-2

05/11/2023 10:45

Derby County

W L W D W

No standing data

England FA Cup

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Crewe Alexandra vs Derby County on 05 November 2023 (kick-off: 10:45) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Crewe Alexandra vs Derby County preview before placing your bet.

Our algorithm prediction: Derby County to win with probability 49%.
Head-to-head history favors Crewe Alexandra, who have won 3 of the last 6 meetings. Derby County have 2 wins, while one match ended in a draw.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

10:45

2023-11-05

Crewe Alexandra vs Derby County - Prediction & Odds

Crewe Alexandra

Derby County

2023-11-05 10:45

STANDINGS UP TO 05/11/2023

The standings compare the rankings (Rank-XH) of Crewe Alexandra and Derby County in the England FA Cup football standings for the 2023-2024 season, updated before kickoff and immediately after the match ends.

Head To Head

26/07/2011 14:30

Crewe Alexandra

2 - 1

Derby County

INT CF

10/08/2010 14:45

Crewe Alexandra

1 - 0

Derby County

ENG LC

01/08/2007 14:45

Crewe Alexandra

2 - 0

Derby County

INT CF

14/01/2006 11:00

Derby County

5 - 1

Crewe Alexandra

ENG LCH

11/09/2005 08:30

Crewe Alexandra

1 - 1

Derby County

ENG LCH

05/04/2005 14:45

Crewe Alexandra

1 - 2

Derby County

ENG LCH

Crewe Alexandra

50%

Draw

17%

Derby County

33%

Crewe Alexandra Last 6 matches

24/10/2023 14:45

Crewe Alexandra 0 - 2 Stockport County ENG L2

21/10/2023 10:00

Crawley Town 2 - 4 Crewe Alexandra ENG L2

14/10/2023 10:00

Crewe Alexandra 2 - 0 Tranmere Rovers ENG L2

10/10/2023 14:30

Crewe Alexandra 0 - 3 Wrexham ENG JPT

07/10/2023 10:00

Salford City 4 - 2 Crewe Alexandra ENG L2

03/10/2023 14:45

Crewe Alexandra 2 - 0 Gillingham ENG L2

Win

50%

Draw

Lost

50%

Last 6 matches Derby County

24/10/2023 14:45

Derby County 2 - 0 Exeter City ENG L1

21/10/2023 10:00

Shrewsbury Town 1 - 0 Derby County ENG L1

10/10/2023 14:00

Notts County 1 - 2 Derby County ENG JPT

07/10/2023 10:00

Cheltenham Town 1 - 1 Derby County ENG L1

03/10/2023 14:45

Blackpool 1 - 3 Derby County ENG L1

30/09/2023 10:00

Derby County 0 - 0 Cambridge United ENG L1

Win

50%

Draw

33%

Lost

17%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues England FA Cup

Played games

Goals

Scored

397

Avg. per game

1.32

Conceded

411

Avg. per game

1.37

Scored

406

Avg. per game

1.35

Conceded

347

Avg. per game

1.16

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

6 (100%)0 (0%)

In last 300 matches

YesNo

210 (70%)90 (30%)

In last 300 matches

NoYes

233 (78%)67 (22%)

Crewe Alexandra

Recent matches

Derby County

Under /Over

(78%)35 10(22%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(78%)35 10(22%)

Under /Over

(40%)18 27(60%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(29%)13 32(71%)

Under /Over

(47%)21 24(53%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(51%)23 22(49%)

/Yes

(62%)28 17(38%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(64%)29 16(36%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Crewe Alexandra

Derby County

Shots

Crewe Alexandra

Total shots

10.58 avg / game

Blocked

674 total

Avg. 3.16

Derby County

Total shots

11.42 avg / game

Blocked

831 total

Avg. 3.48

Crewe Alexandra Pass Derby County

Total passes

96539

Avg. 373 / game

Accurate

70%

Ball possession

50%

Total passes

100963

Avg. 382 / game

Accurate

72%

Ball possession

49%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Crewe Alexandra

300

Played games

Derby County

300

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.26

Clean sheets

0.32

4.42

1325

Corners

1524

5.08

20.17

6052

Throw-ins

6384

21.28

1.76

529

Offsides

562

1.87

2.63

788

GK saves

684

2.28

Crewe Alexandra

DISCIPLINARY

Derby County

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.69

506

527

1.76

0.07

0.05

9.59

2878

Fouls

2991

9.97

11.86

3557

Tackles

3673

12.24

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Crewe Alexandra vs Derby County Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Crewe Alexandra vs Derby County on 05 November 2023 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this England FA Cup fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Crewe Alexandra vs Derby County Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Crewe Alexandra's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Derby County's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

England FA Cup Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live England FA Cup standings and the England FA Cup form table to understand exactly where Crewe Alexandra and Derby County sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our England FA Cup predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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