Connahs Quay Nomads FC vs Caernarfon: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 23 September

Connahs Quay Nomads FC

W W W W W

2nd place in League

1-2

23/09/2025 14:45

Caernarfon

D L D L W

4th place in League

Welsh Premier League

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Connahs Quay Nomads FC vs Caernarfon on 23 September 2025 (kick-off: 14:45) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Connahs Quay Nomads FC vs Caernarfon preview before placing your bet.

Connahs Quay Nomads FC are currently 2nd with 47 points after 22 matches.
Caernarfon sit 4th with 34 points from 22 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Connahs Quay Nomads FC to win with probability 40%.
Head-to-head history favors Caernarfon, who have won 3 of the last 6 meetings. Connahs Quay Nomads FC have one win, while 2 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

14:45

2025-09-23

Connahs Quay Nomads FC vs Caernarfon - Prediction & Odds

Connahs Quay Nomads FC

Caernarfon

2025-09-23 14:45

STANDINGS UP TO 23/09/2025

League	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 The New Saints	53	22	17	2	3	59	19	40
02 Connahs Quay Nomads FC	47	22	14	5	3	48	25	23
03 Penybont FC	38	22	11	5	6	36	31	5
04 Caernarfon	34	22	9	7	6	44	32	12
05 Barry Town United	30	22	7	9	6	33	25	8
06 Colwyn Bay	30	22	8	6	8	29	25	4
07 UWIC Inter Cardiff	28	22	6	10	6	33	36	-3
08 Briton Ferry Athletic	25	22	6	7	9	32	40	-8
09 Haverfordwest County	24	22	6	6	10	30	39	-9
10 Bala Town F.C.	23	22	6	5	11	19	30	-11
11 Flint Town	21	22	5	6	11	34	48	-14
12 Llanelli	8	22	2	2	18	12	59	-47

Championship Playoffs	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 The New Saints	80	10	9	0	1	22	6	16
02 Connahs Quay Nomads FC	58	10	2	5	3	13	13	0
03 Barry Town United	46	10	5	1	4	10	8	2
04 Colwyn Bay	45	10	4	3	3	12	12	0
05 Caernarfon	45	10	3	2	5	12	15	-3
06 Penybont FC	41	10	0	3	7	3	18	-15

Playoffs	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Haverfordwest County	48	10	8	0	2	18	4	14
02 Briton Ferry Athletic	45	10	6	2	2	14	7	7
03 UWIC Inter Cardiff	38	10	2	4	4	10	15	-5
04 Flint Town	35	10	3	5	2	14	11	3
05 Bala Town F.C.	32	10	2	3	5	14	15	-1
06 Llanelli	13	10	1	2	7	5	23	-18

Head To Head

03/12/2024 15:45

Connahs Quay Nomads FC

1 - 1

Caernarfon

Welsh PR

28/09/2024 12:15

Caernarfon

3 - 1

Connahs Quay Nomads FC

Welsh PR

17/09/2024 14:45

Connahs Quay Nomads FC

3 - 2

Caernarfon

WAL CLC

22/06/2024 10:00

Caernarfon

3 - 2

Connahs Quay Nomads FC

INT CF

15/03/2024 15:45

Caernarfon

2 - 1

Connahs Quay Nomads FC

Welsh PR

02/02/2024 15:45

Connahs Quay Nomads FC

1 - 1

Caernarfon

Welsh PR

Connahs Quay Nomads FC

17%

Draw

33%

Caernarfon

50%

Connahs Quay Nomads FC Last 6 matches

20/09/2025 09:30

Haverfordwest County 1 - 3 Connahs Quay Nomads FC Welsh PR

13/09/2025 07:30

Connahs Quay Nomads FC 1 - 1 UWIC Inter Cardiff Welsh PR

10/09/2025 14:45

Connahs Quay Nomads FC 1 - 3 The New Saints WAL CLC

02/09/2025 14:45

Connahs Quay Nomads FC 1 - 3 Bala Town F.C. Welsh PR

30/08/2025 09:30

Pen-y-Bont FC 0 - 1 Connahs Quay Nomads FC Welsh PR

25/08/2025 12:15

Connahs Quay Nomads FC 3 - 2 Flint Town Welsh PR

Win

50%

Draw

17%

Lost

33%

Last 6 matches Caernarfon

20/09/2025 12:15

Caernarfon 1 - 2 Pen-y-Bont FC Welsh PR

13/09/2025 07:30

Briton Ferry Athletic 2 - 5 Caernarfon Welsh PR

10/09/2025 14:45

Caernarfon 2 - 2 Holywell WAL CLC

07/09/2025 07:30

Caernarfon 3 - 1 Barry Town United Welsh PR

30/08/2025 12:15

Haverfordwest County 1 - 1 Caernarfon Welsh PR

25/08/2025 09:30

Caernarfon 2 - 0 Bala Town F.C. Welsh PR

Win

50%

Draw

33%

Lost

17%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Welsh Premier League

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Connahs Quay Nomads FC

Caernarfon

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

1.09

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.72

Scored

Avg. per game

1.16

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.72

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

5 (83%)1 (17%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 32 matches

YesNo

23 (72%)9 (28%)

In last 32 matches

NoYes

22 (69%)10 (31%)

Connahs Quay Nomads FC

Recent matches

Caernarfon

Under /Over

(88%)28 4(12%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(91%)29 3(9%)

Under /Over

(47%)15 17(53%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(41%)13 19(59%)

Under /Over

(56%)18 14(44%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(66%)21 11(34%)

/Yes

(69%)22 10(31%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(63%)20 12(37%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Connahs Quay Nomads FC

Caernarfon

Shots

Connahs Quay Nomads FC

Total shots

10.81 avg / game

Blocked

0 total

Avg. —

Caernarfon

Total shots

11.28 avg / game

Blocked

0 total

Avg. —

Connahs Quay Nomads FC Pass Caernarfon

Total passes

—

Avg. — / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

54%

Total passes

—

Avg. — / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

51%

TOTAL ATTACKS

Connahs Quay Nomads FC

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

Connahs Quay Nomads FC

OTHERS

Connahs Quay Nomads FC

Played games

Caernarfon

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.25

Clean sheets

0.22

4.84

155

Corners

152

4.75

0.00

Throw-ins

0.00

Offsides

0.00

0.50

GK saves

0.47

Connahs Quay Nomads FC

DISCIPLINARY

Caernarfon

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

2.09

1.72

0.06

0.03

0.00

Fouls

0.00

Tackles

0.00

NEXT MATCHES

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Connahs Quay Nomads FC

WEL

08/14

Connahs Quay Nomads FC

Connahs Quay Nomads FC

WEL

08/28

Connahs Quay Nomads FC

Cambrian Clydach

WEL

NEXT MATCHES

08/02

Connahs Quay Nomads FC

How We Build the Connahs Quay Nomads FC vs Caernarfon Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Connahs Quay Nomads FC vs Caernarfon on 23 September 2025 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Welsh Premier League fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Connahs Quay Nomads FC vs Caernarfon Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Connahs Quay Nomads FC's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Caernarfon's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Welsh Premier League Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Welsh Premier League standings and the Welsh Premier League form table to understand exactly where Connahs Quay Nomads FC and Caernarfon sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Welsh Premier League predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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