Chivas Guadalajara vs Toluca: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 30 January

Chivas Guadalajara

D W W W W

6th place in Autumn

3-2

30/01/2024 23:10

Toluca

W W W L W

3rd place in Autumn

Primera Division de Mexico

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Chivas Guadalajara vs Toluca on 30 January 2024 (kick-off: 23:10) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Chivas Guadalajara vs Toluca preview before placing your bet.

Chivas Guadalajara are currently 6th with 31 points after 17 matches.
Toluca sit 3rd with 32 points from 17 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Chivas Guadalajara to win with probability 43%.
Head-to-head history is evenly balanced: Chivas Guadalajara and Toluca have each won 1 of the last 6 meetings, while 4 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

23:10

2024-01-30

Chivas Guadalajara vs Toluca - Prediction & Odds

Chivas Guadalajara

Toluca

2024-01-30 23:10

STANDINGS UP TO 30/01/2024

Autumn	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Club America	35	17	10	5	2	30	12	18
02 CDSyC Cruz Azul	33	17	10	3	4	23	14	9
03 Toluca	32	17	9	5	3	38	23	15
04 Monterrey	32	17	9	5	3	32	19	13
05 Tigres UANL	31	17	9	4	4	34	23	11
06 Chivas Guadalajara	31	17	9	4	4	24	17	7
07 Pachuca	29	17	9	2	6	34	27	7
08 Pumas U.N.A.M.	27	17	7	6	4	27	22	5
09 Necaxa	27	17	7	6	4	30	29	1
10 Queretaro FC	24	17	6	6	5	22	21	1
11 Club Leon	24	17	7	3	7	23	25	-2
12 FC Juarez	16	17	4	4	9	19	26	-7
13 Atletico San Luis	16	17	5	1	11	25	35	-10
14 Mazatlan FC	16	17	4	4	9	21	32	-11
15 Santos Laguna	15	17	4	3	10	15	28	-13
16 Club Tijuana	14	17	2	8	7	21	30	-9
17 Atlas	14	17	3	5	9	21	31	-10
18 Puebla	5	17	1	2	14	18	43	-25

Apertura	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Club America	40	17	12	4	1	37	14	23
02 Monterrey	33	17	10	3	4	27	15	12
03 Tigres UANL	30	17	8	6	3	32	18	14
04 Pumas U.N.A.M.	28	17	8	4	5	27	18	9
05 Chivas Guadalajara	27	17	8	3	6	22	22	0
06 Puebla	25	17	7	4	6	24	25	-1
07 Atletico San Luis	23	17	7	2	8	31	26	5
08 Club Leon	23	17	6	5	6	23	22	1
09 Santos Laguna	23	17	7	2	8	31	34	-3
10 Mazatlan FC	22	17	6	4	7	25	27	-2
11 Pachuca	22	17	5	7	5	16	27	-11
12 Toluca	21	17	5	6	6	23	19	4
13 Club Tijuana	20	17	6	2	9	23	26	-3
14 Queretaro FC	19	17	5	4	8	18	29	-11
15 FC Juarez	18	17	5	3	9	24	34	-10
16 CDSyC Cruz Azul	17	17	5	2	10	21	29	-8
17 Atlas	17	17	4	5	8	14	24	-10
18 Necaxa	15	17	3	6	8	18	27	-9

Head To Head

01/10/2023 19:20

Toluca

1 - 1

Chivas Guadalajara

MEX D1

25/03/2023 20:30

Chivas Guadalajara

2 - 2

Toluca

INT CF

21/01/2023 23:10

Chivas Guadalajara

1 - 2

Toluca

MEX D1

04/09/2022 18:30

Toluca

0 - 0

Chivas Guadalajara

MEX D1

09/04/2022 20:00

Toluca

1 - 1

Chivas Guadalajara

MEX D1

17/10/2021 18:00

Chivas Guadalajara

2 - 0

Toluca

MEX D1

Chivas Guadalajara

17%

Draw

67%

Toluca

17%

Chivas Guadalajara Last 6 matches

26/01/2024 23:10

Club Tijuana 1 - 1 Chivas Guadalajara MEX D1

21/01/2024 20:00

Tigres UANL 1 - 0 Chivas Guadalajara MEX D1

13/01/2024 21:00

Chivas Guadalajara 1 - 1 Santos Laguna MEX D1

03/12/2023 20:00

Pumas U.N.A.M. 3 - 0 Chivas Guadalajara MEX D1

30/11/2023 23:10

Chivas Guadalajara 1 - 0 Pumas U.N.A.M. MEX D1

11/11/2023 21:00

Pumas U.N.A.M. 1 - 0 Chivas Guadalajara MEX D1

Win

17%

Draw

33%

Lost

50%

Last 6 matches Toluca

26/01/2024 21:00

Puebla 1 - 1 Toluca MEX D1

20/01/2024 19:00

Toluca 4 - 1 Mazatlan FC MEX D1

12/01/2024 21:00

Queretaro FC 2 - 2 Toluca MEX D1

10/11/2023 21:05

Mazatlan FC 1 - 0 Toluca MEX D1

05/11/2023 20:05

Santos Laguna 3 - 1 Toluca MEX D1

31/10/2023 21:00

Toluca 0 - 1 Puebla MEX D1

Win

17%

Draw

33%

Lost

50%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Primera Division de Me...

Played games

Goals

Scored

393

Avg. per game

1.34

Conceded

325

Avg. per game

1.11

Scored

492

Avg. per game

1.78

Conceded

369

Avg. per game

1.33

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 293 matches

YesNo

214 (73%)79 (27%)

In last 293 matches

NoYes

220 (79%)57 (21%)

Chivas Guadalajara

Recent matches

Toluca

Under /Over

(73%)33 12(27%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(71%)32 13(29%)

Under /Over

(47%)21 24(53%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(24%)11 34(76%)

Under /Over

(47%)21 24(53%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(51%)23 22(49%)

/Yes

(49%)22 23(51%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(51%)23 22(49%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Chivas Guadalajara

Toluca

Shots

Chivas Guadalajara

Total shots

11.54 avg / game

Blocked

391 total

Avg. 2.94

Toluca

Total shots

12.59 avg / game

Blocked

464 total

Avg. 3.11

Chivas Guadalajara Pass Toluca

Total passes

80275

Avg. 394 / game

Accurate

83%

Ball possession

52%

Total passes

94022

Avg. 431 / game

Accurate

84%

Ball possession

54%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Chivas Guadalajara

293

Played games

Toluca

277

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.33

Clean sheets

0.25

4.34

1273

Corners

1167

4.21

6.87

2012

Throw-ins

2086

7.53

1.23

360

Offsides

363

1.31

2.18

640

GK saves

677

2.44

Chivas Guadalajara

DISCIPLINARY

Toluca

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.74

511

512

1.85

0.12

0.10

9.03

2647

Fouls

2745

9.91

9.55

2797

Tackles

2769

10.00

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Chivas Guadalajara vs Toluca Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Chivas Guadalajara vs Toluca on 30 January 2024 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Primera Division de Mexico fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Chivas Guadalajara vs Toluca Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Chivas Guadalajara's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Toluca's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Primera Division de Mexico Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Primera Division de Mexico standings and the Primera Division de Mexico form table to understand exactly where Chivas Guadalajara and Toluca sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Primera Division de Mexico predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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