Chivas Guadalajara vs Toluca Prediction, analysis & Match Preview – September 20

Chivas Guadalajara

W W L W W

6th place in Clausura

0-3

20/09/2025 21:00

Toluca

W W D D D

1st place in Clausura

Primera Division de Mexico

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Chivas Guadalajara vs Toluca on September 20, 2025 (kick-off: 21:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Chivas Guadalajara vs Toluca preview before placing for you.

Chivas Guadalajara are currently 6th with 29 points after 17 matches.
Toluca sit 1st with 37 points from 17 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Toluca to win with probability 38%.
Head-to-head history favors Chivas Guadalajara, who have won 2 of the last 6 meetings. Toluca have one win, while 3 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

21:00

2025-09-20

Chivas Guadalajara vs Toluca - Prediction & Odds

Chivas Guadalajara

Toluca

2025-09-20 21:00

STANDINGS UP TO 20/09/2025

Clausura	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Toluca	37	17	11	4	2	43	18	25
02 Tigres UANL	36	17	10	6	1	35	16	19
03 CDSyC Cruz Azul	35	17	10	5	2	32	20	12
04 Club America	34	17	10	4	3	33	18	15
05 Monterrey	31	17	9	4	4	33	29	4
06 Chivas Guadalajara	29	17	9	2	6	29	22	7
07 Club Tijuana	24	17	6	6	5	29	23	6
08 FC Juarez	23	17	6	5	6	27	28	-1
09 Pachuca	22	17	6	4	7	21	21	0
10 Pumas U.N.A.M.	21	17	5	6	6	24	25	-1
11 Santos Laguna	20	17	6	2	9	22	28	-6
12 Queretaro FC	20	17	6	2	9	19	29	-10
13 Necaxa	17	17	4	5	8	24	32	-8
14 Atlas	17	17	4	5	8	24	35	-11
15 Atletico San Luis	16	17	5	1	11	25	29	-4
16 Mazatlan FC	14	17	2	8	7	20	29	-9
17 Club Leon	13	17	3	4	10	14	31	-17
18 Puebla	12	17	3	3	11	21	42	-21

Apertura	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Pumas U.N.A.M.	36	17	10	6	1	34	17	17
02 Chivas Guadalajara	36	17	11	3	3	33	17	16
03 CDSyC Cruz Azul	33	17	9	6	2	31	18	13
04 Pachuca	31	17	9	4	4	25	19	6
05 Toluca	30	17	8	6	3	28	16	12
06 Atlas	26	17	7	5	5	16	18	-2
07 Tigres UANL	25	17	7	4	6	28	18	10
08 Club America	25	17	7	4	6	20	17	3
09 Club Tijuana	23	17	5	8	4	19	17	2
10 Club Leon	22	17	7	1	9	22	32	-10
11 Queretaro FC	20	17	4	8	5	17	21	-4
12 FC Juarez	19	17	5	4	8	26	32	-6
13 Monterrey	18	17	5	3	9	22	24	-2
14 Atletico San Luis	18	17	5	3	9	24	27	-3
15 Necaxa	18	17	5	3	9	19	25	-6
16 Mazatlan FC	15	17	4	3	10	22	37	-15
17 Puebla	13	17	3	4	10	13	26	-13
18 Santos Laguna	12	17	3	3	11	20	38	-18

Head To Head

15/02/2025 23:10

Toluca

2 - 1

Chivas Guadalajara

MEX D1

06/07/2024 21:00

Chivas Guadalajara

0 - 0

Toluca

MEX D1

11/05/2024 22:10

Toluca

0 - 0

Chivas Guadalajara

MEX D1

08/05/2024 21:05

Chivas Guadalajara

1 - 0

Toluca

MEX D1

30/01/2024 23:10

Chivas Guadalajara

3 - 2

Toluca

MEX D1

01/10/2023 19:20

Toluca

1 - 1

Chivas Guadalajara

MEX D1

Chivas Guadalajara

33%

Draw

50%

Toluca

17%

Chivas Guadalajara Last 6 matches

17/09/2025 22:50

Chivas Guadalajara 0 - 0 Tigres UANL MEX D1

13/09/2025 23:15

Club America 1 - 2 Chivas Guadalajara MEX D1

07/09/2025 16:00

Chivas Guadalajara 2 - 1 Club Leon INT CF

30/08/2025 21:10

Chivas Guadalajara 1 - 2 CDSyC Cruz Azul MEX D1

22/08/2025 23:10

Club Tijuana 3 - 3 Chivas Guadalajara MEX D1

16/08/2025 19:00

Chivas Guadalajara 1 - 2 FC Juarez MEX D1

Win

33%

Draw

33%

Lost

33%

Last 6 matches Toluca

13/09/2025 23:00

Toluca 3 - 1 Puebla MEX D1

29/08/2025 21:00

Atletico San Luis 1 - 3 Toluca MEX D1

23/08/2025 23:50

CDSyC Cruz Azul 1 - 0 Toluca MEX D1

20/08/2025 21:00

Toluca 0 - 0 Orlando City NCAL Cup

16/08/2025 23:10

Toluca 1 - 1 Pumas U.N.A.M. MEX D1

11/08/2025 23:00

FC Juarez 0 - 2 Toluca MEX D1

Win

50%

Draw

33%

Lost

17%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Primera Division de Me...

Played games

Goals

Scored

393

Avg. per game

1.34

Conceded

325

Avg. per game

1.11

Scored

495

Avg. per game

1.78

Conceded

370

Avg. per game

1.33

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

5 (83%)1 (17%)

In last 293 matches

YesNo

214 (73%)79 (27%)

In last 293 matches

NoYes

221 (79%)57 (21%)

Chivas Guadalajara

Recent matches

Toluca

Under /Over

(73%)33 12(27%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(71%)32 13(29%)

Under /Over

(47%)21 24(53%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(27%)12 33(73%)

Under /Over

(47%)21 24(53%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(49%)22 23(51%)

/Yes

(49%)22 23(51%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(51%)23 22(49%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Chivas Guadalajara

Toluca

Shots

Chivas Guadalajara

Total shots

11.54 avg / game

Blocked

391 total

Avg. 2.94

Toluca

Total shots

12.64 avg / game

Blocked

470 total

Avg. 3.13

Chivas Guadalajara Pass Toluca

Total passes

80275

Avg. 394 / game

Accurate

83%

Ball possession

52%

Total passes

94768

Avg. 433 / game

Accurate

84%

Ball possession

54%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Chivas Guadalajara

293

Played games

Toluca

278

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.33

Clean sheets

0.24

4.34

1273

Corners

1173

4.22

6.87

2012

Throw-ins

2102

7.56

1.23

360

Offsides

364

1.31

2.18

640

GK saves

678

2.44

Chivas Guadalajara

DISCIPLINARY

Toluca

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.74

511

513

1.85

0.12

0.10

9.03

2647

Fouls

2760

9.93

9.55

2797

Tackles

2778

9.99

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Chivas Guadalajara vs Toluca Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Chivas Guadalajara vs Toluca on 20 September 2025 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Primera Division de Mexico fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Chivas Guadalajara vs Toluca Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Chivas Guadalajara's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Toluca's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Primera Division de Mexico Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Primera Division de Mexico standings and the Primera Division de Mexico form table to understand exactly where Chivas Guadalajara and Toluca sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Primera Division de Mexico predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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