Chivas Guadalajara vs Necaxa: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 23 September

Chivas Guadalajara

W W L W W

6th place in Clausura

3-1

23/09/2025 21:00

Necaxa

L L D W W

13th place in Clausura

Primera Division de Mexico

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Chivas Guadalajara vs Necaxa on 23 September 2025 (kick-off: 21:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Chivas Guadalajara vs Necaxa preview before placing your bet.

Chivas Guadalajara are currently 6th with 29 points after 17 matches.
Necaxa sit 13th with 17 points from 17 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Chivas Guadalajara to win with probability 53%.
Head-to-head history favors Chivas Guadalajara, who have won 4 of the last 6 meetings. Necaxa have 2 wins, while 0 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

21:00

2025-09-23

Chivas Guadalajara vs Necaxa - Prediction & Odds

Chivas Guadalajara

Necaxa

2025-09-23 21:00

STANDINGS UP TO 23/09/2025

Clausura	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Toluca	37	17	11	4	2	43	18	25
02 Tigres UANL	36	17	10	6	1	35	16	19
03 CDSyC Cruz Azul	35	17	10	5	2	32	20	12
04 Club America	34	17	10	4	3	33	18	15
05 Monterrey	31	17	9	4	4	33	29	4
06 Chivas Guadalajara	29	17	9	2	6	29	22	7
07 Club Tijuana	24	17	6	6	5	29	23	6
08 FC Juarez	23	17	6	5	6	27	28	-1
09 Pachuca	22	17	6	4	7	21	21	0
10 Pumas U.N.A.M.	21	17	5	6	6	24	25	-1
11 Santos Laguna	20	17	6	2	9	22	28	-6
12 Queretaro FC	20	17	6	2	9	19	29	-10
13 Necaxa	17	17	4	5	8	24	32	-8
14 Atlas	17	17	4	5	8	24	35	-11
15 Atletico San Luis	16	17	5	1	11	25	29	-4
16 Mazatlan FC	14	17	2	8	7	20	29	-9
17 Club Leon	13	17	3	4	10	14	31	-17
18 Puebla	12	17	3	3	11	21	42	-21

Apertura	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Pumas U.N.A.M.	36	17	10	6	1	34	17	17
02 Chivas Guadalajara	36	17	11	3	3	33	17	16
03 CDSyC Cruz Azul	33	17	9	6	2	31	18	13
04 Pachuca	31	17	9	4	4	25	19	6
05 Toluca	30	17	8	6	3	28	16	12
06 Atlas	26	17	7	5	5	16	18	-2
07 Tigres UANL	25	17	7	4	6	28	18	10
08 Club America	25	17	7	4	6	20	17	3
09 Club Tijuana	23	17	5	8	4	19	17	2
10 Club Leon	22	17	7	1	9	22	32	-10
11 Queretaro FC	20	17	4	8	5	17	21	-4
12 FC Juarez	19	17	5	4	8	26	32	-6
13 Monterrey	18	17	5	3	9	22	24	-2
14 Atletico San Luis	18	17	5	3	9	24	27	-3
15 Necaxa	18	17	5	3	9	19	25	-6
16 Mazatlan FC	15	17	4	3	10	22	37	-15
17 Puebla	13	17	3	4	10	13	26	-13
18 Santos Laguna	12	17	3	3	11	20	38	-18

Head To Head

05/07/2025 20:00

Necaxa

2 - 3

Chivas Guadalajara

INT CF

17/01/2025 23:05

Necaxa

3 - 2

Chivas Guadalajara

MEX D1

22/10/2024 21:05

Chivas Guadalajara

3 - 2

Necaxa

MEX D1

20/02/2024 23:00

Necaxa

1 - 0

Chivas Guadalajara

MEX D1

13/07/2023 23:00

Chivas Guadalajara

2 - 0

Necaxa

MEX D1

08/04/2023 19:00

Chivas Guadalajara

1 - 0

Necaxa

MEX D1

Chivas Guadalajara

67%

Draw

Necaxa

33%

Chivas Guadalajara Last 6 matches

20/09/2025 21:00

Chivas Guadalajara 0 - 3 Toluca MEX D1

17/09/2025 22:50

Chivas Guadalajara 0 - 0 Tigres UANL MEX D1

13/09/2025 23:15

Club America 1 - 2 Chivas Guadalajara MEX D1

07/09/2025 16:00

Chivas Guadalajara 2 - 1 Club Leon INT CF

30/08/2025 21:10

Chivas Guadalajara 1 - 2 CDSyC Cruz Azul MEX D1

22/08/2025 23:10

Club Tijuana 3 - 3 Chivas Guadalajara MEX D1

Win

33%

Draw

33%

Lost

33%

Last 6 matches Necaxa

19/09/2025 21:00

Necaxa 1 - 0 Puebla MEX D1

12/09/2025 21:00

Necaxa 1 - 1 FC Juarez MEX D1

31/08/2025 23:00

Club Tijuana 3 - 0 Necaxa MEX D1

23/08/2025 21:00

Monterrey 3 - 0 Necaxa MEX D1

15/08/2025 23:10

Necaxa 0 - 1 Club Leon MEX D1

10/08/2025 20:00

Pumas U.N.A.M. 1 - 1 Necaxa MEX D1

Win

17%

Draw

33%

Lost

50%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Primera Division de Me...

Played games

Goals

Scored

392

Avg. per game

1.34

Conceded

324

Avg. per game

1.11

Scored

309

Avg. per game

1.27

Conceded

378

Avg. per game

1.55

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

5 (83%)1 (17%)

In last 292 matches

YesNo

213 (73%)79 (27%)

In last 292 matches

NoYes

173 (71%)71 (29%)

Chivas Guadalajara

Recent matches

Necaxa

Under /Over

(73%)33 12(27%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(80%)36 9(20%)

Under /Over

(47%)21 24(53%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(38%)17 28(62%)

Under /Over

(49%)22 23(51%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(51%)23 22(49%)

/Yes

(49%)22 23(51%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(62%)28 17(38%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Chivas Guadalajara

Necaxa

Shots

Chivas Guadalajara

Total shots

11.49 avg / game

Blocked

389 total

Avg. 2.95

Necaxa

Total shots

11.60 avg / game

Blocked

326 total

Avg. 2.76

Chivas Guadalajara Pass Necaxa

Total passes

79627

Avg. 392 / game

Accurate

83%

Ball possession

52%

Total passes

57803

Avg. 318 / game

Accurate

79%

Ball possession

46%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Chivas Guadalajara

292

Played games

Necaxa

244

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.34

Clean sheets

0.22

4.34

1266

Corners

904

3.70

6.85

1999

Throw-ins

1721

7.05

1.23

360

Offsides

268

1.10

2.18

638

GK saves

567

2.32

Chivas Guadalajara

DISCIPLINARY

Necaxa

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.75

511

452

1.85

0.12

0.11

9.02

2635

Fouls

2666

10.93

9.55

2790

Tackles

2390

9.80

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Chivas Guadalajara vs Necaxa Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Chivas Guadalajara vs Necaxa on 23 September 2025 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Primera Division de Mexico fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Chivas Guadalajara vs Necaxa Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Chivas Guadalajara's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Necaxa's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Primera Division de Mexico Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Primera Division de Mexico standings and the Primera Division de Mexico form table to understand exactly where Chivas Guadalajara and Necaxa sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Primera Division de Mexico predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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