Chernomorets Novorossiysk vs Fakel Prediction, analysis & Match Preview – August 17

Chernomorets Novorossiysk

L L L L W

16th place in Russian National Football League

0-1

17/08/2025 12:00

Fakel

L D D W D

2nd place in Russian National Football League

Russian National Football League

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Chernomorets Novorossiysk vs Fakel on August 17, 2025 (kick-off: 12:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Chernomorets Novorossiysk vs Fakel preview before placing for you.

Chernomorets Novorossiysk are currently 16th with 35 points after 34 matches.
Fakel sit 2nd with 68 points from 34 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Fakel to win with probability 39%.
Head-to-head history is evenly balanced: Chernomorets Novorossiysk and Fakel have each won 1 of the last 4 meetings, while 2 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

12:00

2025-08-17

Chernomorets Novorossiysk vs Fakel - Prediction & Odds

Chernomorets Novorossiysk

Fakel

2025-08-17 12:00

STANDINGS UP TO 17/08/2025

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Rodina Moscow	68	34	19	11	4	58	28	30
02 Fakel	68	34	20	8	6	44	22	22
03 Ural Sverdlovsk Oblast	61	34	18	7	9	51	31	20
04 Rotor Volgograd	56	34	15	11	8	47	26	21
05 KAMAZ Naberezhnye Chelny	49	34	12	13	9	46	34	12
06 Spartak Kostroma	49	34	12	13	9	46	41	5
07 Yenisey Krasnoyarsk	49	34	13	10	11	37	35	2
08 Shinnik Yaroslavl	48	34	11	15	8	34	28	6
09 Torpedo Moscow	46	34	12	10	12	37	39	-2
10 Chelyabinsk	44	34	10	14	10	42	40	2
11 Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk	43	34	10	13	11	40	41	-1
12 Arsenal Tula	39	34	8	15	11	42	44	-2
13 SKA Khabarovsk	39	33	9	12	12	34	45	-11
14 FC Ufa	37	33	9	10	14	32	37	-5
15 Volga Ulyanovsk	37	34	9	10	15	35	48	-13
16 Chernomorets Novorossiysk	35	34	9	8	17	37	49	-12
17 Sokol	26	34	5	11	18	16	44	-28
18 FK Chayka Pesch	22	34	5	7	22	30	76	-46

Head To Head

24/08/2016 11:59

Chernomorets Novorossiysk

0 - 0

Fakel

RUS Cup

02/05/2012 10:30

Fakel

0 - 0

Chernomorets Novorossiysk

RUS D1

29/08/2011 11:30

Fakel

1 - 0

Chernomorets Novorossiysk

RUS D1

25/04/2011 10:00

Chernomorets Novorossiysk

1 - 0

Fakel

RUS D1

Chernomorets Novorossiysk

25%

Draw

50%

Fakel

25%

Chernomorets Novorossiysk Last 6 matches

09/08/2025 11:00

Sokol 1 - 1 Chernomorets Novorossiysk RUS D1

03/08/2025 12:00

Chernomorets Novorossiysk 1 - 2 Arsenal Tula RUS D1

28/07/2025 09:30

Ural Sverdlovsk Oblast 3 - 2 Chernomorets Novorossiysk RUS D1

21/07/2025 12:30

Rodina Moscow 1 - 1 Chernomorets Novorossiysk RUS D1

11/07/2025 10:00

PFK Kuban 1 - 1 Chernomorets Novorossiysk INT CF

05/07/2025 11:00

PFK Kuban 2 - 2 Chernomorets Novorossiysk INT CF

Win

Draw

67%

Lost

33%

Last 6 matches Fakel

11/08/2025 13:00

KAMAZ Naberezhnye Chelny 1 - 2 Fakel RUS D1

03/08/2025 12:00

Fakel 1 - 0 Sokol RUS D1

27/07/2025 12:00

Fakel 1 - 0 FC Ufa RUS D1

20/07/2025 09:00

Spartak Kostroma 0 - 1 Fakel RUS D1

12/07/2025 12:00

Rostov FK 0 - 2 Fakel INT CF

27/06/2025 09:00

Shinnik Yaroslavl 0 - 2 Fakel INT CF

Win

100%

Draw

Lost

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Russian National Footb...

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Chernomorets Novorossiysk

Fakel

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

0.52

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.85

Scored

Avg. per game

0.70

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.33

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

2 (33%)4 (67%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 33 matches

YesNo

12 (36%)21 (64%)

In last 33 matches

NoYes

18 (55%)15 (45%)

Chernomorets Novorossiysk

Recent matches

Fakel

Under /Over

(73%)24 9(27%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(55%)18 15(45%)

Under /Over

(39%)13 20(61%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(18%)6 27(82%)

Under /Over

(39%)13 20(61%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(27%)9 24(73%)

/Yes

(55%)18 15(45%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(27%)9 24(73%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Chernomorets Novorossiysk

Fakel

Shots

Chernomorets Novorossiysk

Total shots

7.66 avg / game

Blocked

0 total

Avg. —

Fakel

Total shots

8.16 avg / game

Blocked

0 total

Avg. —

Chernomorets Novorossiysk Pass Fakel

Total passes

—

Avg. — / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

49%

Total passes

—

Avg. — / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

56%

TOTAL ATTACKS

Chernomorets Novorossiysk

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

Chernomorets Novorossiysk

OTHERS

Chernomorets Novorossiysk

Played games

Fakel

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.15

Clean sheets

0.58

4.21

139

Corners

154

4.67

0.00

Throw-ins

0.00

0.15

Offsides

0.27

0.39

GK saves

0.55

Chernomorets Novorossiysk

DISCIPLINARY

Fakel

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

2.24

1.97

0.03

0.15

5.33

176

Fouls

198

6.00

0.00

Tackles

0.00

NEXT MATCHES

No upcoming matches.

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Chernomorets Novorossiysk vs Fakel Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Chernomorets Novorossiysk vs Fakel on 17 August 2025 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Russian National Football League fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Chernomorets Novorossiysk vs Fakel Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Chernomorets Novorossiysk's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Fakel's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Russian National Football League Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Russian National Football League standings and the Russian National Football League form table to understand exactly where Chernomorets Novorossiysk and Fakel sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Russian National Football League predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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