Chelsea vs Paris Saint Germain (PSG): Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 17 March

Chelsea
LLDWL
6th place in Group A
1
0-3
FT
17/03/2026 16:00
Paris Saint Germain (PSG)
WLWDW
11th place in Group A
UEFA Champions League
MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Chelsea vs Paris Saint Germain (PSG) on 17 March 2026 (kick-off: 16:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Chelsea vs Paris Saint Germain (PSG) preview before placing your bet.

  • Chelsea will face Paris Saint Germain (PSG) in UEFA Champions League on March 17, 2026 at 16:00.
  • Chelsea are currently 6th with 16 points after 8 matches.
  • Paris Saint Germain (PSG) sit 11th with 14 points from 8 matches.
  • Current model prediction leans green with a projected score of 2 - 2 and average coefficient 2.02.
Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards
Home team Away team
Probability %
1
X
2
Pred
Correct
Avg.g
Coef.
Score.
Live coef.
Weather
favorite match
16:00

2026-03-17

Chelsea vs Paris Saint Germain (PSG) - Prediction & Odds

Chelsea
Chelsea
Paris Saint Germain (PSG)
Paris Saint Germain (PSG)
2026-03-17 16:00
45
23
32
1
2 - 2
2 - 2
3.25
2.02
FT
0-3 0-2
-
weather
7℃～8℃
STANDINGS UP TO 17/03/2026
Group A PTS
GP W D L GF GA +/-
01 Arsenal Arsenal
24 8 8 0 0 23 4 19
02 Bayern Munchen Bayern Munchen
21 8 7 0 1 22 8 14
03 Liverpool Liverpool
18 8 6 0 2 20 8 12
04 Tottenham Hotspur Tottenham Hotspur
17 8 5 2 1 17 7 10
05 FC Barcelona FC Barcelona
16 8 5 1 2 22 14 8
06 Chelsea Chelsea
16 8 5 1 2 17 10 7
07 Sporting CP Sporting CP
16 8 5 1 2 17 11 6
08 Manchester City Manchester City
16 8 5 1 2 15 9 6
09 Real Madrid Real Madrid
15 8 5 0 3 21 12 9
10 Inter Milan Inter Milan
15 8 5 0 3 15 7 8
11 Paris Saint Germain (PSG) Paris Saint Germain (PSG)
14 8 4 2 2 21 11 10
12 Newcastle United Newcastle United
14 8 4 2 2 17 7 10
13 Juventus Juventus
13 8 3 4 1 14 10 4
14 Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid
13 8 4 1 3 17 15 2
15 Atalanta Atalanta
13 8 4 1 3 10 10 0
16 Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen
12 8 3 3 2 13 14 -1
17 Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund
11 8 3 2 3 19 17 2
18 Olympiakos Piraeus Olympiakos Piraeus
11 8 3 2 3 10 14 -4
19 Club Brugge Club Brugge
10 8 3 1 4 15 17 -2
20 Galatasaray Galatasaray
10 8 3 1 4 9 11 -2
21 Monaco Monaco
10 8 2 4 2 8 14 -6
22 Qarabag Qarabag
10 8 3 1 4 13 21 -8
23 Bodo Glimt Bodo Glimt
9 8 2 3 3 14 15 -1
24 Benfica Benfica
9 8 3 0 5 10 12 -2
25 Marseille Marseille
9 8 3 0 5 11 14 -3
26 AEP Paphos AEP Paphos
9 8 2 3 3 8 11 -3
27 Saint Gilloise Saint Gilloise
9 8 3 0 5 8 17 -9
28 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven
8 8 2 2 4 16 16 0
29 Athletic Bilbao Athletic Bilbao
8 8 2 2 4 9 14 -5
30 Napoli Napoli
8 8 2 2 4 9 15 -6
31 FC Copenhagen FC Copenhagen
8 8 2 2 4 12 21 -9
32 AFC Ajax AFC Ajax
6 8 2 0 6 8 21 -13
33 Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt
4 8 1 1 6 10 21 -11
34 Slavia Praha Slavia Praha
3 8 0 3 5 5 19 -14
35 Villarreal Villarreal
1 8 0 1 7 5 18 -13
36 FC Kairat Almaty FC Kairat Almaty
1 8 0 1 7 7 22 -15
Head To Head
11/03/2026 16:00
Paris Saint Germain (PSG) Paris Saint Germain (PSG)
5 - 2
Chelsea Chelsea
UEFA CL
13/07/2025 15:00
Chelsea Chelsea
3 - 0
Paris Saint Germain (PSG) Paris Saint Germain (PSG)
FCWC
09/03/2016 15:45
Chelsea Chelsea
1 - 2
Paris Saint Germain (PSG) Paris Saint Germain (PSG)
UEFA CL
16/02/2016 15:45
Paris Saint Germain (PSG) Paris Saint Germain (PSG)
2 - 1
Chelsea Chelsea
UEFA CL
25/07/2015 18:10
Paris Saint Germain (PSG) Paris Saint Germain (PSG)
1 - 1
Chelsea Chelsea
ICC
11/03/2015 15:45
Chelsea Chelsea
1 - 1
Paris Saint Germain (PSG) Paris Saint Germain (PSG)
UEFA CL
Paris Saint Germain (PSG)
3
50%
Draw
2
33%
Chelsea
1
17%
Chelsea Chelsea Last 6 matches
14/03/2026 13:30
Chelsea 0 - 1 Newcastle United
ENG PR
11/03/2026 16:00
Paris Saint Germain (PSG) 5 - 2 Chelsea
UEFA CL
07/03/2026 13:45
Wrexham 2 - 2 Chelsea
ENG FAC
04/03/2026 15:30
Aston Villa 1 - 4 Chelsea
ENG PR
01/03/2026 12:30
Arsenal 2 - 1 Chelsea
ENG PR
21/02/2026 11:00
Chelsea 1 - 1 Burnley
ENG PR
Win
17%
Draw
33%
Lost
50%
Last 6 matches Paris Saint Germain (PSG) Paris Saint Germain (PSG)
11/03/2026 16:00
Paris Saint Germain (PSG) 5 - 2 Chelsea
UEFA CL
06/03/2026 15:45
Paris Saint Germain (PSG) 1 - 3 Monaco
FRA D1
28/02/2026 16:05
Le Havre 0 - 1 Paris Saint Germain (PSG)
FRA D1
25/02/2026 16:00
Paris Saint Germain (PSG) 2 - 2 Monaco
UEFA CL
21/02/2026 16:05
Paris Saint Germain (PSG) 3 - 0 Metz
FRA D1
17/02/2026 16:00
Monaco 2 - 3 Paris Saint Germain (PSG)
UEFA CL
Win
67%
Draw
17%
Lost
17%
Overall Home/Away
Full time First half Second half
All leagues UEFA Champions League

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games
Chelsea
Chelsea
10
 Paris Saint Germain (PSG)
Paris Saint Germain (PSG)
17
Goals
Scored
11
Avg. per game
1.10
Conceded
11
Avg. per game
1.10
Scored
20
Avg. per game
1.18
Conceded
13
Avg. per game
0.76
Scored a goal
In last 6 matches
YesNo
4 (67%)2 (33%)
In last 6 matches
NoYes
4 (67%)2 (33%)
In last 10 matches
YesNo
8 (80%)2 (20%)
In last 10 matches
NoYes
11 (65%)6 (35%)
Chelsea

Chelsea

Recent matches

Paris Saint Germain (PSG)

Paris Saint Germain (PSG)

Under /Over

(80%)8 2(20%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(94%)16 1(6%)

Under /Over

(60%)6 4(40%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(59%)10 7(41%)

Under /Over

(40%)4 6(60%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(47%)8 9(53%)

/Yes

(60%)6 4(40%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(71%)12 5(29%)
GOALS BY TIME PERIOD
Chelsea Chelsea
Paris Saint Germain (PSG) Paris Saint Germain (PSG)
Shots
Chelsea
Chelsea
Total shots
13.90 avg / game
Blocked
37 total
Avg. 3.70
Paris Saint Germain (PSG)
Paris Saint Germain (PSG)
Total shots
18.71 avg / game
Blocked
96 total
Avg. 5.65
Chelsea Chelsea Pass Paris Saint Germain (PSG) Paris Saint Germain (PSG)
Total passes
4971
Avg. 497 / game
Accurate
88%
Ball possession
55%
Total passes
10351
Avg. 609 / game
Accurate
88%
Ball possession
63%
TOTAL ATTACKS
Chelsea
Chelsea
1105
Avg. 110.50 / game
 Paris Saint Germain (PSG)
Paris Saint Germain (PSG)
1924
Avg. 113.18 / game
DANGEROUS ATTACKS
Chelsea
Chelsea
522
Avg. 52.20 / game
 Paris Saint Germain (PSG)
Paris Saint Germain (PSG)
1018
Avg. 59.88 / game
OTHERS
Chelsea
Chelsea
10
Played games
Paris Saint Germain (PSG)
Paris Saint Germain (PSG)
17
Avg / game Total Total Avg / game
0.30
3
Clean sheets
5
0.29
6.10
61
Corners
101
5.94
14.70
147
Throw-ins
254
14.94
2.00
20
Offsides
29
1.71
2.00
20
GK saves
38
2.24
Chelsea
Chelsea
DISCIPLINARY
Paris Saint Germain (PSG)
Paris Saint Germain (PSG)
Avg / game Total Total Avg / game
1.50
15
Yellow card
17
1.00
0.10
1
Red card
2
0.12
12.20
122
Fouls
156
9.18
8.60
86
Tackles
152
8.94
NEXT MATCHES
07/28
Western Sydney Western Sydney
VS
Chelsea Chelsea
INT
08/24
Fulham Fulham
VS
Chelsea Chelsea
ENG
08/30
Chelsea Chelsea
VS
Brighton Hove Albion Brighton Hove Albion
ENG
09/06
Arsenal Arsenal
VS
Chelsea Chelsea
ENG
09/12
Chelsea Chelsea
VS
Hull City Hull City
ENG
NEXT MATCHES
08/16
Lens Lens
VS
Paris Saint Germain (PSG) Paris Saint Germain (PSG)
FRA
08/16
Paris Saint Germain (PSG) Paris Saint Germain (PSG)
VS
Aston Villa Aston Villa
UEF
08/22
Paris Saint Germain (PSG) Paris Saint Germain (PSG)
VS
Rennes Rennes
FRA
08/28
Lille Lille
VS
Paris Saint Germain (PSG) Paris Saint Germain (PSG)
FRA
09/05
Paris Saint Germain (PSG) Paris Saint Germain (PSG)
VS
Monaco Monaco
FRA

How We Build the Chelsea vs Paris Saint Germain (PSG) Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Chelsea vs Paris Saint Germain (PSG) on 17 March 2026 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this UEFA Champions League fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Chelsea vs Paris Saint Germain (PSG) Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Chelsea's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Paris Saint Germain (PSG)'s away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

UEFA Champions League Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live UEFA Champions League standings and the UEFA Champions League form table to understand exactly where Chelsea and Paris Saint Germain (PSG) sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our UEFA Champions League predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

Explore More UEFA Champions League Predictions

Find every upcoming UEFA Champions League fixtures and predictions for this matchday, or browse all football predictions for today across every major league on Betiball.com.

View More View Less