Chelsea vs Newcastle United: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 27 October

Chelsea

W W W L W

4th place in English Premier League

2-1

27/10/2024 14:00

Newcastle United

L W D W L

5th place in English Premier League

English Premier League

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Chelsea vs Newcastle United on 27 October 2024 (kick-off: 14:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Chelsea vs Newcastle United preview before placing your bet.

Chelsea are currently 4th with 69 points after 38 matches.
Newcastle United sit 5th with 66 points from 38 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Chelsea to win with probability 50%.
Head-to-head history favors Newcastle United, who have won 2 of the last 6 meetings. Chelsea have one win, while 3 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

14:00

2024-10-27

Chelsea vs Newcastle United - Prediction & Odds

Chelsea

Newcastle United

2024-10-27 14:00

STANDINGS UP TO 27/10/2024

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Liverpool	84	38	25	9	4	86	41	45
02 Arsenal	74	38	20	14	4	69	34	35
03 Manchester City	71	38	21	8	9	72	44	28
04 Chelsea	69	38	20	9	9	64	43	21
05 Newcastle United	66	38	20	6	12	68	47	21
06 Aston Villa	66	38	19	9	10	58	51	7
07 Nottingham Forest	65	38	19	8	11	58	46	12
08 Brighton Hove Albion	61	38	16	13	9	66	59	7
09 AFC Bournemouth	56	38	15	11	12	58	46	12
10 Brentford	56	38	16	8	14	66	57	9
11 Fulham	54	38	15	9	14	54	54	0
12 Crystal Palace	53	38	13	14	11	51	51	0
13 Everton	48	38	11	15	12	42	44	-2
14 West Ham United	43	38	11	10	17	46	62	-16
15 Manchester United	42	38	11	9	18	44	54	-10
16 Wolves	42	38	12	6	20	54	69	-15
17 Tottenham Hotspur	38	38	11	5	22	64	65	-1
18 Leicester City	25	38	6	7	25	33	80	-47
19 Ipswich Town	22	38	4	10	24	36	82	-46
20 Southampton	12	38	2	6	30	26	86	-60

Head To Head

11/03/2024 20:00

Chelsea

3 - 2

Newcastle United

ENG PR

19/12/2023 20:00

Chelsea

1 - 1

Newcastle United

ENG LC

25/11/2023 15:00

Newcastle United

4 - 1

Chelsea

ENG PR

27/07/2023 00:15

Newcastle United

1 - 1

Chelsea

INT CF

28/05/2023 15:30

Chelsea

1 - 1

Newcastle United

ENG PR

12/11/2022 17:30

Newcastle United

1 - 0

Chelsea

ENG PR

Chelsea

17%

Draw

50%

Newcastle United

33%

Chelsea Last 6 matches

06/10/2024 13:00

Chelsea 1 - 1 Nottingham Forest ENG PR

03/10/2024 19:00

Chelsea 4 - 2 KAA Gent UEFA ECL

28/09/2024 14:00

Chelsea 4 - 2 Brighton Hove Albion ENG PR

24/09/2024 18:45

Chelsea 5 - 0 Barrow ENG LC

21/09/2024 11:30

West Ham United 0 - 3 Chelsea ENG PR

14/09/2024 19:00

AFC Bournemouth 0 - 1 Chelsea ENG PR

Win

83%

Draw

17%

Lost

Last 6 matches Newcastle United

19/10/2024 14:00

Newcastle United 0 - 1 Brighton Hove Albion ENG PR

05/10/2024 16:30

Everton 0 - 0 Newcastle United ENG PR

01/10/2024 18:45

Newcastle United 1 - 0 AFC Wimbledon ENG LC

28/09/2024 11:30

Newcastle United 1 - 1 Manchester City ENG PR

21/09/2024 14:00

Fulham 3 - 1 Newcastle United ENG PR

15/09/2024 15:30

Wolves 1 - 2 Newcastle United ENG PR

Win

33%

Draw

33%

Lost

33%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues English Premier League

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Chelsea

Newcastle United

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

0.92

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.58

Scored

Avg. per game

0.82

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.63

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 38 matches

YesNo

24 (63%)14 (37%)

In last 38 matches

NoYes

20 (53%)18 (47%)

Chelsea

Recent matches

Newcastle United

Under /Over

(76%)29 9(24%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(82%)31 7(18%)

Under /Over

(32%)12 26(68%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(37%)14 24(63%)

Under /Over

(47%)18 20(53%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(45%)17 21(55%)

/Yes

(58%)22 16(42%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(50%)19 19(50%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Chelsea

Newcastle United

Shots

Chelsea

Total shots

15.68 avg / game

Blocked

142 total

Avg. 4.44

Newcastle United

Total shots

13.82 avg / game

Blocked

142 total

Avg. 4.06

Chelsea Pass Newcastle United

Total passes

19647

Avg. 517 / game

Accurate

86%

Ball possession

57%

Total passes

16950

Avg. 446 / game

Accurate

82%

Ball possession

51%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Chelsea

Played games

Newcastle United

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.29

Clean sheets

0.34

6.16

234

Corners

217

5.71

15.39

585

Throw-ins

704

18.53

1.74

Offsides

1.89

3.05

116

GK saves

122

3.21

Chelsea

DISCIPLINARY

Newcastle United

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

2.66

101

1.79

0.05

0.03

11.47

436

Fouls

394

10.37

15.21

578

Tackles

602

15.84

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Chelsea vs Newcastle United Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Chelsea vs Newcastle United on 27 October 2024 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this English Premier League fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Chelsea vs Newcastle United Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Chelsea's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Newcastle United's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

English Premier League Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live English Premier League standings and the English Premier League form table to understand exactly where Chelsea and Newcastle United sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our English Premier League predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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