Chelsea vs Newcastle United: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 11 March

Chelsea

D W W W W

6th place in English Premier League

3-2

11/03/2024 20:00

Newcastle United

L W W D L

7th place in English Premier League

English Premier League

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Chelsea vs Newcastle United on 11 March 2024 (kick-off: 20:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Chelsea vs Newcastle United preview before placing your bet.

Chelsea are currently 6th with 63 points after 38 matches.
Newcastle United sit 7th with 60 points from 38 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Chelsea to win with probability 49%.
Head-to-head history favors Newcastle United, who have won 2 of the last 6 meetings. Chelsea have one win, while 3 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

20:00

2024-03-11

Chelsea vs Newcastle United - Prediction & Odds

Chelsea

Newcastle United

2024-03-11 20:00

STANDINGS UP TO 11/03/2024

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Manchester City	91	38	28	7	3	96	34	62
02 Arsenal	89	38	28	5	5	91	29	62
03 Liverpool	82	38	24	10	4	86	41	45
04 Aston Villa	68	38	20	8	10	76	61	15
05 Tottenham Hotspur	66	38	20	6	12	74	61	13
06 Chelsea	63	38	18	9	11	77	63	14
07 Newcastle United	60	38	18	6	14	85	62	23
08 Manchester United	60	38	18	6	14	57	58	-1
09 West Ham United	52	38	14	10	14	60	74	-14
10 Crystal Palace	49	38	13	10	15	57	58	-1
11 Brighton Hove Albion	48	38	12	12	14	55	62	-7
12 AFC Bournemouth	48	38	13	9	16	54	67	-13
13 Fulham	47	38	13	8	17	55	61	-6
14 Wolves	46	38	13	7	18	50	65	-15
15 Everton	40	38	13	9	16	40	51	-11
16 Brentford	39	38	10	9	19	56	65	-9
17 Nottingham Forest	32	38	9	9	20	49	67	-18
18 Luton Town	26	38	6	8	24	52	85	-33
19 Burnley	24	38	5	9	24	41	78	-37
20 Sheffield United	16	38	3	7	28	35	104	-69

Head To Head

19/12/2023 20:00

Chelsea

1 - 1

Newcastle United

ENG LC

25/11/2023 15:00

Newcastle United

4 - 1

Chelsea

ENG PR

27/07/2023 00:15

Newcastle United

1 - 1

Chelsea

INT CF

28/05/2023 15:30

Chelsea

1 - 1

Newcastle United

ENG PR

12/11/2022 17:30

Newcastle United

1 - 0

Chelsea

ENG PR

13/03/2022 14:00

Chelsea

1 - 0

Newcastle United

ENG PR

Chelsea

17%

Draw

50%

Newcastle United

33%

Chelsea Last 6 matches

02/03/2024 15:00

Brentford 2 - 2 Chelsea ENG PR

28/02/2024 19:30

Chelsea 3 - 2 Leeds United ENG FAC

25/02/2024 15:00

Chelsea 0 - 0 Liverpool ENG LC

17/02/2024 17:30

Manchester City 1 - 1 Chelsea ENG PR

12/02/2024 20:00

Crystal Palace 1 - 3 Chelsea ENG PR

07/02/2024 20:00

Aston Villa 1 - 3 Chelsea ENG FAC

Win

50%

Draw

50%

Lost

Last 6 matches Newcastle United

02/03/2024 15:00

Newcastle United 3 - 0 Wolves ENG PR

27/02/2024 20:00

Blackburn Rovers 1 - 1 Newcastle United ENG FAC

24/02/2024 20:00

Arsenal 4 - 1 Newcastle United ENG PR

17/02/2024 15:00

Newcastle United 2 - 2 AFC Bournemouth ENG PR

10/02/2024 17:30

Nottingham Forest 2 - 3 Newcastle United ENG PR

03/02/2024 15:00

Newcastle United 4 - 4 Luton Town ENG PR

Win

33%

Draw

50%

Lost

17%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues English Premier League

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Chelsea

Newcastle United

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

0.97

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.61

Scored

Avg. per game

0.97

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.61

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

5 (83%)1 (17%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 38 matches

YesNo

27 (71%)11 (29%)

In last 38 matches

NoYes

21 (55%)17 (45%)

Chelsea

Recent matches

Newcastle United

Under /Over

(89%)34 4(11%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(84%)32 6(16%)

Under /Over

(53%)20 18(47%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(53%)20 18(47%)

Under /Over

(74%)28 10(26%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(66%)25 13(34%)

/Yes

(66%)25 13(34%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(61%)23 15(39%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Chelsea

Newcastle United

Shots

Chelsea

Total shots

14.39 avg / game

Blocked

143 total

Avg. 3.76

Newcastle United

Total shots

14.50 avg / game

Blocked

153 total

Avg. 4.03

Chelsea Pass Newcastle United

Total passes

21678

Avg. 570 / game

Accurate

87%

Ball possession

59%

Total passes

17965

Avg. 473 / game

Accurate

82%

Ball possession

52%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Chelsea

Played games

Newcastle United

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.21

Clean sheets

0.26

5.32

202

Corners

192

5.05

16.05

610

Throw-ins

679

17.87

2.24

Offsides

1.55

3.29

125

GK saves

141

3.71

Chelsea

DISCIPLINARY

Newcastle United

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

2.84

108

2.05

0.11

0.03

11.71

445

Fouls

386

10.16

17.34

659

Tackles

662

17.42

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Chelsea vs Newcastle United Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Chelsea vs Newcastle United on 11 March 2024 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this English Premier League fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Chelsea vs Newcastle United Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Chelsea's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Newcastle United's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

English Premier League Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live English Premier League standings and the English Premier League form table to understand exactly where Chelsea and Newcastle United sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our English Premier League predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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