Chelsea vs Newcastle United: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 28 May

Chelsea

L W D L L

12th place in English Premier League

1-1

28/05/2023 11:30

Newcastle United

W L D W D

4th place in English Premier League

English Premier League

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Chelsea vs Newcastle United on 28 May 2023 (kick-off: 11:30) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Chelsea vs Newcastle United preview before placing your bet.

Chelsea will face Newcastle United in English Premier League on May 28, 2023 at 11:30.
Chelsea are currently 12th with 44 points after 38 matches.
Newcastle United sit 4th with 71 points from 38 matches.
Current model prediction leans green with a projected score of 2 - 1 and average coefficient 2.25.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

11:30

2023-05-28

Chelsea vs Newcastle United - Prediction & Odds

Chelsea

Newcastle United

2023-05-28 11:30

STANDINGS UP TO 28/05/2023

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Manchester City	89	38	28	5	5	94	33	61
02 Arsenal	84	38	26	6	6	88	43	45
03 Manchester United	75	38	23	6	9	58	43	15
04 Newcastle United	71	38	19	14	5	68	33	35
05 Liverpool	67	38	19	10	9	75	47	28
06 Brighton Hove Albion	62	38	18	8	12	72	53	19
07 Aston Villa	61	38	18	7	13	51	46	5
08 Tottenham Hotspur	60	38	18	6	14	70	63	7
09 Brentford	59	38	15	14	9	58	46	12
10 Fulham	52	38	15	7	16	55	53	2
11 Crystal Palace	45	38	11	12	15	40	49	-9
12 Chelsea	44	38	11	11	16	38	47	-9
13 Wolves	41	38	11	8	19	31	58	-27
14 West Ham United	40	38	11	7	20	42	55	-13
15 AFC Bournemouth	39	38	11	6	21	37	71	-34
16 Nottingham Forest	38	38	9	11	18	38	68	-30
17 Everton	36	38	8	12	18	34	57	-23
18 Leicester City	34	38	9	7	22	51	68	-17
19 Leeds United	31	38	7	10	21	48	78	-30
20 Southampton	25	38	6	7	25	36	73	-37

Head To Head

12/11/2022 13:30

Newcastle United

1 - 0

Chelsea

ENG PR

13/03/2022 10:00

Chelsea

1 - 0

Newcastle United

ENG PR

30/10/2021 10:00

Newcastle United

0 - 3

Chelsea

ENG PR

15/02/2021 16:00

Chelsea

2 - 0

Newcastle United

ENG PR

21/11/2020 08:30

Newcastle United

0 - 2

Chelsea

ENG PR

18/01/2020 13:30

Newcastle United

1 - 0

Chelsea

ENG PR

Newcastle United

67%

Draw

Chelsea

33%

Chelsea Last 6 matches

25/05/2023 15:00

Manchester United 4 - 1 Chelsea

ENG PR

21/05/2023 11:00

Manchester City 1 - 0 Chelsea

ENG PR

13/05/2023 10:00

Chelsea 2 - 2 Nottingham Forest

ENG PR

06/05/2023 10:00

AFC Bournemouth 1 - 3 Chelsea

ENG PR

02/05/2023 15:00

Arsenal 3 - 1 Chelsea

ENG PR

26/04/2023 14:45

Chelsea 0 - 2 Brentford

ENG PR

Win

17%

Draw

17%

Lost

67%

Last 6 matches Newcastle United

22/05/2023 15:00

Newcastle United 0 - 0 Leicester City

ENG PR

18/05/2023 14:30

Newcastle United 4 - 1 Brighton Hove Albion

ENG PR

13/05/2023 07:30

Leeds United 2 - 2 Newcastle United

ENG PR

07/05/2023 11:30

Newcastle United 0 - 2 Arsenal

ENG PR

30/04/2023 09:00

Newcastle United 3 - 1 Southampton

ENG PR

27/04/2023 14:45

Everton 1 - 4 Newcastle United

ENG PR

Win

50%

Draw

33%

Lost

17%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues English Premier League

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Chelsea

Newcastle United

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

0.61

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.58

Scored

Avg. per game

0.95

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.47

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 38 matches

YesNo

17 (45%)21 (55%)

In last 38 matches

NoYes

20 (53%)18 (47%)

Chelsea

Recent matches

Newcastle United

Under /Over

(66%)25 13(34%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(74%)28 10(26%)

Under /Over

(32%)12 26(68%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(37%)14 24(63%)

Under /Over

(32%)12 26(68%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(47%)18 20(53%)

/Yes

(47%)18 20(53%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(53%)20 18(47%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Chelsea

Newcastle United

Shots

Chelsea

Total shots

12.68 avg / game

Blocked

130 total

Avg. 3.82

Newcastle United

Total shots

15.03 avg / game

Blocked

160 total

Avg. 4.44

Chelsea Pass Newcastle United

Total passes

20693

Avg. 545 / game

Accurate

85%

Ball possession

59%

Total passes

15822

Avg. 416 / game

Accurate

79%

Ball possession

52%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Chelsea

Played games

Newcastle United

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.26

Clean sheets

0.37

5.50

209

Corners

270

7.11

19.03

723

Throw-ins

728

19.16

1.95

Offsides

1.95

3.13

119

GK saves

2.61

Chelsea

DISCIPLINARY

Newcastle United

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

2.13

1.58

0.08

0.03

10.45

397

Fouls

405

10.66

18.84

716

Tackles

610

16.05

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Chelsea vs Newcastle United Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Chelsea vs Newcastle United on 28 May 2023 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this English Premier League fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Chelsea vs Newcastle United Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Chelsea's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Newcastle United's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

English Premier League Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live English Premier League standings and the English Premier League form table to understand exactly where Chelsea and Newcastle United sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our English Premier League predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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