Chelsea vs Manchester City: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 16 May

Prediction

Chelsea

D L W L L

No standing data

? - ?

Manchester City
Win Probability 51%

16/05/2026 10:00

Manchester City

W D W W W

No standing data

England FA Cup

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Chelsea vs Manchester City on 16 May 2026 (kick-off: 10:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Chelsea vs Manchester City preview before placing your bet.

Our algorithm prediction: Manchester City to win with probability 51%.
Head-to-head history favors Manchester City, who have won 5 of the last 6 meetings. Chelsea have no wins, while one match ended in a draw.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

10:00

2026-05-16

Chelsea vs Manchester City - Prediction & Odds

Chelsea

Manchester City

2026-05-16 10:00

STANDINGS UP TO 16/05/2026

The standings compare the rankings (Rank-XH) of Chelsea and Manchester City in the England FA Cup football standings for the 2025-2026 season, updated before kickoff and immediately after the match ends.

Head To Head

12/04/2026 11:30

Chelsea

0 - 3

Manchester City

ENG PR

04/01/2026 13:30

Manchester City

1 - 1

Chelsea

ENG PR

25/01/2025 13:30

Manchester City

3 - 1

Chelsea

ENG PR

18/08/2024 11:30

Chelsea

0 - 2

Manchester City

ENG PR

03/08/2024 17:30

Manchester City

4 - 2

Chelsea

INT CF

20/04/2024 12:15

Manchester City

1 - 0

Chelsea

ENG FAC

Chelsea

Draw

17%

Manchester City

83%

Chelsea Last 6 matches

09/05/2026 07:30

Liverpool 1 - 1 Chelsea ENG PR

04/05/2026 10:00

Chelsea 1 - 3 Nottingham Forest ENG PR

26/04/2026 10:00

Chelsea 1 - 0 Leeds United ENG FAC

21/04/2026 15:00

Brighton Hove Albion 3 - 0 Chelsea ENG PR

18/04/2026 15:00

Chelsea 0 - 1 Manchester United ENG PR

12/04/2026 11:30

Chelsea 0 - 3 Manchester City ENG PR

Win

17%

Draw

17%

Lost

67%

Last 6 matches Manchester City

09/05/2026 12:30

Manchester City 3 - 0 Brentford ENG PR

04/05/2026 15:00

Everton 3 - 3 Manchester City ENG PR

25/04/2026 12:15

Manchester City 2 - 1 Southampton ENG FAC

22/04/2026 15:00

Burnley 0 - 1 Manchester City ENG PR

19/04/2026 11:30

Manchester City 2 - 1 Arsenal ENG PR

12/04/2026 11:30

Chelsea 0 - 3 Manchester City ENG PR

Win

83%

Draw

17%

Lost

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues England FA Cup

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Chelsea

Manchester City

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

2.40

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.40

Scored

Avg. per game

2.60

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.40

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

4 (80%)1 (20%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

5 (100%)0 (0%)

Chelsea

Recent matches

Manchester City

Under /Over

(80%)4 1(20%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(100%)5 0(0%)

Under /Over

(40%)2 3(60%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(60%)3 2(40%)

Under /Over

(80%)4 1(20%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(80%)4 1(20%)

/Yes

(40%)2 3(60%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(60%)3 2(40%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Chelsea

Manchester City

Shots

Chelsea

Total shots

18.20 avg / game

Blocked

20 total

Avg. 4.00

Manchester City

Total shots

19.60 avg / game

Blocked

35 total

Avg. 7.00

Chelsea Pass Manchester City

Total passes

3769

Avg. 754 / game

Accurate

91%

Ball possession

68%

Total passes

3102

Avg. 620 / game

Accurate

90%

Ball possession

67%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Chelsea

Played games

Manchester City

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.60

Clean sheets

0.40

5.60

Corners

7.60

15.80

Throw-ins

11.40

1.60

Offsides

1.80

2.00

GK saves

2.40

Chelsea

DISCIPLINARY

Manchester City

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

2.20

0.60

0.00

0.00

9.40

Fouls

11.20

6.60

Tackles

7.20

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Chelsea vs Manchester City Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Chelsea vs Manchester City on 16 May 2026 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this England FA Cup fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Chelsea vs Manchester City Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Chelsea's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Manchester City's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

England FA Cup Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live England FA Cup standings and the England FA Cup form table to understand exactly where Chelsea and Manchester City sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our England FA Cup predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

Explore More England FA Cup Predictions

Find every upcoming England FA Cup fixtures and predictions for this matchday, or browse all football predictions for today across every major league on Betiball.com.

View More View Less