Chelsea vs Burnley: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 21 February

Betiball's prediction for Chelsea vs Burnley on 21 February 2026 (kick-off: 11:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Chelsea vs Burnley preview before placing your bet.

Chelsea vs Burnley: Starting Lineups Time : 21/02/2026 11:00

Chelsea
1 - 1
Finished
Burnley
90+3' event Jorrel Hato
90' event Robert Sanchez
89' event Josh Acheampong / Reece James
88' event Mamadou Sarr / Pedro Neto
80' event Jorrel Hato / Malo Gusto
80' event Liam Delap / João Pedro Junqueira de Jesus
75' event Oluwatosin Adarabioyo / Cole Jermaine Palmer
72' event Wesley Fofana
34' event Wesley Fofana
4' event João Pedro Junqueira de Jesus
event 90+2' Zian Flemming
event 84' Ashley Barnes / Jaidon Anthony
event 83' Loum Tchaouna / Bashir Humphreys
event 78' Jacob Bruun Larsen / Josh Laurent
event 57' James Ward Prowse / Chimuanya Ugochukwu
event 46' Lucas Pires Silva / Kyle Walker
event 30' Hannibal Mejbri
90+3' event Jorrel Hato
event 90+2' Zian Flemming
90' event Robert Sanchez
event 84' Ashley Barnes / Jaidon Anthony
89' event Josh Acheampong / Reece James
event 83' Loum Tchaouna / Bashir Humphreys
88' event Mamadou Sarr / Pedro Neto
event 78' Jacob Bruun Larsen / Josh Laurent
80' event Jorrel Hato / Malo Gusto
event 57' James Ward Prowse / Chimuanya Ugochukwu
80' event Liam Delap / João Pedro Junqueira de Jesus
event 46' Lucas Pires Silva / Kyle Walker
75' event Oluwatosin Adarabioyo / Cole Jermaine Palmer
event 30' Hannibal Mejbri
72' event Wesley Fofana
34' event Wesley Fofana
4' event João Pedro Junqueira de Jesus
Chelsea Chelsea
Substitutions
#19 Mamadou Sarr
#21 Jorrel Hato
#9 Liam Delap
#4 Oluwatosin Adarabioyo
#34 Josh Acheampong
#49 Alejandro Garnacho
#45 Romeo Lavia
#44 Gabriel Slonina
#38 Marc Guiu
Chelsea Chelsea Burnley Burnley
12Shots12
2Shots on Goal4
13Fouls11
9Corner Kick5
11Free kick13
2Offside3
4Yellow card1
1Red card0
18Aerial1
3Save1
8Successful Tackles9
9Interceptions15
22Long pass16
1Assist1
2Successful center5
5Substitution5
5Shots off goal6
11Head Success11
5Blocked2
8Tackle7
8Dribbles3
13Throw-in15
599Passes299
111Attacks63
59Dangerous attacks59
3Corner Kicks(HT)2
3BigChances1
2BigChancesMissed0
7ShotsInsideBox9
5ShotsOutsideBox3
42DuelsWon35
1.88ExpectedGoals0.78
0.52xGOT1.12
26Touches In Opposition Box14
18AccurateCrosses11
32GroundDuelsWon25
10AerialDuelsWon10
12Clearances20
Burnley Burnley
Substitutions
#23 Lucas Pires Silva
#7 Jacob Bruun Larsen
#17 Loum Tchaouna
#20 James Ward Prowse
#35 Ashley Barnes
#13 Max Wei
#3 Quilindschy Hartman
#16 Florentino Ibrain Morris Luis
#18 Hjalmar Ekdal
Commentary
90+3' Jorrel Hato - Chelsea receive a yellow card
90+2' Goal! Zian Flemming - Burnley
90' Robert Sanchez - Chelsea receive a yellow card
89' Chelsea — substitution: Josh Acheampong / Reece James
88' Chelsea — substitution: Mamadou Sarr / Pedro Neto
84' Burnley — substitution: Ashley Barnes / Jaidon Anthony
83' Burnley — substitution: Loum Tchaouna / Bashir Humphreys
80' Chelsea — substitution: Jorrel Hato / Malo Gusto
80' Chelsea — substitution: Liam Delap / João Pedro Junqueira de Jesus
78' Burnley — substitution: Jacob Bruun Larsen / Josh Laurent
75' Chelsea — substitution: Oluwatosin Adarabioyo / Cole Jermaine Palmer
72' Wesley Fofana - Chelsea receive second yellow card
57' Burnley — substitution: James Ward Prowse / Chimuanya Ugochukwu
46' Burnley — substitution: Lucas Pires Silva / Kyle Walker
34' Wesley Fofana - Chelsea receive a yellow card
30' Hannibal Mejbri - Burnley receive a yellow card
4' Goal! João Pedro Junqueira de Jesus - Chelsea

How We Build the Chelsea vs Burnley Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Chelsea vs Burnley on 21 February 2026 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Chelsea vs Burnley Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Chelsea's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Burnley's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live standings and the form table to understand exactly where Chelsea and Burnley sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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