Chelsea vs Burnley: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 21 February

Chelsea

L L L D W

10th place in English Premier League

1-1

21/02/2026 11:00

Burnley

L L L D L

19th place in English Premier League

English Premier League

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Chelsea vs Burnley on 21 February 2026 (kick-off: 11:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Chelsea vs Burnley preview before placing your bet.

Chelsea are currently 10th with 52 points after 38 matches.
Burnley sit 19th with 22 points from 38 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Chelsea to win with probability 76%.
Head-to-head history favors Chelsea, who have won 4 of the last 6 meetings. Burnley have no wins, while 2 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

11:00

2026-02-21

Chelsea vs Burnley - Prediction & Odds

Chelsea

Burnley

2026-02-21 11:00

STANDINGS UP TO 21/02/2026

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Arsenal	85	38	26	7	5	71	27	44
02 Manchester City	78	38	23	9	6	77	35	42
03 Manchester United	71	38	20	11	7	69	50	19
04 Aston Villa	65	38	19	8	11	56	49	7
05 Liverpool	60	38	17	9	12	63	53	10
06 AFC Bournemouth	57	38	13	18	7	58	54	4
07 Sunderland A.F.C	54	38	14	12	12	42	48	-6
08 Brighton Hove Albion	53	38	14	11	13	52	46	6
09 Brentford	53	38	14	11	13	55	52	3
10 Chelsea	52	38	14	10	14	58	52	6
11 Fulham	52	38	15	7	16	47	51	-4
12 Newcastle United	49	38	14	7	17	53	55	-2
13 Everton	49	38	13	10	15	47	50	-3
14 Leeds United	47	38	11	14	13	49	56	-7
15 Crystal Palace	45	38	11	12	15	41	51	-10
16 Nottingham Forest	44	38	11	11	16	48	51	-3
17 Tottenham Hotspur	41	38	10	11	17	48	57	-9
18 West Ham United	39	38	10	9	19	46	65	-19
19 Burnley	22	38	4	10	24	38	75	-37
20 Wolves	20	38	3	11	24	27	68	-41

Head To Head

22/11/2025 08:30

Burnley

0 - 2

Chelsea

ENG PR

30/03/2024 11:00

Chelsea

2 - 2

Burnley

ENG PR

07/10/2023 10:00

Burnley

1 - 4

Chelsea

ENG PR

05/03/2022 11:00

Burnley

0 - 4

Chelsea

ENG PR

06/11/2021 11:00

Chelsea

1 - 1

Burnley

ENG PR

31/01/2021 08:00

Chelsea

2 - 0

Burnley

ENG PR

Chelsea

67%

Draw

33%

Burnley

Chelsea Last 6 matches

13/02/2026 15:45

Hull City 0 - 4 Chelsea ENG FAC

10/02/2026 15:30

Chelsea 2 - 2 Leeds United ENG PR

07/02/2026 11:00

Wolves 1 - 3 Chelsea ENG PR

03/02/2026 16:00

Arsenal 1 - 0 Chelsea ENG LC

31/01/2026 13:30

Chelsea 3 - 2 West Ham United ENG PR

28/01/2026 16:00

Napoli 2 - 3 Chelsea UEFA CL

Win

67%

Draw

17%

Lost

17%

Last 6 matches Burnley

11/02/2026 15:40

Crystal Palace 2 - 3 Burnley ENG PR

07/02/2026 11:00

Burnley 0 - 2 West Ham United ENG PR

02/02/2026 16:00

Sunderland A.F.C 3 - 0 Burnley ENG PR

24/01/2026 11:00

Burnley 2 - 2 Tottenham Hotspur ENG PR

17/01/2026 11:00

Liverpool 1 - 1 Burnley ENG PR

10/01/2026 11:00

Burnley 5 - 1 Millwall ENG FAC

Win

33%

Draw

33%

Lost

33%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues English Premier League

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Goals

Scored

294

Avg. per game

0.98

Conceded

204

Avg. per game

0.68

Scored

198

Avg. per game

0.67

Conceded

198

Avg. per game

0.67

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

5 (83%)1 (17%)

In last 300 matches

YesNo

180 (60%)120 (40%)

In last 300 matches

NoYes

143 (48%)153 (52%)

Chelsea

Recent matches

Burnley

Under /Over

(84%)38 7(16%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(87%)39 6(13%)

Under /Over

(38%)17 28(62%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(42%)19 26(58%)

Under /Over

(60%)27 18(40%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(47%)21 24(53%)

/Yes

(60%)27 18(40%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(69%)31 14(31%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Chelsea

Burnley

Shots

Chelsea

Total shots

14.78 avg / game

Blocked

1068 total

Avg. 4.17

Burnley

Total shots

11.36 avg / game

Blocked

727 total

Avg. 3.05

Chelsea Pass Burnley

Total passes

157357

Avg. 566 / game

Accurate

87%

Ball possession

59%

Total passes

115638

Avg. 438 / game

Accurate

78%

Ball possession

50%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Chelsea

300

Played games

Burnley

296

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.31

Clean sheets

0.31

5.77

1731

Corners

1393

4.71

15.24

4571

Throw-ins

5108

17.26

1.77

530

Offsides

524

1.77

2.70

810

GK saves

820

2.77

Chelsea

DISCIPLINARY

Burnley

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

2.09

628

472

1.59

0.07

0.06

11.02

3307

Fouls

2875

9.71

13.64

4091

Tackles

3720

12.57

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Chelsea vs Burnley Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Chelsea vs Burnley on 21 February 2026 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this English Premier League fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Chelsea vs Burnley Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Chelsea's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Burnley's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

English Premier League Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live English Premier League standings and the English Premier League form table to understand exactly where Chelsea and Burnley sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our English Premier League predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

Explore More English Premier League Predictions

Find every upcoming English Premier League fixtures and predictions for this matchday, or browse all football predictions for today across every major league on Betiball.com.

View More View Less