Chelsea vs Brighton Hove Albion Prediction, analysis & Match Preview – September 28

Chelsea

W W W L W

4th place in English Premier League

4-2

28/09/2024 10:00

Brighton Hove Albion

L W D W W

8th place in English Premier League

English Premier League

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Chelsea vs Brighton Hove Albion on September 28, 2024 (kick-off: 10:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Chelsea vs Brighton Hove Albion preview before placing for you.

Chelsea are currently 4th with 69 points after 38 matches.
Brighton Hove Albion sit 8th with 61 points from 38 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Chelsea to win with probability 55%.
Head-to-head history favors Chelsea, who have won 4 of the last 6 meetings. Brighton Hove Albion have 2 wins, while 0 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

10:00

2024-09-28

Chelsea vs Brighton Hove Albion - Prediction & Odds

Chelsea

Brighton Hove Albion

2024-09-28 10:00

STANDINGS UP TO 28/09/2024

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Liverpool	84	38	25	9	4	86	41	45
02 Arsenal	74	38	20	14	4	69	34	35
03 Manchester City	71	38	21	8	9	72	44	28
04 Chelsea	69	38	20	9	9	64	43	21
05 Newcastle United	66	38	20	6	12	68	47	21
06 Aston Villa	66	38	19	9	10	58	51	7
07 Nottingham Forest	65	38	19	8	11	58	46	12
08 Brighton Hove Albion	61	38	16	13	9	66	59	7
09 AFC Bournemouth	56	38	15	11	12	58	46	12
10 Brentford	56	38	16	8	14	66	57	9
11 Fulham	54	38	15	9	14	54	54	0
12 Crystal Palace	53	38	13	14	11	51	51	0
13 Everton	48	38	11	15	12	42	44	-2
14 West Ham United	43	38	11	10	17	46	62	-16
15 Manchester United	42	38	11	9	18	44	54	-10
16 Wolves	42	38	12	6	20	54	69	-15
17 Tottenham Hotspur	38	38	11	5	22	64	65	-1
18 Leicester City	25	38	6	7	25	33	80	-47
19 Ipswich Town	22	38	4	10	24	36	82	-46
20 Southampton	12	38	2	6	30	26	86	-60

Head To Head

15/05/2024 14:45

Brighton Hove Albion

1 - 2

Chelsea

ENG PR

03/12/2023 10:00

Chelsea

3 - 2

Brighton Hove Albion

ENG PR

27/09/2023 14:45

Chelsea

1 - 0

Brighton Hove Albion

ENG LC

22/07/2023 19:00

Chelsea

4 - 3

Brighton Hove Albion

INT CF

15/04/2023 10:00

Chelsea

1 - 2

Brighton Hove Albion

ENG PR

29/10/2022 10:00

Brighton Hove Albion

4 - 1

Chelsea

ENG PR

Chelsea

67%

Draw

Brighton Hove Albion

33%

Chelsea Last 6 matches

21/09/2024 07:30

West Ham United 0 - 3 Chelsea ENG PR

14/09/2024 15:00

AFC Bournemouth 0 - 1 Chelsea ENG PR

01/09/2024 08:30

Chelsea 1 - 1 Crystal Palace ENG PR

29/08/2024 14:30

Servette 2 - 1 Chelsea UEFA ECL

25/08/2024 09:00

Wolves 2 - 6 Chelsea ENG PR

22/08/2024 15:00

Chelsea 2 - 0 Servette UEFA ECL

Win

67%

Draw

17%

Lost

17%

Last 6 matches Brighton Hove Albion

18/09/2024 14:45

Brighton Hove Albion 3 - 2 Wolves ENG LC

14/09/2024 10:00

Brighton Hove Albion 0 - 0 Ipswich Town ENG PR

31/08/2024 07:30

Arsenal 1 - 1 Brighton Hove Albion ENG PR

27/08/2024 14:45

Brighton Hove Albion 4 - 0 Crawley Town ENG LC

24/08/2024 07:30

Brighton Hove Albion 2 - 1 Manchester United ENG PR

17/08/2024 10:00

Everton 0 - 3 Brighton Hove Albion ENG PR

Win

67%

Draw

33%

Lost

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues English Premier League

Played games

Goals

Scored

543

Avg. per game

1.81

Conceded

363

Avg. per game

1.21

Scored

468

Avg. per game

1.58

Conceded

383

Avg. per game

1.29

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

5 (83%)1 (17%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 300 matches

YesNo

243 (81%)57 (19%)

In last 300 matches

NoYes

227 (77%)69 (23%)

Chelsea

Recent matches

Brighton Hove Albion

Under /Over

(84%)38 7(16%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(84%)38 7(16%)

Under /Over

(38%)17 28(62%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(31%)14 31(69%)

Under /Over

(60%)27 18(40%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(49%)22 23(51%)

/Yes

(60%)27 18(40%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(53%)24 21(47%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Chelsea

Brighton Hove Albion

Shots

Chelsea

Total shots

14.77 avg / game

Blocked

1062 total

Avg. 4.15

Brighton Hove Albion

Total shots

13.86 avg / game

Blocked

963 total

Avg. 3.90

Chelsea Pass Brighton Hove Albion

Total passes

157315

Avg. 566 / game

Accurate

87%

Ball possession

59%

Total passes

134275

Avg. 513 / game

Accurate

84%

Ball possession

56%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Chelsea

300

Played games

Brighton Hove Albion

296

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.31

Clean sheets

0.28

5.74

1723

Corners

1505

5.08

15.23

4568

Throw-ins

4631

15.65

1.76

528

Offsides

443

1.50

2.68

805

GK saves

687

2.32

Chelsea

DISCIPLINARY

Brighton Hove Albion

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

2.08

625

505

1.71

0.07

0.04

10.99

3298

Fouls

2955

9.98

13.60

4080

Tackles

4150

14.02

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Chelsea vs Brighton Hove Albion Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Chelsea vs Brighton Hove Albion on 28 September 2024 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this English Premier League fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Chelsea vs Brighton Hove Albion Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Chelsea's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Brighton Hove Albion's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

English Premier League Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live English Premier League standings and the English Premier League form table to understand exactly where Chelsea and Brighton Hove Albion sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our English Premier League predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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