Chelsea vs Borussia Dortmund: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 07 March

Chelsea

L L L D D

1st place in Group E

2-0

07/03/2023 16:10

Borussia Dortmund

W W W W W

2nd place in Group G

UEFA Champions League

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Chelsea vs Borussia Dortmund on 07 March 2023 (kick-off: 16:10) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Chelsea vs Borussia Dortmund preview before placing your bet.

Chelsea are currently 1st with 13 points after 6 matches.
Borussia Dortmund sit 2nd with 9 points from 6 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Chelsea to win with probability 49%.
Head-to-head history favors Borussia Dortmund, who have won 1 of the last 1 meetings. Chelsea have no wins, while 0 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

16:10

2023-03-07

Chelsea vs Borussia Dortmund - Prediction & Odds

Chelsea

Borussia Dortmund

2023-03-07 16:10

STANDINGS UP TO 07/03/2023

Group E	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Chelsea	13	6	4	1	1	10	4	6
02 AC Milan	10	6	3	1	2	12	7	5
03 Red Bull Salzburg	6	6	1	3	2	5	9	-4
04 Dinamo Zagreb	4	6	1	1	4	4	11	-7

Group G	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Manchester City	14	6	4	2	0	14	2	12
02 Borussia Dortmund	9	6	2	3	1	10	5	5
03 Sevilla	5	6	1	2	3	6	12	-6
04 FC Copenhagen	3	6	0	3	3	1	12	-11

Head To Head

15/02/2023 16:00

Borussia Dortmund

1 - 0

Chelsea

UEFA CL

Chelsea

Draw

Borussia Dortmund

100%

Chelsea Last 6 matches

26/02/2023 09:30

Tottenham Hotspur 2 - 0 Chelsea ENG PR

18/02/2023 11:00

Chelsea 0 - 1 Southampton ENG PR

15/02/2023 16:00

Borussia Dortmund 1 - 0 Chelsea UEFA CL

11/02/2023 08:30

West Ham United 1 - 1 Chelsea ENG PR

03/02/2023 16:00

Chelsea 0 - 0 Fulham ENG PR

21/01/2023 08:30

Liverpool 0 - 0 Chelsea ENG PR

Win

Draw

50%

Lost

50%

Last 6 matches Borussia Dortmund

25/02/2023 10:30

TSG Hoffenheim 0 - 1 Borussia Dortmund GER D1

19/02/2023 12:30

Borussia Dortmund 4 - 1 Hertha Berlin GER D1

15/02/2023 16:00

Borussia Dortmund 1 - 0 Chelsea UEFA CL

11/02/2023 10:30

Werder Bremen 0 - 2 Borussia Dortmund GER D1

08/02/2023 15:45

VfL Bochum 1 - 2 Borussia Dortmund GERC

04/02/2023 10:30

Borussia Dortmund 5 - 1 SC Freiburg GER D1

Win

100%

Draw

Lost

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues UEFA Champions League

Played games

Goals

Scored

543

Avg. per game

1.81

Conceded

363

Avg. per game

1.21

Scored

651

Avg. per game

2.17

Conceded

395

Avg. per game

1.32

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

6 (100%)0 (0%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 300 matches

YesNo

243 (81%)57 (19%)

In last 300 matches

NoYes

265 (88%)35 (12%)

Chelsea

Recent matches

Borussia Dortmund

Under /Over

(87%)39 6(13%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(82%)37 8(18%)

Under /Over

(40%)18 27(60%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(38%)17 28(62%)

Under /Over

(60%)27 18(40%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(58%)26 19(42%)

/Yes

(62%)28 17(38%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(53%)24 21(47%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Chelsea

Borussia Dortmund

Shots

Chelsea

Total shots

14.76 avg / game

Blocked

1065 total

Avg. 4.16

Borussia Dortmund

Total shots

13.91 avg / game

Blocked

917 total

Avg. 3.54

Chelsea Pass Borussia Dortmund

Total passes

157149

Avg. 565 / game

Accurate

87%

Ball possession

59%

Total passes

147028

Avg. 537 / game

Accurate

84%

Ball possession

56%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Chelsea

300

Played games

Borussia Dortmund

300

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.31

Clean sheets

0.31

5.74

1722

Corners

1597

5.32

15.20

4561

Throw-ins

4956

16.52

1.77

531

Offsides

436

1.45

2.69

806

GK saves

834

2.78

Chelsea

DISCIPLINARY

Borussia Dortmund

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

2.09

626

497

1.66

0.07

0.07

11.02

3305

Fouls

2937

9.79

13.60

4080

Tackles

4082

13.61

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Chelsea vs Borussia Dortmund Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Chelsea vs Borussia Dortmund on 07 March 2023 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this UEFA Champions League fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Chelsea vs Borussia Dortmund Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Chelsea's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Borussia Dortmund's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

UEFA Champions League Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live UEFA Champions League standings and the UEFA Champions League form table to understand exactly where Chelsea and Borussia Dortmund sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our UEFA Champions League predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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